3rdnlng Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Team Pathetic has been posting alot of schit lately. Here's a thought for them: http://dailycaller.com/2012/08/23/university-of-colorado-prediction-model-points-to-big-romney-win Their nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I posted this in the "Who do you think will win the election?" thread. Something not mentioned in the article is that they started using this model in 1980 and have been right every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Adams Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Absurd. If Mitt wins, it will be by the skin of his teeth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Absurd. If Mitt wins, it will be by the skin of his teeth. Knowing they've predicted the winner since they started doing this is what's most important, assuming it holds up this year. But I'd be curious to see if their electoral/popular vote predictions were close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Adams Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Knowing they've predicted the winner since they started doing this is what's most important, assuming it holds up this year. But I'd be curious to see if their electoral/popular vote predictions were close. Winning PA? Please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TakeYouToTasker Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Winning PA? Please.It might serve you well to remember that the Republicans took PA by 7.11% in 1980. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Tom Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Team Pathetic has been posting alot of schit lately. Here's a thought for them: http://dailycaller.c...-big-romney-win Their nightmare. Predicted how well? Are their predictions becoming more or less accurate with time? Or do they change the model as time goes on, to adjust for changing demographics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMadCap Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 jez, I don't know. Ohio? AND PA? Both NC and VA? My meaningless opinion: Obama carries Ohio and PA, Romney with VA and FL. Can't make a guess on NC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorldTraveller Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Winning PA? Please. Probably not but Michigan is looking good. Check out rcp ...mitt down 1.2%. He has closed the gap dramatically ever since the pick of Ryan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Winning PA? Please. Pennsylvania elected a Republican governor (Corbett) a Republican senator (Toomey) and Republican legislature in 2010, so , it certainly isn't outside the realm of possibility going for Romney Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
/dev/null Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Obama will win PA easily because of Filthadelphia Romney will win North Carolina. I think Romney will take VA also Ohio and Florida are both tossups. Romney has to win both plus Iowa. If Obama wins any one of those 3 he will have secured enough EV's to win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Adams Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Probably not but Michigan is looking good. Check out rcp ...mitt down 1.2%. He has closed the gap dramatically ever since the pick of Ryan I have checked RCP. He's got an uphill battle. Obama wil still win big. The "fact check" attack is going to curb enthusiasm. It's a shame because Ryan and Romney gave great speeches and offer a compelling vision. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorldTraveller Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Not at all, first off, what he said was true, secondly, they are delighted that this is remaining to be a story. They were interviewing the insiders and they expressed lots of enthusiasm that they couldnkeep the debate going,mwhich is why they sent Ryan on interviews. I saw his interviews and he answered all of them the way you would expec he would. With clarity. The Medicare argument is a huge winner . The welfare argument, another winner. The GM one,new will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Adams Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I am shocked that Romney isn't rocking in Florida. It's a must win state. If he loses FL, he's screwed. The GM plant was a stretch and a dumb one but I don't care about it. That's one line in a speech. The fact check theme dominates the headlines right now. Reps not combatting that well in the media in the wake of an optimistic hopeful convention. Their punch pulling is admirable though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorldTraveller Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 He's gotta win Florida. And again, the "fact check" is working to their advantage, it remains a story. The welfare and Medicare issues are polling really well for them. They will continue to hammer these points home. It's amazing how they caught the Obama campaign flat footed on the Medicare issue. Who would of thought that conservatives would be tied to winning on Medicare? It's pretty extraordinary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Adams Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 He's gotta win Florida. And again, the "fact check" is working to their advantage, it remains a story. The welfare and Medicare issues are polling really well for them. They will continue to hammer these points home. It's amazing how they caught the Obama campaign flat footed on the Medicare issue. Who would of thought that conservatives would be tied to winning on Medicare? It's pretty extraordinary The reason Mitt won't win is that he's got to win Florida and do a bunch of other things. Obama wins Florida and it's over. Or Obama can lose Florida and still win a bunch of other ways. And worse, Mitt is not doing all that well in Florida. Obama is going to focus on it like a laser beam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorldTraveller Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 (edited) If you mean winning half of the polls in Florida as not doing well, then okey dokey. http://www.realclear...obama-1883.html You come up with some odd stuff and all the states that he has to win, guess what? he's within a point in every single one of them, and the trend has moved sharply in his direction over the past few weeks. Edited August 31, 2012 by WorldTraveller Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Adams Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 If you mean winning half of the polls in Florida as not doing well, then okey dokey. http://www.realclear...obama-1883.html You come up with some odd stuff and all the states that he has to win, guess what? he's within a point in every single one of them, and the trend has moved sharply in his direction over the past few weeks. RCP has Obama leading in FL, a do or die Romney state, and you think that's good news for Romney. Stop being blind. Despite running a great campaign, Obama is still in control. It's disheartening but true. FL will remain close but Obama will work it much harder than Romney because Romney needs to win so many other states where he is behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorldTraveller Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 (edited) We have different definitions of "not doing well" leading in half the polls from my perspective is neutral, you see it as "not doing well". I recognize the fact that the polls have all moved in Romney's favor since the Ryan selection, that is an undeniable fact, for some peculiar reason you view it differently. I show you polls to back up my assertions, such as the Michigan polling data. You back up your claims with self-inspired declaratives. so while you call it disheartening, most observers call it encouraging. Edited August 31, 2012 by WorldTraveller Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Adams Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 In two FL polls, Romney barely leads and I'm two others, Obama is leading securely. That is in a state Romney simply cannot lose...and he needs others to turn in his favor too. You constantly harp out optimism about the Romney polls. Do you really think Romney is happy with where things are right now? Take a look at RCPs delegate history. It's not changed much. I hope Romneys optimistic vision overcomes the fear and division but I am more realistic than that based on the delegate map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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