Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Posted

Because I think a healthy Pitt team (namely Ben) is the best team in the league. I believe they will beat the Pats in AFC champ

 

You comfortable out there on that limb? Crack!...Crack!

  • Replies 456
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Posted

1) beat the Texans

2) New England* actually serves a purpose for good instead of evil, and beats the Jets

3) beat the Jets

4) beat Philly whose team quit on its coach and has packed it in.

5) beat Cassel led Dallas at home

 

 

It all comes down to Washington. That's the toughest game left IF they can get by Houston. But 10-6 is right freaking there!

Posted

@Gil_Brandt: Pay attention to tiebreakers in AFC South. Could have tie for first place w/ one team being left out of playoffs. Has that ever happened?

 

Yes. In 1982 or so, the Cowboys played Washington in the final game of the season at Texas Stadiu,. Washington entered with a one game lead. Cowboys won on some Roger Staubach to Tony Hill late game heroics and Cowboys won tie breaker and Washington went fishing. It was great. I was at that game.

Posted

@Gil_Brandt: Pay attention to tiebreakers in AFC South. Could have tie for first place w/ one team being left out of playoffs. Has that ever happened?

2008 with the Pats. They tied the Dolphins with an 11-5 record and didn't make the playoffs.

Posted (edited)

Week 13 - Teams the Bills need to lose (bold)

Captain Obvious says Houston @ Buffalo

KC @ Raiders

NYETS @ NY Giants

JAX @ TENN

Colts @ PIT

 

Basically all the Home teams need a Win with the exception of the Steelers

 

And who wouldn't love to see Philly Win @ the Putz?

Edited by BillsFan-4-Ever
Posted

AFC Wild Card update

With Sunday’s action complete here’s a look at the AFC playoff picture following Pittsburgh’s win over Indianapolis.

 

Pittsburgh improved to 7-5 keeping them ahead of Buffalo at 6-6. Meanwhile Indianapolis fell to 6-6, but remains the AFC South division leader over Houston (6-6) by virtue of their head-to-head win over the Texans. They also have a superior division record and conference record.

 

AFC Wild Card race

5 – Kansas City – 7-5 – conference record 6-2

6 – New York Jets- 7-5 – conference record 5-4

7 – Pittsburgh – 7-5 – conference record 4-4

8 – Buffalo – 6-6 – conference record – 6-5

9 – Houston – 6-6 – conference record – 4-4

10 – Oakland – 5-7 – conference record – 5-4

Posted

KC is pretty much in. Their schedule is about as easy as it gets: Chargers, Ravens, Browns and Raiders. I can't realistically imagine them going worse than 3-1 over that stretch, They will have the head-to-he and and conference tiebreakers over the Bills.

Posted (edited)

So with 4 weeks to go the AFC wildcard picture looks a little clearer.......

 

Houston and the AFC South

Houston at 6-6 with New England and Indy in their next two is in trouble. They have the tie break over the Jets but are now behind the tie break against the Bills and the Chiefs meaning that realistically to get in they need to either win out..... getting to 10-6 which would probably win them the AFC South - they might win the South at 9-7 which if they do knocks Indy who are behind the tiebreaker against Buffalo, the Jets and the Steelers out. Basically last night's game all but guaranteed there will be no wildcard from the South.

 

The Chiefs and the AFC West

Kansas City are now 7-5 and have the tiebreak on three of the 4 rivals.... with wins over the Bills, the Steelers and the Texans. They have San Diego, Cleveland, Baltimore and Oakland remaining on the schedule.... a combined 14-34 on the season so far. They are all but a lock for the 5th seed.

 

Bills, Jets, Steelers and the 6th seed

So it is a three horse race. The Jets are currently in pole position at 7-5, the Steelers are just behind them also at 7-5 and the Bills are a game back at 6-6. The Jets are currently ahead on conference record - the Steelers have 4 in conference wins and the Jets have 5.

 

Obviously if one of them wins out they are in. If they both win out, however, that will even up the conference record and then the Steelers will have the tiebreak based on results in common games.

 

If neither win out but both drop one game and the Bills win out...... well this is where it gets interesting.

 

- In a 3 way tie at 10-6 the Jets would be eliminated (because the Bills would have beaten them twice)

- The Steelers would then get in ahead of the Bills on results in common games IF one of their 2 wins is against Cincy.

- If the game that the Steelers lose is against Cincy then the Bills would win the tie based on strength of victory.

 

In most situations where there is a 2 way tie at 10-6 between Pitt and NYJ the Steelers get in.

 

So what about ties at 9-7?

 

The most likely scenario of ties at 9-7 actually suits the Bills. That is the Steelers losing to Cincy and Denver; the Jets losing to New England and Buffalo and Buffalo dropping one of their 3 NFC East games. In that scenario the Bills beat the Steelers on in conference record. The only scenario I can find where Pittsburgh has the 9-7 tie over the Bills would need them to beat Cincy and Denver and lose to both Baltimore and Cleveland. Which ain't happening.

 

However, any scenario where the Bills tie the Steelers at 9-7 with a loss to the Jets probably means the Jets are in at 10-6..... in the unlikely event that isn't the case and the Jets have lost either to the Titans or the Cowboys then the Bills would beat out the Jets on results in common games and the Steelers on strength of victory.

 

Essentially folks it comes down to this..... winning out gives us the best shot but finishing 10-6 and not getting in remains a real possibility. 9-7 ties across the board actually suit us.

 

The Philly game is big for the Bills this week but I'd argue it isn't the BIGGEST game of the week for our hopes..... we NEED Cincy over Pittsburgh much, much more. If the Steelers win that then it is a very difficult road for us.

Edited by GunnerBill
Posted

The Jets have a tougher road with the Titians, Cowbois, Pats and Bills. Obviously if the Bills win out they'd have no worse than the same record and same conf record. They'd obviously also have the h2h tiebreaker.

Posted

I know Pitt looked awesome last night, but if Cincy can beat them next week this would start to clear our largest obstacle. Cincy can clinch their division with a win, so lots on the line for them too. Go Bengals and Bills!

it is a huge game. Pitt dig themselves a hole with early afc losses so they are behind in tie breakers. If they win this game it is huge for them.
Posted

Once again that Chiefs game killed us (not to mention the Jags). We need to win out, plain and simple, and hope that the steelers lose one, and a conference game at that.

 

We can hope but I'm not that optimistic. This team doesn't look like it can run off 5 wins in a row. But it would be so fun for it to come down to the last game of the year.

Posted

Thanks for what is a thorough synopsis of what has to happen. Seems like its a tough road to hoe for the Bills going forward. I thought the Philly game was a lock three weeks ago but not so sure now.

Posted (edited)

The Steelers finish with the Bengals, Broncos, Ravens and Browns. Two tough games - including at the Bengals on a short week - and two easy ones. We should know if the Bills have a shot to pass them by the 20th. If they go 3-1 their Conf record will be the same as the Bills if the Bills win out. The Bills would pull ahead in that tiebreaker if the Steelers go 2-2 and the Bills 3-1 including a win over the Jets. No h2h obviously.

Edited by BarleyNY
×
×
  • Create New...