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Posted

I really think he's hurt.

 

Anyhow, next year's draft features a bevy of quality tight ends and I'd be fine with the Bills picking one in the 18-25 range.

A young guy paired with him wouldn't be a bad thing. Gives the you guy some time to pick up various roles if clay can be a good contributor after an offseason healing up. He's here 2 years either way though and I doubt we make a FA splash at the position until he's gone so draft is where to look.

 

If you think we keep TT, adding a WR, RT and TE in the first 3 rounds would be realistic and a vet safety in FA wouldn't be unrealistic in securing value and filling holes

Posted

Charles Clay, one of the Bills most expensive FA signings in the last few years, is on a steady decline that the Dolphins luckily missed out on. Not only have his numbers only gotten worse every year, the whispers about his bad knee that "needs draining" and on the eye test, he looks slow and ineffective both as a runner and pass catcher. His YPC this year has dipped below 10 yards!

 

By the numbers:

 

2013: 102 tgt's, 69 catches for 759 yards, 6 TD's, 11 YPC, 67.6% catch rate over 16 games

2014: 84 tgt's, 58 carthes for 605 yards, 3 TD's, 10.4 YPC, 69% catch rate over 14 games

2015: 77 tgt's, 51 catches for 528 yards, 3 TD's, 10.4 YPC, 66.2% catch rate over 13 games

2016: (so far) 57 tgt's, 36 catches for 323 yards, 0 TD's, 9 YPC, 63.2% catch rate over 11 games

 

Is Clay's lack of productivity something to watch going forward? With him basically being uncuttable due to our restructure of his deal, can this team afford a top 5 TE contract albatross around their neck for 300 yards and 0 TD's in 11 games? Do his contributions in the run game justify his bloated contract?

 

Actually his targets are down. From 6+ a game to 5.1 this year. Add 11-12 more targets to his numbers to get to a 6 tpg. That could be 100+ yards, which would dramatically change this argument. Especially if one of those was a TD. It wouldn't be a good case for decline.

Posted

Let Clay play with a QB who's not afraid to use the middle of the field and this is a non-existant thread.

yep. my understanding is if you look at the all-22, he is open often downfield but TT doesn't pull the trigger...

Posted

Nothing but his overall production's going to suck if he's not getting the ball thrown his way.

If his overall production sucked, but he was still efficient when targeted, I'd agree it was a lack of targets. That's clearly not the case.

Actually his targets are down. From 6+ a game to 5.1 this year. Add 11-12 more targets to his numbers to get to a 6 tpg. That could be 100+ yards, which would dramatically change this argument. Especially if one of those was a TD. It wouldn't be a good case for decline.

 

See above.

Posted (edited)

I really think he's hurt.

 

Anyhow, next year's draft features a bevy of quality tight ends and I'd be fine with the Bills picking one in the 18-25 range.

I would much prefer the Bills pick one up in the 32-ish range :-)

 

I would go:

 

1st rd- S/TE

2nd rd- TE/S

3rd rd- QB

4th rd- backup C/G combo player. Wood/Richie not getting younger.

5th rd- WR

 

Pick up a veteran RT, reasonable CB, and bring back Woods if possible.

Edited by BuffalothruMyVeins
Posted

I hate the idea of using a top pick on a TE, that position seems to be one of the most difficult for a player to transition into. I'd much rather solidify the oline than mess around with a TE.

Posted (edited)

I hate the idea of using a top pick on a TE, that position seems to be one of the most difficult for a player to transition into. I'd much rather solidify the oline than mess around with a TE.

Yup. Whats our strength? The run game. Keep improving the Oline and defense.

Edited by bobobonators
Posted

Charles Clay was never that great as a TE. His value was in his versatility. We thought we might see him in the backfield as a h back or full back or in different looks where we could split him out vs a LB and have a matchup advantage. They don't use him like that at all, just as a plain old TE.

 

Issue 2 is that we stink at throwing the football. Worst in the league. Tyrod is good at running but he plays QB unfortunately for him

 

I rarely agree with your posts but I think you nailed it on this one.

Posted

Let Clay play with a QB who's not afraid to use the middle of the field and this is a non-existant thread.

Bingo! I dont know how many times ive seen Clay wide open on seam and flags and Tyrod doesnt see him or even look that way.

Posted

If Brady is throwing the ball to Clay, we wouldn't be talking about how his knee needs draining or whatever else.

 

Tyrod doesn't seem to see him or like to throw to him, and when he does, ball placement is rarely good enough to permit YAC.

Posted

So lets trade for Brady!

If Brady is throwing the ball to Clay, we wouldn't be talking about how his knee needs draining or whatever else.

 

Tyrod doesn't seem to see him or like to throw to him, and when he does, ball placement is rarely good enough to permit YAC.

Still doesnt explain the dropoff from last yr to this yr. same QB.

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