Jump to content

From the nerdery: potentially useful poll/data analysis


Recommended Posts

http://battlegroundw...n-early-voting/ And, no, this is not where I got my #s from 2 months ago, when I started bitching about polls. :lol:

 

I got tired of doing all this crap myself, and I went looking for somebody who was willing to put in the effort. I first went to unskewedpolls.com and quickly realized that the guy is just as batshit crazy as the NBC/Marist polls.

 

Anyone can F with a sample, and get whatever they want, as the MSM has been doing; I am now convinced. Too bad they keep forgetting to fix the internals: http://battlegroundw...-obama-leading/ Romney down by 5...yet miraculously up by 13 with INDs, and, up by 11 in enthusiasm, and once again, a D+9 turnout? GTFO of here. :lol:

 

So, luckily I found this guy. There is no doubt he's a Republican, and so are most of his posters. So, let's get that out of the way.

 

However, his math and analysis seems to be sound. He doesn't monkey with the data, instead, he criticizes it in a reasonable way: he finds his own data to back up his criticism, rather than just messing with other people's data.

 

From the comments: http://battlegroundw...ent-15871 this Washoe county thing seems to be a consistent bell weather of the rest of Nevada, and the whole country. It will be interesting to see how this progresses.

 

Also, he agrees with me that D+2 is the best the Ds can hope for, and arrived at that the same way I did.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

http://battlegroundw...n-early-voting/ And, no, this is obama-leading/"]http://battlegroundw...-obama-leading/[/url] Romney down by 5...yet miraculously up by 13 with INDs, and, up by 11 in enthusiasm, and once again, a D+9 turnout? GTFO of here. :lol:

 

So, luckily I found this guy. There is no doubt he's a Republican, and so are most of his posters.

 

From the comments: http://battlegroundw...ent-15871 this Washoe county thing seems to be a consistent bell weather of the rest of Nevada, and the whole country. It will be interesting to

 

He's a Republican and he's your favorite pollster? No way!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...