26CornerBlitz Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 @darrenrovell: Indy's @TaylorsBakery is selling Tom Brady court sketch cookies (H/T @Dr_Frantz)
BringBackFergy Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 Rex talks a big game - we get beat Greg Hardy talks **** - Cowgirls get slaughtered. Colts make cookies with court sketch frosting - I predict a blowout
Canadian Bills Fan Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 Dont poke the bear people! No wonder BB runs up the score late in the game! CBF
26CornerBlitz Posted October 16, 2015 Author Posted October 16, 2015 Dont poke the bear people! No wonder BB runs up the score late in the game! CBF They are going to give the Colts a Good Old Fashioned Ass Whoopin' for squealing on them in the deflate gate debacle.
KD in CA Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 Rex talks a big game - we get beat Greg Hardy talks **** - Cowgirls get slaughtered. Colts make cookies with court sketch frosting - I predict a blowout Yup. -10 seems like a total gimmie.
plenzmd1 Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 (edited) Rex talks a big game - we get beat Greg Hardy talks **** - Cowgirls get slaughtered. Colts make cookies with court sketch frosting - I predict a blowout 90% of money on Pats right now...wowzer.Public usually wrong! Strong, strong contrarian play here . Also, 82% on Bengals....I feel my first parlay of the season.. Bills-Colts, coming up BTW, these are great charts when someone brings up" Vegas doesn't bet, all they want is 50-50 split on bets" http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-public-betting-chart Edited October 16, 2015 by plenzmd1
BringBackFergy Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 90% of money on Pats right now...wowzer.Public usually wrong! Strong, strong contrarian play here . Also, 82% on Bengals....I feel my first parlay of the season.. Bills-Colts, coming up BTW, these are great charts when someone brings up" Vegas doesn't bet, all they want is 50-50 split on bets" http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-public-betting-chart I wish I knew a bookie. I'd be putting money on the Bills this week. (Hoping that wasn't the kiss of death)
Canadian Bills Fan Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 They are going to give the Colts a Good Old Fashioned Ass Whoopin' for squealing on them in the deflate gate debacle. Oh man I forgot about that CBF
FLFan Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 The Colts do not match up well at all with the Pats**. They are very overrated in general, but not even close to the weight class of their opponent. Blowout city.
plenzmd1 Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 (edited) I wish I knew a bookie. I'd be putting money on the Bills this week. (Hoping that wasn't the kiss of death) fairly easy to open an account at any number of offshore books. I have never had an issue using Bovada The Colts do not match up well at all with the Pats**. They are very overrated in general, but not even close to the weight class of their opponent. Blowout city. it sure looks that way....but that much money on one side usually indicate the guys who make thier living doing this(bookmakers) want to take money on the Pats...just a thought Edited October 16, 2015 by plenzmd1
TheFunPolice Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 The Colts get blown out every time they play NE* I expect NE* to score 70
KD in CA Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 90% of money on Pats right now...wowzer.Public usually wrong! Strong, strong contrarian play here . Also, 82% on Bengals....I feel my first parlay of the season.. Bills-Colts, coming up BTW, these are great charts when someone brings up" Vegas doesn't bet, all they want is 50-50 split on bets" http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-public-betting-chart So why don't the lines move more when that happens? Isn't it beneficial for Vegas from a risk standpoint to have the wagers be more balanced?
FLFan Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 it sure looks that way....but that much money on one side usually indicate the guys who make thier living doing this(bookmakers) want to take money on the Pats...just a thoughtIt is not surprising that the Pats** get bet up, but it is curious that the line is not moving to compensate. Perhaps the feeling is that because the Colts are home they can keep it close. I just do not see it. Luck coming back from injury and the Colts D just does not match up. The only way this stays within 10 is if Belicheat lays off the gas after a acquiring a big lead and Luck scores some meaningless points in the end. This is why I do not bet on football anymore.
plenzmd1 Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 So why don't the lines move more when that happens? Isn't it beneficial for Vegas from a risk standpoint to have the wagers be more balanced? It is if they were looking only to manage risk...but they are looking to make money. Small places etc will lay off their bets...but the big books make way more money on being on the right side of the line than they do by getting the 10% Now, the 10% sure as chit don't hurt. Basic premise is public over-bets the favorite relative to power numbers ( not the stupid power polls on the net, ones using advanced stats) and relative value. They will also bet a few teams more than most..Steelers,Packers, Cowboys Pats being the big 4. So, the house basically says in most endeavors like sports betting, public is wrong and they take other side. Vegas has very ,very bad year if favorites cover over 60% of games...and i mean very bad. Line will move a ton when a non national underdog team starts to take a ton of money...ala the Bills week 1. Bills Opened +3, game ended up a pick em!
Formerly Allan in MD Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 You can eat his cookies, but he'll eat your lunch.
KD in CA Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 It is if they were looking only to manage risk...but they are looking to make money. Small places etc will lay off their bets...but the big books make way more money on being on the right side of the line than they do by getting the 10% Now, the 10% sure as chit don't hurt. Basic premise is public over-bets the favorite relative to power numbers ( not the stupid power polls on the net, ones using advanced stats) and relative value. They will also bet a few teams more than most..Steelers,Packers, Cowboys Pats being the big 4. So, the house basically says in most endeavors like sports betting, public is wrong and they take other side. Vegas has very ,very bad year if favorites cover over 60% of games...and i mean very bad. Line will move a ton when a non national underdog team starts to take a ton of money...ala the Bills week 1. Bills Opened +3, game ended up a pick em! Interesting, thanks. So the big 4 typically have inflated lines since they know the public will bet them anyway.
YoloinOhio Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 (edited) Brady gonna throw for 800 and 10 TDs and then sit back in his cozy Uggs for some court sketch cookies and milk. Edited October 16, 2015 by YoloinOhio
YoloinOhio Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 Eager to see this @AroundTheNFL: Chuck Pagano: Colts will deploy 'all hands on deck' to cover Rob Gronkowski http://t.co/jGL1HCHz0Z
plenzmd1 Posted October 16, 2015 Posted October 16, 2015 Interesting, thanks. So the big 4 typically have inflated lines since they know the public will bet them anyway. it definitely factors into the initial line. The whole gambling/book- making thing fascinates me...like winning ...just wish i did it more.
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