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Day after sanity


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By far the biggest momentum changing sequence was the McKelvin fumble and giving them possession at our 26. We had just stopped them at their 16 yard line with 10:39 to go in the fourth. The defense seemed to play the next two plays after the fumble like they were completely demoralized, and KC played like they had just seen the opening. As a result, our Win Probability Added from PFR when from 82.8% to 22.3% in less than a handful of plays.

 

Up to that point, all the plays threads have talked about, Bryce Brown fumble, Henderson twitching, Manny Lawson not staying home on the Charles TD run, A.Williams unnecessary roughness, Play-calling,dropped passes, decisions etc. the Bills had OVERCOME them!

 

For some reason the House of Cards collapsed at this point. My take is it still is a cultural problem with the team. We need to be able to maintain mentally the whole game. The attitude of "how many things can wrong and then panic", must be replaced for the whole game. This is transition moment in the game and we didn't recognize it and finish the deal.

 

Furthermore, the two units on the field recovered, and we regained our chances of winning. With 4:35 to go , we had just stopped them again, forced a punt and McKelvin made a nice return to their 25. Orton and Woods then combined on a nice pass to the 16, followed by a first down run by Summers. We had a 58.2% chance of winning at the point. Then four straight incompletions! Yeah Orton missed a couple that could have been made. It is here that the sidelines can be brought into question for putting the offense in the remaining situation due to there decisions. After the fourth incompletion, WPA was at 8.9%.

 

In summary, all the units had their moments and controlled most of the game. In the end, we still don't know how to finish it out mentally.

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By far the biggest momentum changing sequence was the McKelvin fumble and giving them possession at our 26. We had just stopped them at their 16 yard line with 10:39 to go in the fourth. The defense seemed to play the next two plays after the fumble like they were completely demoralized, and KC played like they had just seen the opening. As a result, our Win Probability Added from PFR when from 82.8% to 22.3% in less than a handful of plays.

 

Up to that point, all the plays threads have talked about, Bryce Brown fumble, Henderson twitching, Manny Lawson not staying home on the Charles TD run, A.Williams unnecessary roughness, Play-calling,dropped passes, decisions etc. the Bills had OVERCOME them!

 

For some reason the House of Cards collapsed at this point. My take is it still is a cultural problem with the team. We need to be able to maintain mentally the whole game. The attitude of "how many things can wrong and then panic", must be replaced for the whole game. This is transition moment in the game and we didn't recognize it and finish the deal.

 

Furthermore, the two units on the field recovered, and we regained our chances of winning. With 4:35 to go , we had just stopped them again, forced a punt and McKelvin made a nice return to their 25. Orton and Woods then combined on a nice pass to the 16, followed by a first down run by Summers. We had a 58.2% chance of winning at the point. Then four straight incompletions! Yeah Orton missed a couple that could have been made. It is here that the sidelines can be brought into question for putting the offense in the remaining situation due to there decisions. After the fourth incompletion, WPA was at 8.9%.

 

In summary, all the units had their moments and controlled most of the game. In the end, we still don't know how to finish it out mentally.

i'm not sure if the defensive players were 'demoralized' after McKelvin's turnover.. it may have been a matter of preparedness on edge responsibilities - especially if Lawson was taking an injured Wynn's place at DE

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Our best chance of making the playoffs now is to win the division. We have to hope the Pats have a bad stretch of games and we win 5 of the next 7. There's no way we win a WC with our conference record, even of we go 10-6.

sorry but talking playoffs now coupled with winning the division is insane.

 

They are who we (I) thought they were

 

better but not playoff material

Edited by BillsFan-4-Ever
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By far the biggest momentum changing sequence was the McKelvin fumble and giving them possession at our 26.

I kind of felt like the biggest momentum changer was the TD run on 4th and 1. Up until that point their offense couldn't do anything against our defense and even though they were still losing it just seemed to change the way the game was going IMO.

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Why? We're only 2 games back and only have to compete with the Patriots(assuming we beat Miami again) instead of 6 teams for the WC.

 

One super boneheaded loss doesn't wipe away all the good this team has done this year.

what have they shown us so far?

 

Not enough to even think they can win a close game. They failed, yet again against NE, they lost to KC who in a neutral site would have been even competition, they have little chance to beat P Manning, or Cinderella Brady, or Rodgers. Hell, they may not even win against the Browns!!!

Edited by BillsFan-4-Ever
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what have they shown us so far?

 

Not enough to even think they can win a close game. They failed, yet again against NE, they lost to KC who in a neutral site would have been even competition, they have little chance to beat P Manning, or Cinderella Brady, or Rodgers. Hell, they may not even win against the Browns!!!

 

A playoff caliber defense for one thing.

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The sanity is realizing Orton is not any good. The defense is good enough to make a deep playoff run. It is now going on a full decade with no answer at QB or even to play offense of any kind at a high level for more than a few games. This team is deeply flawed from the top down. Watch Seattle. They ran read option all day against the Giants and Russel Wilson ran to keep the defense honest. Ej should have ran more but everyone beat him up for getting hit too much. Now we switch to Orton and throw fourty times a game with a line that can't pass block. They finally break thorugh with a very good rushing game and then throw the ball four times inside the 20.

How sane is it to think the Bills could win on the road at New England if the division were up for grabs? The season is over. There only shot was to win four in a row. There is a good chance we watch Cleveland in the playoffs while scouting second round talent in the Bowl games.

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This defense gives the Bills a chance to win against any team they play. I think with better redzone offense this is a playoff caliber team. Plenty of good teams have made the playoffs consistently with an ok offense and a stellar defense.

 

Yes, the Chiefs are a team that doesn't win with amazing offense. What they do, however, is protect the football as well as anyone. Punt, play defense, sprinkle in a couple TD's.. just don't turn the ball over. KC are masters of winning like that.

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You're right, yesterday was definitely a stereotypical Bills loss. But it was the first one of the season imo. Sucks it happened in such an important game that kills our WC chances, but the division is still possible. NE has a tough schedule coming up.

 

sorry, yesterday was the second. The debacle at Houston was the first....

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