Coach Tuesday Posted March 15, 2014 Posted March 15, 2014 http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2014/sackseer-2014 I'm a big fan of Football Outsiders' yearly SackSEER projections - they analyze a number of data points to project a defender's projected NFL sack total and explosion index. It's one of the more historically accurate models that FO has. Well, as you can see, Khalil Mack is the highest-rated LB or defensive end EVER under their model... (Incidentally, I believe Jerry Hughes had the highest rating the year he came out.)
Big Turk Posted March 15, 2014 Posted March 15, 2014 Lol part of the blurb: "It may sound crazy, but SackSEER actually likes Mack’s Combine workout better than Clowney’s. Clowney had a faster forty-yard dash (4.53 seconds versus 4.63 seconds), but Mack bested Clowney in the vertical leap, the broad jump, and crushed him in the three-cone. It is true that Clowney is bigger than Mack, but based on Combine weigh-ins, Clowney is only 15 pounds heavier than Mack -— bigger, but not so big as to offset Mack’s other advantages. Clowney may be a freak athlete, but putting Mack’s entire workout (and not just his forty-yard dash) in historical context, Mack is as freaky as Clowney, if not freakier. Moreover, Mack’s stats for the Buffalo Bulls suggest that he is not so much a man, but rather, a vortex where offensive plays go to die. Mack holds the all-time FBS record for forced fumbles (16) and ties the all-time record for tackles for loss (75). To top it off, Mack had four interceptions and 24 passes broken up. The NCAA doesn’t track defeats, but with over one hundred combined tackles for loss and passes defensed, Mack would likely have the all-time record if it did."
thewildrabbit Posted March 15, 2014 Posted March 15, 2014 probably another reason why Mike Mayock says he would draft Mack #1 overall.
l< j Posted March 15, 2014 Posted March 15, 2014 "...as freaky ..., if not freakier." All I need to know.
sodbuster Posted March 15, 2014 Posted March 15, 2014 "A vortex where offensive plays go to die" Seems about right. Any play run to his side was just blown to pieces all season. It was crazy to watch.
thebandit27 Posted March 16, 2014 Posted March 16, 2014 Sack SEER is an insightful tool. It's another expression of the "Explosiveness Factor" that NFL scouts have been using for decades; just presented with more clarity. Fun read!
Nanker Posted March 16, 2014 Posted March 16, 2014 Step away from the window. Mack will not be there at 9, and The Bills are not trading up. JMHO
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