CodeMonkey Posted November 2, 2015 Posted November 2, 2015 (edited) CBS with Spread (Bills -3.5) : 5 take the Bills and 3 take the Fish. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/9)CBS Straight Up: 5 take the Bills and 3 take the Fish. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/9)ESPN: 8 take the Bills and 5 took the Fish. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks)Microsoft Cortana (Went 13-1 in week 8 (only missed Atlanta)): Bills 52% chance to win. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/)FiveThirtyEight: (Went 11-2 (one game it didn't pick) in week 8): Bills 61% chance to win with a point spread of Bills -3. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/)Amos: (Went 10-4 in week 8) Bills 63% chance to win. (http://trevorbischoff.com/nfl-2015-week-9-predictions/)FiveThirtyEight predicts a 7-9 season record for the Bills this season with a 21% (up from 17%) chance of making the playoffs and a less than 1% (unchanged) chance of winning it all. Amos predicts a 8-8 season record for the Bills.SportsClubStats (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NFL/AFC/AFCEast/Buffalo.html) predicts a record of 7-9 for the Bills this season with a 20.1% (up from 17.7%) chance of making the playoffs. Edited November 6, 2015 by CodeMonkey
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted November 2, 2015 Posted November 2, 2015 (edited) I hope they all pick the Fish Then Karma can't bite the Bills on the azz. Lets go Tyrod, Shady, Sammy, Clay and company. JSS ----------------------------- Heard something on the Czabe this AM (who is back on the air in the DC region) mentioned ESPN dropping the other media outlet. I could be wrong but I think he said FiveThirtyEight was also an ESPN product. Edited November 2, 2015 by BillsFan-4-Ever
BuffaloHokie13 Posted November 2, 2015 Posted November 2, 2015 I hope they all pick the Fish Then Karma can't bite the Bills on the azz. Lets go Tyrod, Shady, Sammy, Clay and company. JSS Heard something on the Czabe this AM (who is back on the air in the DC region) mentioned ESPN dropping the other media outlet. I could be wrong but I think he said FiveThirtyEight was also an ESPN product. Grantland is what they dropped. It was originally a Bill Simmons project, so it makes some sense that it was shut down once he was let go.
CodeMonkey Posted November 2, 2015 Author Posted November 2, 2015 I could be wrong but I think he said FiveThirtyEight was also an ESPN product. So it would seem from the bottom of their page. ©2015 ESPN Internet Ventures.
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted November 2, 2015 Posted November 2, 2015 (edited) So it would seem from the bottom of their page. never went there but thanks for verifying Grantland is what they dropped. It was originally a Bill Simmons project, so it makes some sense that it was shut down once he was let go. let go or quit?? Edited November 2, 2015 by BillsFan-4-Ever
CodeMonkey Posted November 4, 2015 Author Posted November 4, 2015 Added CBS and the rest of the models.
BarleyNY Posted November 4, 2015 Posted November 4, 2015 never went there but thanks for verifying let go or quit?? ESPN is hemorrhaging money so you'll notice a lot of cost cutting measures there.
ALLEN1QB Posted November 4, 2015 Posted November 4, 2015 This is a very tough game for Miami with Buffalo having the bye, players getting healthy, and not to mention that we always give Tanny trouble. I give them little chance of beating us. Bills win big 40 - 13
CodeMonkey Posted November 4, 2015 Author Posted November 4, 2015 Predictions of 7-9 make me sad. A couple injury filled games have negatively biased the data the models use. If all goes well that should begin to reverse after this week.
BarleyNY Posted November 4, 2015 Posted November 4, 2015 I could be wrong but I think he said FiveThirtyEight was also an ESPN product. fivethirtyeight is well know for political predictions (it is unbiased and usually the most accurate) and does a lot with economics, science, etc. They've also been into modeling predictive models for different sports so I'd wager ESPN partnered with them to get their modeling expertise on the sports stuff. The Freakenomics guys do similar modeling and actually showed that Sumo wrestling was fixed in certain cases. Apparently they did the same with horse racing, but instead of making the data and conclusions public they decided it'd be better to continue to bet on the races. Which was probably a really good way to go since a bunch of people in the Sumo community wound up murdered by the Yakuza after that scandal broke.
BarleyNY Posted November 4, 2015 Posted November 4, 2015 A couple injury filled games have negatively biased the data the models use. If all goes well that should begin to reverse after this week. Any reasonably sophisticated model would take things like that into consideration. But don't forget that those models give odds and report the most likely scenario. Better (and worse) scenarios can have decent chances too.
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted November 4, 2015 Posted November 4, 2015 (edited) This is a very tough game for Miami with Buffalo having the bye, players getting healthy, and not to mention that we always give Tanny trouble. I give them little chance of beating us. Bills win big 40 - 13 Except when Orton faced them last season. Seems Orton was Tannys anti kryptonite Edited November 4, 2015 by BillsFan-4-Ever
26CornerBlitz Posted November 4, 2015 Posted November 4, 2015 @SBNationNFL Our experts think the unbeatens will roll in Week 9, but are split on Packers vs. Panthers. http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2015/11/4/9667242/2015-nfl-picks-predictions-experts-week-9-bengals-patriots-broncos-favorites
CodeMonkey Posted November 4, 2015 Author Posted November 4, 2015 @SBNationNFL Our experts think the unbeatens will roll in Week 9, but are split on Packers vs. Panthers. http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2015/11/4/9667242/2015-nfl-picks-predictions-experts-week-9-bengals-patriots-broncos-favorites 5-3 Bills. Same as CBS.
Big Turk Posted November 4, 2015 Posted November 4, 2015 This is a very tough game for Miami with Buffalo having the bye, players getting healthy, and not to mention that we always give Tanny trouble. I give them little chance of beating us. Bills win big 40 - 13 Have you seen Rex's 1-5 record after the bye? Including that drubbing in Detroit last year at the hands of the Bills...
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted November 4, 2015 Posted November 4, 2015 Have you seen Rex's 1-5 record after the bye? Including that drubbing in Detroit last year at the hands of the Bills... Yup, last season Geno was bad.
MikeSpeed Posted November 4, 2015 Posted November 4, 2015 This is a very tough game for Miami with Buffalo having the bye, players getting healthy, and not to mention that we always give Tanny trouble. I give them little chance of beating us. Bills win big 40 - 13 You do know that the Dolphins had an extended week also? They played a Thursday night game.
26CornerBlitz Posted November 5, 2015 Posted November 5, 2015 NFL Live: Ryan Clark and Brian Dawkins on Dolphins at Bills (0:55)
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