49er Fan Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 (edited) Explain to me the rationale behind Roe, what its implications are, and what overturning it means. And THEN explain why overturning it would be "extreme". I can admit that my pro-choice views on abortion are extreme - probably because I don't presume to know what direction every woman who has an unwanted pregnancy should take. NY Times Editorial, Oct. 15, 2012: If Roe v. Wade Goes It is no secret that Mitt Romney and his running-mate, Representative Paul Ryan, are opponents of abortion rights. When Mr. Ryan was asked at last week’s debate whether voters who support abortion rights should be worried if the Romney-Ryan ticket were elected, he essentially said yes. They would depart slightly from the extremist Republican Party platform by allowing narrow exceptions for rape, incest or the life of the woman. Beyond that, they would move to take away a fundamental right that American women have had for nearly 40 years. Mr. Romney has called for overturning Roe v. Wade, the 1973 Supreme Court ruling that recognized a woman’s constitutional right to make her own childbearing decisions and to legalized abortion nationwide. He has said that the issue should be thrown back to state legislatures. The actual impact of that radical rights rollback is worth considering. It would not take much to overturn the Roe decision. With four of the nine members of the Supreme Court over 70 years old, the next occupant of the White House could have the opportunity to appoint one or more new justices. If say, Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, the oldest member, retired and Mr. Romney named a replacement hostile to abortion rights, the basic right to abortion might well not survive. The result would turn back the clock to the days before Roe v. Wade when abortion was legal only in some states, but not in others. There is every indication that about half the states would make abortion illegal within a year of Roe being struck down, according to the Guttmacher Institute. The Center for Reproductive Rights, which challenges abortion restrictions around the country, puts the number at 30 states. For one thing, abortion bans already on the books in some states would suddenly kick in. And some Republican-controlled state legislatures would outlaw abortion immediately. Even with Roe and subsequent decisions upholding abortion rights, more than half the states have enacted barriers like mandatory waiting periods, “counseling” sessions lacking a real medical justification; parental consent or notification laws; and onerous clinic “safety” rules intended to drive clinics out of business. Mr. Romney is a vocal supporter of this continuing drive in the states and in Congress to limit the constitutional right, even without overturning Roe. To a large degree, the anti-abortion forces have succeeded. In 1982, there were about 2,900 providers nationwide; as of 2008, there were less than 1,800. In 97 percent of the counties that are outside of metropolitan areas, there are no abortion providers at all. We do not need to guess about the brutal consequences of overturning Roe. We know from our own country’s pre-Roe history and from the experience around the world. Women desperate to end a pregnancy would find a way to do so. Well-to-do women living in places where abortion is illegal would travel to other states where it is legal to obtain the procedure. Women lacking the resources would either be forced by the government and politicians to go through with an unwanted or risky pregnancy, attempt to self-abort or turn to an illegal — and potentially unsafe — provider for help. Women’s health, privacy and equality would suffer. Some women would die. Mr. Romney knows this, or at least he used to. Running for the United States Senate in Massachusetts in 1994 against Edward Kennedy, Mr. Romney spoke of a young woman, a close relative, who died years before as result of complications from an illegal abortion to underscore his now-extinct support for Roe v. Wade. In a report in Salon last year, Justin Elliott, a reporter for ProPublica, found that when the young woman passed away, her parents requested that donations be made in her honor to Planned Parenthood. That’s the same invaluable family-planning group that Mr. Romney has pledged to defund once in the White House. Edited November 8, 2012 by 49er Fan
RI Bills Fan Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 Now who's being disingenuous? People who don't pay Fed income tax aren't being demonized. People who don't pay it AND THEN complain that it isn't fair that people who do pay 35% off the top to the Feds aren't forced, by threat of imprisonment, to pay more are being demonized. One inartful line by a politician does not make a popular revolt. Can you point me to where that distinction has been made here on this board, I seem to have missed it. I understand that raising taxes on a single segment of the population is unfair. Which is why I'm for letting the Bush Tax cuts expire, in their entirety, and cutting spending to get the deficit under control. A position I might add I've espoused consistently for many years now. I seem to recall you and many others here who loudly declared that "Deficits don't Matter" giving me schidt about that position pre 2008.
meazza Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 (edited) I think 49er Fan takes the inverse approach: Who gives a **** about a job if you can't kill your kids? Can you point me to where that distinction has been made here on this board, I seem to have missed it. I understand that raising taxes on a single segment of the population is unfair. Which is why I'm for letting the Bush Tax cuts expire, in their entirety, and cutting spending to get the deficit under control. A position I might add I've espoused consistently for many years now. I seem to recall you and many others here who loudly declared that "Deficits don't Matter" giving me schidt about that position pre 2008. The tax cuts should expire only after there has been some significant growth. Perhaps Romney's idea of lowering taxes on capital formation is probably one of the smarter ideas to get some decent growth. Edited November 8, 2012 by meazza
Rob's House Posted November 8, 2012 Author Posted November 8, 2012 NY Times Editorial, Oct. 15, 2012: If Roe v. Wade Goes It is no secret that Mitt Romney and his running-mate, Representative Paul Ryan, are opponents of abortion rights. When Mr. Ryan was asked at last week’s debate whether voters who support abortion rights should be worried if the Romney-Ryan ticket were elected, he essentially said yes. They would depart slightly from the extremist Republican Party platform by allowing narrow exceptions for rape, incest or the life of the woman. Beyond that, they would move to take away a fundamental right that American women have had for nearly 40 years. Mr. Romney has called for overturning Roe v. Wade, the 1973 Supreme Court ruling that recognized a woman’s constitutional right to make her own childbearing decisions and to legalized abortion nationwide. He has said that the issue should be thrown back to state legislatures. The actual impact of that radical rights rollback is worth considering. It would not take much to overturn the Roe decision. With four of the nine members of the Supreme Court over 70 years old, the next occupant of the White House could have the opportunity to appoint one or more new justices. If say, Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, the oldest member, retired and Mr. Romney named a replacement hostile to abortion rights, the basic right to abortion might well not survive. The result would turn back the clock to the days before Roe v. Wade when abortion was legal only in some states, but not in others. There is every indication that about half the states would make abortion illegal within a year of Roe being struck down, according to the Guttmacher Institute. The Center for Reproductive Rights, which challenges abortion restrictions around the country, puts the number at 30 states. For one thing, abortion bans already on the books in some states would suddenly kick in. And some Republican-controlled state legislatures would outlaw abortion immediately. Even with Roe and subsequent decisions upholding abortion rights, more than half the states have enacted barriers like mandatory waiting periods, “counseling” sessions lacking a real medical justification; parental consent or notification laws; and onerous clinic “safety” rules intended to drive clinics out of business. Mr. Romney is a vocal supporter of this continuing drive in the states and in Congress to limit the constitutional right, even without overturning Roe. To a large degree, the anti-abortion forces have succeeded. In 1982, there were about 2,900 providers nationwide; as of 2008, there were less than 1,800. In 97 percent of the counties that are outside of metropolitan areas, there are no abortion providers at all. We do not need to guess about the brutal consequences of overturning Roe. We know from our own country’s pre-Roe history and from the experience around the world. Women desperate to end a pregnancy would find a way to do so. Well-to-do women living in places where abortion is illegal would travel to other states where it is legal to obtain the procedure. Women lacking the resources would either be forced by the government and politicians to go through with an unwanted or risky pregnancy, attempt to self-abort or turn to an illegal — and potentially unsafe — provider for help. Women’s health, privacy and equality would suffer. Some women would die. Mr. Romney knows this, or at least he used to. Running for the United States Senate in Massachusetts in 1994 against Edward Kennedy, Mr. Romney spoke of a young woman, a close relative, who died years before as result of complications from an illegal abortion to underscore his now-extinct support for Roe v. Wade. In a report in Salon last year, Justin Elliott, a reporter for ProPublica, found that when the young woman passed away, her parents requested that donations be made in her honor to Planned Parenthood. That’s the same invaluable family-planning group that Mr. Romney has pledged to defund once in the White House. Thank you for your cut & paste (which contrary to Obama ads acknowledges the rape & incest exception) but you never explained the rationale behind Roe which is the key to understanding why it's bad law regardless of whether you like the outcome.
RI Bills Fan Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 The tax cuts should expire only after there has been some significant growth. Perhaps Romney's idea of lowering taxes on capital formation is probably one of the smarter ideas to get some decent growth. Define significant growth. And wouldn't the argument then become "Tax Cuts will kill the growth"?
49er Fan Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 Thank you for your cut & paste (which contrary to Obama ads acknowledges the rape & incest exception) but you never explained the rationale behind Roe which is the key to understanding why it's bad law regardless of whether you like the outcome. I agree with the Court's decision as it relates to the 14th Amendment & privacy rights.
meazza Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 (edited) Define significant growth. And wouldn't the argument then become "Tax Cuts will kill the growth"? Anything close to 3%? From what I recall, Romney's model was in that realm. Shocking really. Tax cuts kill growth? Is that like conner economics? I agree with the Court's decision as it relates to the 14th Amendment & privacy rights. And you think people that are pro-life are extreme? How considerate. Edited November 8, 2012 by meazza
RI Bills Fan Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 Anything close to 3%? From what I recall, Romney's model was in that realm. Shocking really. Tax cuts kill growth? Is that like conner economics? Sorry, I meant to say the argument would be that the EXPIRATION OF tax cuts would kill the growth.
meazza Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 Sorry, I meant to say the argument would be that the EXPIRATION OF tax cuts would kill the growth. If the expiration of tax cuts are offset by the intention of spurring investment, then I don't think it will have a detrimental effect on growth. If tax cuts are on income, money will be spent on consumption. If taxes are low or zero on interest/dividends and capital gains, you'd probably get much more investment since the required return will be a lot lower. I personally think that will spur investment faster than cutting income taxes but I'm no economist.
NoSaint Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 (edited) a leopard can't change it's spots. many republicans i've met in the rural south (and some up north) are dualists. yes/no, right/wrong. there's no nuance and without nuance, tolerance is difficult if not impossible. this ignores the fact that many folks are republicans primarily for the reasons you're wanting them to stop supporting. i'll point again to the rural south. how well will the repubs do without the southern states support? frankly, i dont think the republicans stand to lose alabama even if some backwoods kooks stop voting for them. id venture theyd hold all the red states, and probably make progress in the swing states (as rob said if they forgot about the religious zealots that will abandon them if they stop forcing gay marriage/abortion as issues theyd probably pick up 2 voters for every 1 they lose in a lot of states) the hardcore religious right is just soooooo frustrating to me, and damn near everyone i talk to including many sane, religious people that identify as republicans. Edited November 8, 2012 by NoSaint
birdog1960 Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 frankly, i dont think the republicans stand to lose alabama even if some backwoods kooks stop voting for them. id venture theyd hold all the red states, and probably make progress in the swing states (as rob said if they forgot about the religious zealots that will abandon them if they stop forcing gay marriage/abortion as issues theyd probably pick up 2 voters for every 1 they lose in a lot of states) the hardcore religious right is just soooooo frustrating to me, and damn near everyone i talk to including many sane, religious people that identify as republicans. not so sure. virginia is clearly purple at this time. significant defections from the rural poor (far away from fairfax/loudon) and it's blue. nc same thing. what the rural poor are thinking, i have no idea.
dayman Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 (edited) They need to come down from there high horse and stop acting like they are better than everyone not a republican. That would be a good start. While I like Rob's list this should be on it. This is important. There are "very" right wing people, and "very" left wing people...but the attitude of the tea party and the "we're always right and we won't compromise and the other side are moochers, parasites, and idiots" won't woo any new followers. Republicans will have to understand that there are a lot of non-moochers who have been voting Democratic lately...and they don't like being called idiots and moochers by what has become a group of angry finger pointers. The tone of the discourse and approach to government generally needs to wind down a bit. Edited November 8, 2012 by TheNewBills
BRAWNDO Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 Republican party, this is what you need to do: 1. Grow a collective set of nuts - Stop being the Conservative version of the John Kerry. Distinguish yourselves on the most imprtant issues and take them head on. Particularly on economic issues. Our economic model is unsustainable, impossible to defend, and easy to explain. Stop dancing around the issue and dive in and hammer it in common sense terms. Talk to people straight, and assume they're not retarded. A lot are, but you'll win more with logic than gimmicks and talking points. And read Milton Friedman. 2. Stop alienating women - Don't get sucked in to these stupid birth control debates (thank you Rick Santorum). And damn it, STOP TALKING ABOUT RAPE!!! What are you trying to accomplish here? How about acknowledging that although abortion is morally abhorrent, regulation of abortion is not an essential function of the federal government. That doesn't mean go pro-choice, it means talk about abortion reduction through methods other than prohibition. You'll pick up 2 voters for every 1 you lose and ironically, you'll do a lot more to reduce the number of babies snuffed out in the womb. 3. Stop demonizing Hispanics. They're actually a lot more conservative than you think. An effective immigration policy involves securing the border and making legal immigration significantly more streamlined. Cracking down on immigrants who are working is pointless. And cracking down on their employers isn't much better. If we could get them documented so they pay taxes and so we can process them w/n our criminal justice system, we eliminate most of the problems associated with illegal immigration. And stop worrying about them taking jobs. People who work help the economy. You sound like liberals talking about outsourcing. 4. Explain to blacks why free market principles are in their best interest. And talk straight; don't be patronizing or handle them with kid gloves. You'd be amazed what you can say to a black guy if you just cut through the BS and talik to him like a man. He'll respect you for it. Don't think it will work? How's your current strategy working? 5. Put your bible away. You can be as religious as you want to be, and you don't have to be shy about it, but make it damn clear that you understand the value of separation of church and state. You can acknowledge that our country was largely built on judeo-christian values, but make it clear you don't want to impose your will on others. Honestly, the most important values you derive from your religion are universal. You'd be surprised how many people have an irrational fear of a conservative theocracy. 6. Stop talking about gays. The family unit has survived across the globe and across virtually all cultures from the dawn of civilization. It's not going to collapse b/c gays get to have federally sanctioned monogamous relationships. You don't have to like it. Hell, you don't even have to support it. Just let it go. Follow this recipe, find some politicians who are halfway cool to communicate it, and not only will the party rise from the ashes, you might actually do some wonderful things to help the country. Good stuff Rob. I would like to add a few more points. Find the best candidates to run in different parts of the country. The Democrats have excelled in finding candidates that can win elections in Republican Areas. See Jim Matheson in Utah, as well as Tester in Montana and Heitkamp in North Dakota, Romney won those states by 50, 13 and 20 points. Stop demonizing candidates who some they feel are RINOs or not conservative enough. If they had done that in the past two elections Lugar would have cruised in Indiana, Castle would have won in Delaware in 2010. The Hispanic Vote is the key to the party's future. In the House of Representatives Jamie Herrera Beulter with Marco Rubio as a Senate Co Sponsor should introduce a comprehensive immigration reform bill, including amnesty and a guest worker program for the 113th Congress to vote on. Make this the most important issue for Republicans in the next Congress. Finally if you want to stop being labeled as the party of the White Guy, stop nominating them. The Republicans have two Hispanic Governors Susan Martinez of New Mexico and Brian Sandoval of Nevada. The same number of Hispanic Senators, one a piece and more female Governors. Yet most of the general population only sees two white guys on the ticket. In 2016 the Republicans should nominate the first completely non white presidential ticket in history. Some ideas would be Rubio/Martinez or Rubio/Sandoval. The party needs to adapt before they go the way of the Whigs.
PromoTheRobot Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/11/how-conservative-media-lost-to-the-msm-and-failed-the-rank-and-file/264855/ PTR
ExiledInIllinois Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 #2. LoL... Yeah, that'll do the trick... LoL..
Ozymandius Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 When GWB won back to back, did the Dems "adapt"? No, they just got a compelling candidate in Obama and started winning. GOP can stay exactly the same on issues, but if they nominate someone like Rubio in 2016, they will win in a landslide.
ExiledInIllinois Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 When GWB won back to back, did the Dems "adapt"? No, they just got a compelling candidate in Obama and started winning. GOP can stay exactly the same on issues, but if they nominate someone like Rubio in 2016, they will win in a landslide. Highly unlikely when you have Rob's #2 and #6 looming huge. They can't let it go! Both... Can't let it go... Stick a fork in the exclusionary conservative. I stayed away from this board before the election because I would have been under attack by saying what self respecting woman could ever vote for Mitt Romney? Guess I was a little to hard! Go job ladies... Even if you had to lie to your nitwit husbands and sig others!
Jim in Anchorage Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 This is like Jim in Anchorage's gay marriage. Interesting to discuss...but we have more pressing issues and the federal government needs to focus on those other issues. Rob is right: Romney never said "Who gives a **** about abortion and gay marriage if you don't have a job?" Mine? You started the thread!!
MattM Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 When GWB won back to back, did the Dems "adapt"? No, they just got a compelling candidate in Obama and started winning. GOP can stay exactly the same on issues, but if they nominate someone like Rubio in 2016, they will win in a landslide. The more appropriate analogy is probably Dems changing tack and nominating a centrist in Clinton after losing 3 straight elections, but go ahead, be my guest and "Stay the Course" into irrelevancy....
49er Fan Posted November 8, 2012 Posted November 8, 2012 what self respecting woman could ever vote for Mitt Romney? Maude Flanders? Oh, wait... Helen Lovejoy
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