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Posted (edited)

CBS with Spread (Bills +2.5) : 4 take the Bills and 4 take the Fish. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/3)

CBS Straight Up:4 take the Bills and 4 take the Fish. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/3)

ESPN: 7 and the computer take the Bills and 6 take the Fish. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks)

Microsoft Cortana (Really bad week, Went 6-10 in week 2): Fish win 59,8% chance. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/)

FiveThirtyEight (Really bad week, Went 7-8 (one was a draw) in week 2): Fish 51% Bills 49% (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/)

 

As a side note, FiveThirtyEight has the Pats beating the Jags with a 91% chance. And Cortana is more pessimistic at 80% ;)

Edited by CodeMonkey
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Posted

We have a slight lean on Buffalo. Our line is Buffalo +1. The public may be on Buffalo, but the line has moved in favor of Miami.

 

TRENDS SUPPORTING OUR PICK

 

  • Buffalo Bills 6-3 On Road since last season
  • Miami Dolphins 3-4-1 At Home since last season
  • Buffalo Bills 8-3 As Underdog or PK since last season
  • Miami Dolphins 5-6 As Favorite since last season
  • Buffalo Bills 5-2 As Road Underdog since last season
  • Miami Dolphins 2-4 As Home Favorite since last season

 

Sportsline.com Game Forecast

Posted

Miami will be a cake walk

Some were saying that about NE. But in any event, the numbers (albeit early in the season) favor the Fish a little, most pundits have it fairly even, it is an away game in the heat and on grass. Cake walk indeed. Not saying the Bills are going to lose, but to think they will win easy is misguided in my opinion.

Posted (edited)

Pundits love miami for some reason. Every year is supposed to be theirs. Even a loss to jags doesn't seem to have changed the rosy outlook

Miami is a top 10 TV market. Nobody ever lost $ telling a lot of people what they want to hear.

 

Objectively: The Dolphins have the worst QB in the AFCE, and I've been saying that for at least 2 years now. I've posted screen shots. I've talked about situations and schemes. I've shown that the guy is worse than EJ in practically every aspect of the QB position.

 

Yet, for reasons passing all understanding, we are STILL told that Tannehill is "trending towards being a top 5 QB". Besides the overuse of the word trending, again, this is simply not true, by any generally accepted measure. There's 0 empirical evidence that puts Tannehill above ANY QB currently playing in the league. No trend exists toward anything other than "continues to remain in the back half of NFL QBs". The data on this guy is actually pretty flat over the last 3 years: he gets a lot of garbage time stats, which distort the big picture, and get him higher QBR #s(one of the main problems with QBR). When the game is on the line/close? Not so much. "Trending" requires, you know, trending. :lol: /facepalm

 

This is like Sanchez all over again. It's like what has been going on with Romo, forever. The mediots won't let it go, because doing so goes against their business model.

Edited by OCinBuffalo
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