Fadingpain Posted November 30, 2014 Posted November 30, 2014 Let's cut to the chase: we are going to need 10 wins to have a solid shot at the playoffs. That means we beat Oakland and then have to beat 2 of Denver, Green Bay, and New England. The odds are way against it, of course, but can it be done? If so, which 2 upsets do we pull off in your opinion? Why?
Buffalo Barbarian Posted November 30, 2014 Posted November 30, 2014 all of em going undefeated the rest of the way!!
Clockwork Posted November 30, 2014 Posted November 30, 2014 Green Bay looks dominant so far (at home) against the pats, so I'll have to say Denver and NE, but that is a tough task
Max997 Posted November 30, 2014 Posted November 30, 2014 Have to beat GB and Oakland then hope Pats don't need the game. Only way I see them getting to 10 wins
GunnerBill Posted November 30, 2014 Posted November 30, 2014 Still a long shot... but the AFC North does noticeably worse when they are not playing the NFC South..... that might mean there are a few more shock results for those teams down the road.
djp14150 Posted November 30, 2014 Posted November 30, 2014 (edited) Buffalo had a real shot but tie breakers could hurt them. They lose H2H against HOU, KC and SD Have H2H against Cleveland See what happens next week with Denver They beat GB they would be 4-0 against the NFC which will hurt then with conference record tiebreakers The scenarios to route for at 10-6 or 11-5... They beat Denver and Denver and/or Cleveland finish in 2nd place. Buffalo has H2H tiebreakers against both. they need to beat Denver and have them end up in 2nd place with the same record as buffalo and have either KC or SD win the division. For the division they need to win their next 3 and NE lose 2 of their next 4 ( including at GB) thus buffalo is one game back goining into week 17 with a scenario of winner gets division. They need Miami to lose a game because there is a scenario of a 3 team tie at 11-5 or 10-6 and Miami sweeps NE then Miami gets the 3 team tiebreaker. Buffalo has 3rd tiebreaker on NE with common game record by going 1-1 in non common vs New England 2-0. If Miami beats Baltimore next week they go 2-0 so buffalo would have the 3rd tiebreaker on them...if Miami loses then they have the 4th tiebreaker on buffalo with better conference record if tied. 1st tue breaker is H2H 2nd division 3rd common games 4th conference record 5th and beyond are hard to forecast because it's with strength of victory, strength of schedule, and pts scored. For wild car between divisions it's H2H, conference record, then common games. If 3 teams tied from different divisions then it's h2h either one best both IR list to both, then conference record, then common games with minimum of 4 games. Baltimore went 4-0 against NFC so if buffalos only lose was to GB and they are tied at 10-6 then buffalo would have better conference record. If they both go 4-0 against NFC then it's common games which Baltimore likely wins. As if right now the common opponents are Miami, Cleveland, Houston, and San Diego. Buffalo went 2-3 right now Baltimore is 2-1 with MIA and CLE left. For Pittsburgh...they would have better conference record by them going 1-2 against the NFC vs buffalo 3-9 as of now. Edited November 30, 2014 by djp14150
djp14150 Posted November 30, 2014 Posted November 30, 2014 Still a long shot... but the AFC North does noticeably worse when they are not playing the NFC South..... that might mean there are a few more shock results for those teams down the road. They are playing both south divisions..the two weakest so it's inflated their record. It's the type of scenario that can happen The divisions split at 3-3 then they all go 6-2 against 2 weak divisions for a record of 9-5 then it comes down yo common games where they could go 2-0, 1-1, or 0-2 thus you could have a 4th place team at 10-6 and impossible to make the playoffs.
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