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LA Times / USC Daybreak poll


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http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/

 

Interesting polling method. Instead of taking the traditional random sample of ~1000 for each poll they recruited a random panel of ~3000 and poll a random sample of ~400 of their panel every day asking the same 3 questions:

 

(1) percentage chance you will vote in the presidential election

(2) percentage chance you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else

(3) percentage chance Clinton, Trump or someone else will win

 

They're coming up with much different results than traditional polling methods

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http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/

 

Interesting polling method. Instead of taking the traditional random sample of ~1000 for each poll they recruited a random panel of ~3000 and poll a random sample of ~400 of their panel every day asking the same 3 questions:

 

(1) percentage chance you will vote in the presidential election

(2) percentage chance you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else

(3) percentage chance Clinton, Trump or someone else will win

 

They're coming up with much different results than traditional polling methods

By traditional you mean the ones that are traditionally correct? Edited by baskin
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By traditional you mean the ones that are traditionally correct?

 

Do those traditions include 2000, 2004, the 2016 Republican primary, the Brexit vote, etc., or just landslides?

Edited by KD in CA
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