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Posted

Most teams in the NFL have a 10-6 or 6-10 range. I would put the Bills ceiling at 11-5 however since I do think the talent on the roster is great if Taylor proves to be a half way decent QB. But I think for 18 NFL teams you could pencil them into that type of mid level prognostication.

Posted

Ceiling/floor for each AFC team in 2015

 

He has the Bills at 10-6 and 6-10.

 

I don't see why it's impossible to reach 11-5. Ceiling implies that everything goes well and you stay healthy. Why couldn't that be 11-5? Conversely, if everything went wrong for the Pats, they could fare worse than 9-7.

 

This kind of stuff is just fluff to give football-starved fans something to read. It's the equivalent of a Golf Digest sitting by the toilet at a repair shop.

Posted

There's no way that I buy 10-6 as the ceiling. There's a real possibility that the Bills can start 9-0 if they are able to win the game in Miami in week 3. I peg their upside at around 12-4. They split with the Dolphins and Patriots, drop the game @ Phily and then lose another game that they shouldn't lose on the road. Tyrod would need to fail on an epic scale for them to end up at 6-10. I just don't see that happening.

Posted

I don't see why it's impossible to reach 11-5. Ceiling implies that everything goes well and you stay healthy. Why couldn't that be 11-5? Conversely, if everything went wrong for the Pats, they could fare worse than 9-7.

 

This kind of stuff is just fluff to give football-starved fans something to read. It's the equivalent of a Golf Digest sitting by the toilet at a repair shop.

You know the Patriots will get the benefit of the doubt given their long run of success under Belichick and Brady. Conversely, the Bills will be doubted even under the best of circumstances given the 15 years of playoff futility.

Posted (edited)

I honestly think the bills ceiling is 13-3 and the Super Bowl. I honestly believe that. I wanna say their floor is 8-8. But the Bills definitely have that "I'll believe it when I see it" stigma attached to them- which they should. IF Tyrod Taylor can even be Russell Wilson lite, which I think he can be, AND they stay healthy, there's absolutely no reason the Bills can't be a legitimate Super Bowl contender this season.

Edited by metzelaars_lives
Posted

The most interesting team in the league right now, unfortunately, is the Patriots. They're the first one I looked at out of curiousity. The fact that Brady may not play for 4 weeks is huge, and could easily mean 3 lost games.

 

Steelers, @Bills, Jags, @Cowboys.

 

I see two losses there and at least one win. I think Jacksonville will be slept on by many teams and they'll pick up W's. The Bills or Steelers, one of them will beat NE. The Cowboys aren't great but they have success on the field and early.

 

Brady comes back in a weak spot

@Indy
NYJets
Fins
Skins
@Giants
But, he often gets off to a slow start. He has the last 3-4 years. If he sputters against Indy and the Jets that could be one loss, giving them 3 losses already out of 6 games. 3-3 isn't ideal playing Miami who gets all the hype but lets say they win two of the next 3 games they're 5-4
Bills
@Broncos
Eagles
@Texans
I see there are at least 2 losses there. Worst case scenario, as we are playing, there is 3. That's 6-7.
Down the stretch:
Titans
@Jets
@Miami
There is 2 wins there and one loss.
They could easily be 8-8. That's after believing they go 2-2 without Brady, which I am not certain of - and therefore, I believe their basement is easily 7-9. It would be abso!@#$inglutely amazing to see that happen.

 

 

On the other hand, for us. I have us:

 

Worst
Colts - L
Pats* - L
@Fins - L
Gints - L
@Titans - W
Bungles - L
@London - W
Fins - L
Jests - W
@Pats* - L
@Chefs - L
Texans - W
@Iggles - L
@Redskins - W
Cowboys - L
Jets - W
6-10
Worst
Colts - W
Pats* - W
@Fins - L
Gints - W
@Titans - W
Bungles - W
@London - W
Fins - W
Jests - W
@Pats* - L
@Chefs - W
Texans - W
@Iggles - L
@Redskins - W
Cowboys - W
Jets - L
12-4
Posted

I don't see why it's impossible to reach 11-5. Ceiling implies that everything goes well and you stay healthy. Why couldn't that be 11-5? Conversely, if everything went wrong for the Pats, they could fare worse than 9-7.

 

This kind of stuff is just fluff to give football-starved fans something to read. It's the equivalent of a Golf Digest sitting by the toilet at a repair shop.

I have a funny feeling about Tyrod. My prediction for this year is 13-3

Posted

 

I think that's fair. The Bills are not the only team in the division that has improved. If Miami and the Jets were still in 2012 mode I'd say 11 or 12.

So you see the Bills as an 8-8 team? (That's really what the writer is saying.). That seems unduly pessimistic since they were 9-7* last year with incompetent coaching, and the overall talent level appears to have improved this year. Can you explain? Do you think Tyrod will perform worse than EJ/Orton did last year?
Posted

So you see the Bills as an 8-8 team? (That's really what the writer is saying.). That seems unduly pessimistic since they were 9-7* last year with incompetent coaching, and the overall talent level appears to have improved this year. Can you explain? Do you think Tyrod will perform worse than EJ/Orton did last year?

 

Where did I post anything even remotely close to that?

 

I think there's a much higher likelihood of 10-6 than I do 6-10. I also think the improved division top to bottom will make it difficult to win more than 10 games.

Posted (edited)

 

Where did I post anything even remotely close to that?

 

I think there's a much higher likelihood of 10-6 than I do 6-10. I also think the improved division top to bottom will make it difficult to win more than 10 games.

Statistically, if the most they can win is 10 and the least is 6, then the most likely outcome is probably 8, right? That's both the average and the mean of the two numbers. If there is a high likelihood they could win 10, then why is it all but impossible for them to win 11? You really don't see any way this team gets to 11-5? I think they have an easier schedule than last year, notwithstanding that the Jets and 'phins may be somewhat improved. (I think the Pats will not be as good as they were in 2014, so that probably offsets any likely improvement by the jets and dolphins.)

Edited by mannc
Posted

So for all the upgrades in talent and coaching, plus an easier schedule, the 2015 Bills are no better than the 2014 Marrone model?

I agree. Makes no sense whatsoever.

Posted (edited)

I'm biased but the ceiling and floor is way off for the Bills. 8-12 seems to make more sense.Also, I'm not getting all the love for the Colts. Just heard on the radio that they could likely favored in all 16 games? huh. Also, I'm not seeing the Dolphins as positively as alot of people seem to be. It always seems like the media jumps on certain teams every year and they all view them the same way, and the ones they are so sure about - well they perform just the opposite.

Edited by The Thurmanator
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