nick in* england Posted January 10, 2005 Posted January 10, 2005 Football Outsiders for those of you that don't read Football Outsiders, you may be interested in the indepth look at some stats from the past regular season. Going by scoring, and weighting late season games more than early season games we should have finished 11-5 and in the playoffs... Dip in - it makes fascinating reading.
nick in* england Posted January 10, 2005 Author Posted January 10, 2005 And check these numbers out... Top 5 Estimated Wins2004 SEASON NE (13.2) PHI (12.3) IND (12.3) PIT (11.9) BUF (11.6) Top 5 Total Efficiency 2004 SEASON NE (35.6%) PIT (35.4%) IND (34.7%) PHI (28.7%) BUF (28.6%) Top 5 Weighted DVOA 2004 SEASON IND (43.1%) BUF (43.0%) PIT (41.4%) NE (33.0%) PHI (23.9%) Top 5 Offensive Efficiency 2004 SEASON IND (38.9%) KC (29.0%) MIN (28.0%) NE (26.3%) NYJ (23.4%) Top 5 Defensive Efficiency 2004 SEASON BUF (-24.5%) BAL (-16.6%) WAS (-16.0%) PIT (-15.0%) DEN (-14.2%) Top 5 Special Teams 2004 SEASON BUF (9.2%) NO (7.7%) PHI (7.4%) MIA (5.4%) BAL (4.7%) We rank highly (except O) in all measures. We really should be in the playoffs...
Beerball Posted January 10, 2005 Posted January 10, 2005 And check these numbers out...We rank highly (except O) in all measures. We really should be in the playoffs... 200112[/snapback] Perhaps a memo is in order. Attn NFL League office Please insert the Buffalo Bills into the 2004 season playoffs. As you can see from the attached statistical analysis they really deserve to be there. Sincerely...
UConn James Posted January 10, 2005 Posted January 10, 2005 Nick, the stats are interesting and give some hope for next year. But "weighting late season games more than early season games"? How about weighing early exit polls more than the final vote tally? And then next year, if the circumstances change, mid-season games should be weighted more heavily.... The Bills didn't make the playoffs b/c of W-L. The horse is dead, man.
nick in* england Posted January 10, 2005 Author Posted January 10, 2005 Look I am not looking to be an asswipe and have the Bills inserted as AFC Conf. Champs - I just thought that this stuff offered hope for next season... And showed what a good season we actually had... I know the horse is dead - thats not the point.
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