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Let;s get specific about the market for Jennings


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I am basing that on the fact that I dont think Jennings will command Pace type free agent money.....

 

If he DOES then I think we have to let him walk......and bring in another "2nd tier" LT to go along with a new LG

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I think the key questions are:

 

1. Is Jennings second tier- I think he is and most Bills fans are biased because we love the Bills. Even though I think JJ is a solid player, I think any player who:

 

A. fails to start 16 games in his entire career as an LT;

B. gets called for penalties too often and more often than his teammates;

C. gets beaten like a drum consistently in a game versus Abraham is not part of the 1st tier. Occaisionally mistakes happen, consistent mistakes happen to players who are not 1st tier.

 

Jenning has some potential, but his inability to start 16 makes this potential too big of a risk for first tier contract when there are other second tier choices available.

 

Does anyone out there want to make the case that Jennings is a 1st tier LT. If you do you need to explain why his record of starts is no issue, why his record of penalties is no issue and why his being beaten in a game by Abraham and from time to time is no issue.

 

2. How much of a cap hit do you pay for a second tier LT- LT cap hits in the real world are:

 

A. $7 million at franchise tag levels

B. $6 million at transition tag levels

C. $5 million as a going rate for contracts signed by players I judge to be second tiers like Clifton and Petitgout.

 

Folks have every rght to whatever opinion they want. However, if they have any desire (which they need not have because one of the fun things about the NFL and TSW is tha fact-free opinions are fine and dandy) to even pretend that their opinions are based in some type of logical assessment that the NFL certainly doesn't deserve compared to important stuff like family and world peace, then then should have some type of cut on these questions,

 

In my view JJ is a solid but clearly second tier LT. Thoughts that he has the potential for more are valid, but are not substantiated by the facts beyond hopeful thinking because he has zero record of completing a season without serious (miss a start or more) injury.

 

Further, it is my guess (and we all have guesses when it comes to the future) that though even solid but second tier LTs have been able to command a salary at the $5 million annual level in the past, all the contracts signed by lesser talents like Clifton and Petitgout have reduced demand enough that TD has the ability to stick-up Jennings for a less than $5 million contract because the market demand for LTs is lower because most teams are already financially committed at LT and cap hit limitations stop teams that have a need from offering a boatload to JJ.iI think the Bills can comfortably snatch JJ for a salary a million or so less than the $5 million annual salary and if one of the 3 or 4 teams that can afford to pay more choose to do so, then let him walk because though he has potential, potential means you haven't done anything yet. The bottomline is that JJ has not been able to play a full season yet and the Bills can do better for the same and potentially a lesser expendture.

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