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Posted
8 minutes ago, Orlando Tim said:

Do you believe that Hurricanes are caused by  climate change?

The question should be do you believe human activity is primarily responsible for climate change? 

 

(Taking the quote from Joe's post): "The ocean temperatures off the coast of Baja California are much warmer than usual right now," Swain says. "As much as 3 to 6 Fahrenheit — that's a pretty significant increment of additional hurricane fuel." 

 

The part that's provable is hurricanes use warm ocean temperatures to gain strength.  Observations and measurements support that.

 

The problem is the other part of that assessment, warmer than usual, is made using ocean temperature readings of around 100 years or maybe a lot less.  How do you know what the average ocean temperature, or in the example, warmer than usual, has been over a more extended course of time, say 100,000 years or a 100 million years?  Is it higher, lower, the same?  Maybe relatively speaking current ocean temperatures are lower than that average, or maybe higher?  Nobody has any clue for certain what "normal" climate conditions have been over the course of geological time.  These climatologists might be right about things or they might just be pissing into the wind with their eyes closed.     

 

 

 

 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Orlando Tim said:

Do you believe that Hurricanes are caused by  climate change?

Know nothing about meteorology and little about climate science.  But ocean temps in the 90's can't be good in many ways.

2 hours ago, John from Riverside said:

It is interesting we have not had a category one hurricane come at us in my lifetime here in Riverside
 

Meanwhile, my daughter lives further upstate close to Oregon and they’re having a huge fire problem

I lived thru one big hurricane in Louisiana as a kid.  Pretty damn scary.  A tornado came thru here about 10 years ago and that was even more scary.  Very unusual for the mountains.  Sounded like a freight train going by.

Posted
15 hours ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:

Know nothing about meteorology and little about climate science.  But ocean temps in the 90's can't be good in many ways.

I lived thru one big hurricane in Louisiana as a kid.  Pretty damn scary.  A tornado came thru here about 10 years ago and that was even more scary.  Very unusual for the mountains.  Sounded like a freight train going by.

Top 5 worst hurricanes to hit Virginia

1. Hurricane Isabel (2003)

2. Hurricane Camille (1969) Camille is known as the deadliest natural disaster in state history. (Nelson County Museum of History) Camille is known as the deadliest natural disaster in state history. ...

3. Hurricane Agnes (1972) Agnes is known for producing the worst river flooding the River City has ever seen. (Library of Virginia) ...

4. Hurricane Gaston (2004) ...

5. Hurricane Hazel (1954) ..

 

 

Posted

 

 

Take precautions, certainly,

 

but ignore the doomsayers.

 

 

Hurricane Season Means A Surge In Category 5 Climate Lies

Issues & Insights, by The Editorial Board

 

We’re about half way through the 2023 hurricane season, predicted by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasters to be a near-normal year, and it’s been rather quiet. But with a few storms brewing this week in the Atlantic, we expect to hear the usual shrieking from politicians, activists and the media, blaming the weather on man-caused climate change. Our suggestion is to pay no attention to the eco-screamers’ lamentations. On Sunday, the National Hurricane Center issued advisories for a hurricane and a tropical storm in the Atlantic Ocean, and an advisory for a tropical storm in the Eastern Pacific.

 

https://issuesinsights.com/2023/08/29/hurricane-season-means-a-surge-in-category-5-climate-lies/

 

 

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Posted

 

-- Hey, the "lets get the people to eat insects push isn't go too well"

 

-- "No problem, I know just the solution."

 

 

 

 

Liberalism is a mental disorder.

 

 

 

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Posted

 

THE “SCIENCE” IS SETTLED, AND IT WAS SETTLED BEFORE THE ARTICLE WAS WRITTEN: 

 

Climate scientist: Yes, I cooked my Nature article on global warming — and here’s why. 

 

“Feeding the narrative? Check. 

Editorial bias? Check. 

Top-down political influence on science? Double check. 

Bloated Academia competing too hard for too few dollars and openings? Check, at least to a degree.

 

Ironically, that makes the Academia-Media nexus the least interesting part of Brown’s essay, but it’s still plenty interesting — and important, too.”

 

 

https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2023/09/05/climate-scientist-yes-i-cooked-my-nature-article-on-global-warming-and-heres-why-n575844#google_vignette

 

 

 

Then people wonder why the public doesn’t trust the institutions whose members brag about manipulating things.

 

 

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Posted (edited)
On 9/6/2023 at 12:30 PM, B-Man said:

 

THE “SCIENCE” IS SETTLED, AND IT WAS SETTLED BEFORE THE ARTICLE WAS WRITTEN: 

 

Climate scientist: Yes, I cooked my Nature article on global warming — and here’s why. 

 

“Feeding the narrative? Check. 

Editorial bias? Check. 

Top-down political influence on science? Double check. 

Bloated Academia competing too hard for too few dollars and openings? Check, at least to a degree.

 

Ironically, that makes the Academia-Media nexus the least interesting part of Brown’s essay, but it’s still plenty interesting — and important, too.”

 

 

https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2023/09/05/climate-scientist-yes-i-cooked-my-nature-article-on-global-warming-and-heres-why-n575844#google_vignette

 

 

 

Then people wonder why the public doesn’t trust the institutions whose members brag about manipulating things.

 

 

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Sour grapes.  He's out of Academia and he say the paper was accurate.  What's he complaining about x perhaps a much less prestigious job at a "nonprofit" - far right perhaps?  From your cited article:

 

Brown still stands behind that paper, although he has since left his job in Academia for a non-profit where he can speak and act more freely. In the narrow confines of his paper, limited to only climate change, he writes that his paper remains accurate and useful. But because the media and Academia establishments are now limiting all discussion of practically any natural phenomena to “climate change,” much of the causes of wildfires remains undiscussed — and so, therefore, do any practical policies that would mitigate them.  

 

Not undisclosed. discussed plenty...

 

where he works now, breakthrough.org's in their "about" page:

Humanity has made extraordinary progress over the past several centuries. While modernization has had both positive and negative impacts, and the benefits of development have not been equally distributed nor enjoyed by everyone, on the whole human beings live longer, freer, healthier, more prosperous, and more secure lives than our ancestors did.

"There is no guarantee that these trends will continue. But by embracing technology and accelerating modernization for all people, we believe humanity and nature can both thrive for centuries to come."   How very reassuring... How's that for supporting corporate America?

 

He must be deeply disappointed in his current career path with this CV:

 

https://patricktbrown.org/about/

 

and this about the article discussed in B man's rag citation:

https://patricktbrown.org/2023/09/12/correcting-the-record-regarding-my-essay-in-the-free-press/

 

"Much of the public criticism revolves around highly misleading (and in some cases patently false) claims about the research approach that I took in designing the study and what then transpired during the peer review process. One outlet falsely stated that I manipulated data"

 

do some research before you post @B-Man.

 

Edited by Joe Ferguson forever
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Posted
9 hours ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:

Sour grapes.  He's out of Academia and he say the paper was accurate.  What's he complaining about x perhaps a much less prestigious job at a "nonprofit" - far right perhaps?  From your cited article:

 

Brown still stands behind that paper, although he has since left his job in Academia for a non-profit where he can speak and act more freely. In the narrow confines of his paper, limited to only climate change, he writes that his paper remains accurate and useful. But because the media and Academia establishments are now limiting all discussion of practically any natural phenomena to “climate change,” much of the causes of wildfires remains undiscussed — and so, therefore, do any practical policies that would mitigate them.  

 

Not undisclosed. discussed plenty...

 

where he works now, breakthrough.org's in their "about" page:

Humanity has made extraordinary progress over the past several centuries. While modernization has had both positive and negative impacts, and the benefits of development have not been equally distributed nor enjoyed by everyone, on the whole human beings live longer, freer, healthier, more prosperous, and more secure lives than our ancestors did.

"There is no guarantee that these trends will continue. But by embracing technology and accelerating modernization for all people, we believe humanity and nature can both thrive for centuries to come."   How very reassuring... How's that for supporting corporate America?

 

He must be deeply disappointed in his current career path with this CV:

 

https://patricktbrown.org/about/

 

and this about the article discussed in B man's rag citation:

https://patricktbrown.org/2023/09/12/correcting-the-record-regarding-my-essay-in-the-free-press/

 

"Much of the public criticism revolves around highly misleading (and in some cases patently false) claims about the research approach that I took in designing the study and what then transpired during the peer review process. One outlet falsely stated that I manipulated data"

 

do some research before you post @B-Man.

 

The problem with making decisions based on climate models is the limited duration of the data sets.  The  Earth has been going through cycles of warming and cooling for hundreds of millions of years and we're making big policy decisions based on a partial set of data observations of maybe 150 years.  Along with this past models have been terrible at predicting the future.  You have zero accurate temperature readings from previous time.  Only subjective understanding of warmer or colder.  Pronouncements that we have 12 years until the end of humanity embellish the urgency. 

 

Yesterday, climate activists were demonstrating at the UN demanding an end to the use of oil.  What's comical is they were mostly dressed in windbreakers and rain gear composed of materials derived from petrochemicals.  I don't think these people have an comprehension of what the world they're demanding would look like and the implications of switching to more expensive, less efficient, and less reliable sources of electricity generation and the elimination of certain materials which I assume will be replaced by something to be identified. 

Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, All_Pro_Bills said:

The problem with making decisions based on climate models is the limited duration of the data sets.  The  Earth has been going through cycles of warming and cooling for hundreds of millions of years and we're making big policy decisions based on a partial set of data observations of maybe 150 years.  Along with this past models have been terrible at predicting the future.  You have zero accurate temperature readings from previous time.  Only subjective understanding of warmer or colder.  Pronouncements that we have 12 years until the end of humanity embellish the urgency

We have documentation of severe weather events for centuries.  There's even one in the Old Testament about a symbolic flood while Noah was like 300 years old.....  I'm not informed enough to say definitively that the prevalence and severity of the current events surpass those of other centuries but I suspect they do.  btw, Pompeii is one of the most amazing places in that regard. That disaster was Not of human origin however

Edited by Joe Ferguson forever
Posted
1 hour ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:

We have documentation of severe weather events for centuries.  There's even one in the Old Testament about a symbolic flood while Noah was like 300 years old.....  I'm not informed enough to say definitively that the prevalence and severity of the current events surpass those of other centuries but I suspect they do.  btw, Pompeii is one of the most amazing places in that regard. That disaster was Not of human origin however

You like to argue a point and then state you don't know enough to actually argue from an intelligent standpoint, which is basically just saying you should not argue the situation at all.

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Posted (edited)
16 minutes ago, Orlando Tim said:

You like to argue a point and then state you don't know enough to actually argue from an intelligent standpoint, which is basically just saying you should not argue the situation at all.

Pompeii is very cool.  The Ark is fiction.  Noah didn't live 950 years.  Earth is older than 10,000 years.   Evolution really happens. These are things I'm confident in.

Edited by Joe Ferguson forever
Posted
3 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

Hoax? Tell that to the insurance companies 

Exactly.

And if socialists like DeSantis weren't afraid to just let the market work, it would cost even more to insure property in coastal Florida.

Hey, Ronnie, shouldn't we also eliminate that government-run socialist National Flood Insurance Program?

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