mitchmurraydowntown Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 I looked at who's left in the AFC this year & remember a similiar event took place last season. It turns out it was the first time that all 4 conference final teams are the same for 2 consecutive years in either conference. So the theory that there's always new teams that have a chance to win the Superbowl every year seems to be a changing.
NoSaint Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 I looked at who's left in the AFC this year & remember a similiar event took place last season. It turns out it was the first time that all 4 conference final teams are the same for 2 consecutive years in either conference. So the theory that there's always new teams that have a chance to win the Superbowl every year seems to be a changing. Or it's just one year, and times aren't changing.
mitchmurraydowntown Posted January 12, 2013 Author Posted January 12, 2013 Or it's just one year, and times aren't changing. Well it's 2 years in a row & it's never happened before, so there's a debatable pattern argument here.
DanInUticaTampa Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 I don't know, 2 in a row isn't really a pattern. With all the changes teams go through every year, I can't see this happening 3 years in a row
mitchmurraydowntown Posted January 12, 2013 Author Posted January 12, 2013 I don't know, 2 in a row isn't really a pattern. With all the changes teams go through every year, I can't see this happening 3 years in a row I can safely say right now that Denver / NE have a better than average chance to make it back because of Brady / Manning, Houston Baltimore is a good chance. People might have forgotten but Baltimore missed a kick with 11 seconds left last season that would of tied the game up 23-23 if made. They lost 23-20 to NE.
atlbillsfan1975 Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 Or it's just one year, and times aren't changing. Yep. Think it is more like this^ Not to mention the reason Denver is there is because they went out and sign a guy named Manning. You can not fault Denver or the league for this move. it was smart and calculated. I doubt the Ravens are there next year. Houston is going to get challeneged by Indy. And the Pats wont be there because Buffalo will be!! Ha
NoSaint Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 Well it's 2 years in a row & it's never happened before, so there's a debatable pattern argument here. Right. I get that it's back to back. I was just saying that its just a single repeat. This year could've easily gone other directions. On that token last year could as well. There are only so many ways to arrange team names so statistically speaking this SHOULD happen sometimes by dumb luck. It's only happened once. I don't think that marks a changing nfl. The steelers and colts could very easily overtake the ravens and texans spots. Either wildcard game could is really a toss up any given year. A manning or Brady injury. Heck all it takes is one of then being a 3 seed and they are playing in wildcard weekend which as I mentioned is a lot of luck. Highly unlikely it's a start of a trend. Far more likely its just the simple probability that it should happen by chance.
RJ (not THAT RJ) Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 I question this premise. The 1970s, before the playoffs expanded, were dominated by six teams, viz.: 1972 NFC: Cowboys, Redskins, Packers, Niners AFC: Steelers, Raiders, Dolphins, Browns 1973 NFC: Cowboys, Redskins, Vikings, Rams AFC: Steelers, Raiders, Dolphins, Bengals 1974 NFC: Cardinals, Vikings, Rams, Redskins AFC: Steelers, Raiders, Dolphins, Bills 1975 NFC: Cardinals, Vikings, Rams, Cowboys AFC: Steelers, Raiders, Colts, Bengals 1976 NFC: Cowboys, Vikings, Rams, Redskins AFC: Steelers, Raiders, Colts, Patriots 1977 NFC: Cowboys, Vikings, Rams, Bears AFC: Steelers, Raiders, Colts, Broncos
truth on hold Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 I looked at who's left in the AFC this year & remember a similiar event took place last season. It turns out it was the first time that all 4 conference final teams are the same for 2 consecutive years in either conference. So the theory that there's always new teams that have a chance to win the Superbowl every year seems to be a changing. Good catch. People forget Denver went to this stage last year with tebow too.
BringBackFergy Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 Won't happen again next year when Marrone gets us to the AFC title game. We will lose a close one to the reenergized Chiefs 48-44.
mitchmurraydowntown Posted January 12, 2013 Author Posted January 12, 2013 Won't happen again next year when Marrone gets us to the AFC title game. We will lose a close one to the reenergized Chiefs 48-44. Madden 2014 I guess.
ExiledInIllinois Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 I have said it it for years... Thank the cap, fewer variety of teams win. Baseball is the only sport that gets it right.
djp14150 Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 Well it's 2 years in a row & it's never happened before, so there's a debatable pattern argument here. 2 yrs in a row isnt a pattern. First of all...Denver is a vastly different team from last year. The other teams are strong teams. basically its that the 4 division winners advance to the conference semifinals. I have a feeling this has happened before.....basically in the wild card round the two home teams won.
RJ (not THAT RJ) Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 2 yrs in a row isnt a pattern. First of all...Denver is a vastly different team from last year. The other teams are strong teams. basically its that the 4 division winners advance to the conference semifinals. I have a feeling this has happened before.....basically in the wild card round the two home teams won. See posts above....
eball Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 I have said it it for years... Thank the cap, fewer variety of teams win. Baseball is the only sport that gets it right. Brilliantly dry humor?
BringBackFergy Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 Madden 2014 I guess. You're killin me Smalls..... Guess what second place gets??? A set of steak knives.
ExiledInIllinois Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 (edited) Brilliantly dry humor? :-) Just saying... The way it was supposed to be, all teams big and small would fight equally... Doesn't seem to be turning out that way... Big markets are ruling. Green Bay gets a pass on two fronts. The market is regionalized and they don't have to play by the rules all others have to (they are community owned) play by. Edited January 12, 2013 by ExiledInIllinois
stevestojan Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 I have said it it for years... Thank the cap, fewer variety of teams win. Baseball is the only sport that gets it right. Sarcasm, yes?
djp14150 Posted January 12, 2013 Posted January 12, 2013 I have said it it for years... Thank the cap, fewer variety of teams win. Baseball is the only sport that gets it right. that is actually not the reason....... If you look back..... in the 70s....the schedulin for mat was that the 1st and 4th placed played each other and the 2nd and 3rd played each other. If a team is strong in its division where they could go 6-2 in their division (sweep the bottom two, split 2nd and 3rd) ...outside their division they play 4 3rd and 4th place teams, and play 3 1st and a 2nd place team.....they go 3-0 against the 4th place teams and win1/ 2 against the rest they end up with 10/11 wins and likely WC spot. In the mid 80s-early 2000s.... they changed the schedule format where the 1st place played 2 1st, a 2nd, and a 3rd. a 4th place team played 4th and 5th place teams. Thus the 4th place and 1st place played 4 different games......thus this produced pendulum swings in standings if the 4th place team was an up and comming team. During this teams you would see a lot of worst to first flipping in standings. Since 2002....division teams only differ schedule by 2 games...not enough to cause swings in the results. Thus you dont have much of the worst to first flips than you did before. If they instead did a schedule of 1st and 2nd play the other 1st and 2nd in conference and 3rd and 4th played 3rd and 4th...thus having 4 games different......you would see more swings in standings. This could happen if they go to an 18 game schedule.
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