eball Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 Hey mods -- perhaps pin this thread for folks interested in the betting aspects of our games week to week? W2 -- Pats*** --------------- Open -- Pats*** -1 Tuesday -- early money moved line to a pick'em Wednesday -- line back at Pats*** -1
26CornerBlitz Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 (edited) You can track Vegas line changes here: Patriots at Bills Vegas Lines I link this site each week in the OP of the Game Preparation Thread as seen here: http://forums.twobillsdrive.com/topic/180845-week-2-patriots-game-preparation/?do=findComment&comment=3680389 Edited September 16, 2015 by 26CornerBlitz
Andrew Son Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 I wonder when was the last time the Pats*** weren't favored against us?
17 Josh Allen Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 I like the idea of having this thread every week it's makes for a good edition to the weekly info on the Bills games.
machine gun kelly Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 I can't blame them for +1 Buffalo as Brady has beaten us for 14 years. Don't misunderstand, I hate this team. I'm flying up for the game and fully expect to lose my voice, and yes, we will win. I also will celebrate with Mighty Taco, and Genesee Light Beer.
Andrew Son Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 I can't blame them for +1 Buffalo as Brady has beaten us for 14 years. Don't misunderstand, I hate this team. I'm flying up for the game and fully expect to lose my voice, and yes, we will win. I also will celebrate with Mighty Taco, and Genesee Light Beer. Glad I won't be on your flight home...
eball Posted September 16, 2015 Author Posted September 16, 2015 I expect this to be the last game all season in which the opponent is favored at RWS.
ricojes Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 I can't blame them for +1 Buffalo as Brady has beaten us for 14 years. Don't misunderstand, I hate this team. I'm flying up for the game and fully expect to lose my voice, and yes, we will win. I also will celebrate with Mighty Taco, and Genesee Light Beer. This is the first year in recent history, or maybe ever, our owner has shelled out big money for coaches and players in the same season. Hopefully it pays off with a win, another loss would be deflating...
eball Posted September 16, 2015 Author Posted September 16, 2015 You can track Vegas line changes here: Patriots at Bills Vegas Lines I link this site each week in the OP of the Game Preparation Thread as seen here: http://forums.twobillsdrive.com/topic/180845-week-2-patriots-game-preparation/?do=findComment&comment=3680389 Cool -- how do you get to that link? I can't find it in the vegas insider menu anywhere? Also -- despite you including it in your pre-game prep thread I like the idea of a separate thread dedicated just to the spread.
machine gun kelly Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 Glad I won't be on your flight home... That was funny. I'll take my GI medicine, but my kids will suffer for 2.5 hours early Monday morning. This is the first year in recent history, or maybe ever, our owner has shelled out big money for coaches and players in the same season. Hopefully it pays off with a win, another loss would be deflating... Ricos- I agree. I'm so excited we paid for top coaching, and I believe in whaley. To be clear, I just understand with the history, the Vegas guys would pick the Patriots. I still believe we will consistently be the underdog as we are the Bills and eventually after 6 games or so the talking heads will start talking about the Bills.
ricojes Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 Ricos- I agree. I'm so excited we paid for top coaching, and I believe in whaley. To be clear, I just understand with the history, the Vegas guys would pick the Patriots. I still believe we will consistently be the underdog as we are the Bills and eventually after 6 games or so the talking heads will start talking about the Bills. Absolutely, it's only week 2. There is no reason the Bills should be favorites against the defending SB *champs, I have no issues with it, just think it may be a little different this year...
gregmo Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 Glad I won't be on your flight home... I guess it's better than Cream Ale.
26CornerBlitz Posted September 16, 2015 Posted September 16, 2015 Cool -- how do you get to that link? I can't find it in the vegas insider menu anywhere? Also -- despite you including it in your pre-game prep thread I like the idea of a separate thread dedicated just to the spread. Go for it!
26CornerBlitz Posted September 17, 2015 Posted September 17, 2015 @NESN Vegas isn't looking quite as kindly on the Patriots this week. http://nesn.com/?p=518754
Gordio Posted September 17, 2015 Posted September 17, 2015 That was funny. I'll take my GI medicine, but my kids will suffer for 2.5 hours early Monday morning. Ricos- I agree. I'm so excited we paid for top coaching, and I believe in whaley. To be clear, I just understand with the history, the Vegas guys would pick the Patriots. I still believe we will consistently be the underdog as we are the Bills and eventually after 6 games or so the talking heads will start talking about the Bills. I see these threads pop up every so often. The lines are set by the Vegas guys but it has nothing to do with who they think is going to win. In a perfect world for the wiseguys in Vegas that set the lines they want to create a line where it will draw 50% action on one side & 50% action on the other side. That way they are guaranteed 10% profit on the action with no risk involved. I was surprised by this line as I thought the line would be Pats -4 or so.
eball Posted September 17, 2015 Author Posted September 17, 2015 I see these threads pop up every so often. The lines are set by the Vegas guys but it has nothing to do with who they think is going to win. In a perfect world for the wiseguys in Vegas that set the lines they want to create a line where it will draw 50% action on one side & 50% action on the other side. That way they are guaranteed 10% profit on the action with no risk involved. I was surprised by this line as I thought the line would be Pats -4 or so. Yes and no. I'll let the other Vegas junkies weigh in.
Gordio Posted September 17, 2015 Posted September 17, 2015 Yes and no. I'll let the other Vegas junkies weigh in. Well that is a simplistic explanation & of course it doesn't cover all the bases. You got public money/public perception vs where the money is going on from the professionals & other variables. But the foundation of these point spreads is to get 50% action on each side.
26CornerBlitz Posted September 17, 2015 Posted September 17, 2015 @JaySkurski Via @BovadaLV, the #Bills' Super Bowl odds have dropped from 50/1 to 25/1 win after their convincing Week One win over the Colts. Also via @BovadaLV, the #Bills' better SB odds aren't helping this week. 85 percent of bets are on the Pats -1.5, their lopsided bet game.
Gordio Posted September 17, 2015 Posted September 17, 2015 @JaySkurski Via @BovadaLV, the #Bills' Super Bowl odds have dropped from 50/1 to 25/1 win after their convincing Week One win over the Colts. Also via @BovadaLV, the #Bills' better SB odds aren't helping this week. 85 percent of bets are on the Pats -1.5, their lopsided bet game. I got to tell you I follow this stuff very closely. Vegas took an absolute beating in the sports books for opening weekend. Said it was their worse opening weekend in 20 years. Putting 2 & 2 together, I had the line figured around Patriots -4. If the line is -1.5 & 85% of the action is going on the Patriots, I don't want to jinx anything but this all points to a win for the Bills. Remember you heard it here first. Vegas very rarely loses big 2 weeks in a row.
Perry Turtle Posted September 17, 2015 Posted September 17, 2015 I got to tell you I follow this stuff very closely. Vegas took an absolute beating in the sports books for opening weekend. Said it was their worse opening weekend in 20 years. Putting 2 & 2 together, I had the line figured around Patriots -4. If the line is -1.5 & 85% of the action is going on the Patriots, I don't want to jinx anything but this all points to a win for the Bills. Remember you heard it here first. Vegas very rarely loses big 2 weeks in a row. Yep. Vegas is betting the Bills to win this week.
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