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Romney opens 5 point lead over Obama


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:rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: forgetful are we Tom.

 

Yes, after the election one side or the other will scream Voter Fraud. You can't remember 4 and 8 years ago? Does the name ACORN or the term Hanging Chad ring a bell?

 

My point being, you moron, that people are ALREADY complaining about voter fraud. In an election that has yet to happen.

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Republicans are trying to facilitate, and make more inclusive, the electoral process.

 

I saw some Mitt Romney folks out en masse this morning urging black and brown folks in Baltimore to remember to vote on Wednesday, November 7th.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

J/K

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I wonder...after 40 pages...and then, last night's debate...how many of us are going to come away from this thread thinking: "what a waste of time". :lol:

 

Some of us, who don't already, should consider coming away from this thread with "man, the media is F'ed right now, and we need to demand better, regardless of our party ID".

 

Or...we can do some more "Stay away from Talk Radio"....which implies..."listen to more MSM".

 

But hold on: who exactly was responsible for calling both the election and debate for Obama for the last 10 or so days prior to last night?

 

Who exactly then, should we be considering "staying away from"?

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I wonder...after 40 pages...and then, last night's debate...how many of us are going to come away from this thread thinking: "what a waste of time". :lol:

 

Some of us, who don't already, should consider coming away from this thread with "man, the media is F'ed right now, and we need to demand better, regardless of our party ID".

 

Or...we can do some more "Stay away from Talk Radio"....which implies..."listen to more MSM".

 

But hold on: who exactly was responsible for calling both the election and debate for Obama for the last 10 or so days prior to last night?

 

Who exactly then, should we be considering "staying away from"?

 

And a solar flare is going to knock out the power grid making all forms of communication useless.

 

Stock up on bartering items like Glenlivet, girly mags, and ammo.

 

Fear the zombies (and the turtle after tonight)!

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My point being, you moron, that people are ALREADY complaining about voter fraud. In an election that has yet to happen.

 

To be fair, some early voting and absentee voting is already happening.

 

And the changes in overseas military absentee ballot requests (IIRC, dev created a thread) are EXTREMELY EXTREMELY suspicious. A decrease of ~90%? Something's going on.

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And a solar flare is going to knock out the power grid making all forms of communication useless.

 

Stock up on bartering items like Glenlivet, girly mags, and ammo.

 

Fear the zombies (and the turtle after tonight)!

Oh that's right...the media called the election and the debate 10 days ago = I have bunker with a water filtration system and those stupid Glenn Beck survival seeds...or whatever the F that was.(....and it would never be Glenlivet. Not ever.)

 

Hmmm. I bet...you can find the logical fallacy you have deployed here...on this page: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fallacy

 

I'll leave you to it....and then we will get to see you accuse everyone of using it all over this board for the next 50 posts.

 

Which...will be funny...for me.

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Even after a great debate, the fact remains that the electoral map still looks terrible for Romney. Last night's performance should help but the gap in Ohio might be too big to overcome. Iowa has already started voting as well - things look good for the President there as well.

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Even after a great debate, the fact remains that the electoral map still looks terrible for Romney. Last night's performance should help but the gap in Ohio might be too big to overcome. Iowa has already started voting as well - things look good for the President there as well.

 

Obama will win but he's not competent which was clear as day yesterday.

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The DNC and their SuperPacs have saturated the key swing states with anti Romney ads for months. They're running out of money. The evil devil they've been portraying Romney as was belied by the man himself last night. Most voters before last night probably didn't ever hear the man speak. He came across as Presidential, and oh yeah - he cleaned BO's clock all night long.

 

So now BO's got to come out more forceful - which plays into Romney's game plan. BO will look nasty, spiteful, and petty. America got a vision of Romney last night that won't allow all the negative hate-filled divisive attack ads to stick any more. BO is doing nothing but pumping Chicago style lies. He can't run on his record - it's trash. He can't bring up the 47% tape for fear that Romney will bring up his 2007 Katrina racial rant. The Legacy Media today are still in shambles. They don't know whether to **** or go blind. They have themselves to blame for not doing their jobs for the past four years.

 

All the pundits that say the race goes to whomever is leading in September are living in the past. There's too much information out there and the speed of its dissemination has effectively shrunken time. Romney is posed to win this, and he could win it big.

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For Frank:

 

October 04, 2012

Absentee Ballot Data Ohio Shows Bad News

—CAC

 

...for those who believe Ohio will be as Democrat-heavy or more so than 2008.

 

A short sample of the shift, with link to the data at the end:

 

Champaign County: Was +3% GOP, now +23% GOP – 20 point shift.

 

Columbiana County: Was +9% DEM, now +9% GOP – 18 point shift.

 

Crawford County: Was +3% DEM, now +12% GOP – 15 point shift.

 

Cuyahoga County: Was +36% DEM, now +30% DEM (GOP already has 6,000 more requests than in 2008) – 6 point shift.

 

Erie County: Was +24% DEM, now +7% DEM -17 point shift.

 

Franklin County: Was +5% DEM, now +5% GOP – 10 point shift.

 

Greene County: Was +4% DEM, now +19% GOP – 23 point shift.

 

Harrison County: Was +22% DEM, now +5% DEM – 17 point shift.

 

Hamilton County: Was +7% GOP, now +13% GOP – 6 point shift.

 

Licking County: Was TIED, now +16% GOP – 16 point shift.

 

Montgomery County: Was +29% DEM, now +5% DEM – 24 point shift.

 

Muskingum County: Was +1% DEM, now +16% GOP – 17 point shift.

 

Pickaway County: Was +12% DEM, now +15% GOP – 27 point shift.

 

Seneca County: Was +1% DEM, now +13% GOP – 14 point shift.

 

Summit County: Was +33% DEM, now +6 DEM – 27 point shift.

 

Wood County: Was +10% DEM, now +1% GOP – 11 point shift.

 

Link to ningrim's thankless task here, https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?key=0AvEOdIaw0fPNdHVOZnFENDdDYVFTRi1UMlgxQ0F4OVE

and give him a follow while you're at it. https://mobile.twitter.com/ningrim

 

The statewide reported gap is D+5.51%, nearly a third of what the Democrats had enjoyed in 2008. Same-day voting in Ohio leaned more in McCain's favor four years ago, but the early vote crushed him. I suspect after last night's debate a considerable number of Republicans are itching to get their ballots back.

From http://ace.mu.nu

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Oh that's right...the media called the election and the debate 10 days ago = I have bunker with a water filtration system and those stupid Glenn Beck survival seeds...or whatever the F that was.(....and it would never be Glenlivet. Not ever.)

 

Hmmm. I bet...you can find the logical fallacy you have deployed here...on this page: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fallacy

 

I'll leave you to it....and then we will get to see you accuse everyone of using it all over this board for the next 50 posts.

 

Which...will be funny...for me.

 

What?!?

 

What? Where? How?

 

You think that that was an argument? It probably looked familiar to you and that's why you thought that huh? Well that is part of your problem. I was poking fun at you for kicks. If I'm making an argument, you'll know it. And you know you'll know it cause you've had to deal with me before despite how dismissive your next response post will be.

 

We know that you know that you'll know it. And we know that you know that that is why you tried to short circuit the effort.

 

You don't want none of Debo.

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Updated election forecasting model still points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says

 

An update to an election forecasting model announced by two University of Colorado professors in August continues to project that Mitt Romney will win the 2012 presidential election.

 

According to their updated analysis, Romney is projected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes -- down five votes from their initial prediction -- and short of the 270 needed to win.

 

The new forecast by political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver is based on more recent economic data than their original Aug. 22 prediction. The model itself did not change.

 

“We continue to show that the economic conditions favor Romney even though many polls show the president in the lead,” Bickers said. “Other published models point to the same result, but they looked at the national popular vote, while we stress state-level economic data.”

 

While many election forecast models are based on the popular vote, the model developed by Bickers and Berry is based on the Electoral College and is the only one of its type to include more than one state-level measure of economic conditions. They included economic data from all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

 

http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/10/04/updated-election-forecasting-model-still-points-romney-win-university

.

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The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen Reader account, subscribe now.

 

Platinum Members have access to detailed demographic information.

 

In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 49% support to Obama’s 47%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

 

This is the first time Romney has led the daily Swing State Survey since September 19. Until today, the president had led for 17 of the previous 19 days, and the candidates had been tied twice. This survey is based on findings from the previous seven days, with most of the responses now coming since Romney’s debate win last Wednesday night.

 

Forty-six percent (46%) of these Swing State voters are now “certain” they will vote for Romney and will not change their minds. Forty percent (40%) are certain they will vote for the president.

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