Fantasy Football

[Canadian Bills Fan]

I have the 1st overall pick in a standard 10 team league.

 

I am torn as to who to draft. I was debating between Foster and Rice but I am now thinking about drafting Rodgers.

 

What do you guys think?

[The Avenger]

Depends on your scoring system but runing backs are almost always more valuable than any other position in fantasy - by valuable I mean what's the drop off in talent between what you would get now vs. what you would get the next time you picked.

Given that so few teams seem to employ a workhorse back who gets all of the carries, between the 20s AND in the red zone, RB is pretty much going to be your best bet. Rodgers is a great fantasy QB, but the drop off between him and the #10 qb isn't going to be nearly as huge as between Foster/Rice and the #10 RB.

[Dr. Fong]

Rice is the way I'd go. Unless your league is heavily weighted to QB don't draft a QB. You can get a good QB later in the draft.

[JuanGuzman]

Personally I'd pick Foster but it depends on your own appetite for risk.

 

I think Ray Rice is the safer pick based on track record, but Foster has the higher upside IMO. I could see him running away with the rushing title if he stays healthy, but that's a big if.

 

Looking at their playoff schedules week 14-16 for Rice is @was, vsDen, and vs.NYG

 

For Foster it's @NE, vs.IND, vs.Min

 

Given that the Texan's play in a dome and have on game against Indy, I would give a slight schedule edge to Foster.

[SageAgainstTheMachine]

Josh Reed.

 

In all seriousness, I'd go with Foster. Injured often, but he'll win you games single handedly. I'm hoping to pick late in the 1st round so I can justify taking Freddie!

Edited July 26, 2012 by SageAgainstTheMachine

[Miyagi-Do Karate]

At #1, I think Foster is a no-brainer.

 

I am 2nd pick in my 12-team league. The idea that Ray Rice is now a #2 overall pick is somewhat alarming to me. I may end up going with him, but I also may consider Rodgers there.

[uncle flap]

At #1, I think Foster is a no-brainer.

 

I am 2nd pick in my 12-team league. The idea that Ray Rice is now a #2 overall pick is somewhat alarming to me. I may end up going with him, but I also may consider Rodgers there.

 

I'd say Ray Rice is the no-brainer at 1, so you're lucky to get him at 2, JMO.

 

Depends on your scoring but there's likely more QBs that will get you in the area of Rodgers, than there are RBs that'll get you in the neighborhood of Rice or Foster.

[LeviF]

Josh Reed.

 

In all seriousness, I'd go with Foster. Injured often, but he'll win you games single handedly. I'm hoping to pick late in the 1st round so I can justify taking Freddie!

I was in a money league last year in which I drafted 15th in the first round. My friends/opponents (all know I'm a huge Bills fan) kept saying, "Dude, you won't draft Fred Jackson right now." So I did.

 

I won that league.

[Canadian Bills Fan]

Scoring system is as follows

 

1 point for every 10 rushing/receiving yards

1 point for every 25 yards passing

6 points for a TD

-2 points for a fumble or INT

 

 

I'm looking at consistancy here.

 

Rodgers has been a beast the past 3 years and shows no sign of slowing down. They dont have a premier RB to take away passes from him. He has a load of talented receivers/TE's

 

Foster worries me because of his health and the superb play of Tate last year in his absense.

 

My draft is a snake draft so after my first pick, I wont pick again until 18 picks or so later at the end of round two

[SageAgainstTheMachine]

Scoring system is as follows

 

1 point for every 10 rushing/receiving yards

1 point for every 25 yards passing

6 points for a TD

-2 points for a fumble or INT

 

 

I'm looking at consistancy here.

 

Rodgers has been a beast the past 3 years and shows no sign of slowing down. They dont have a premier RB to take away passes from him. He has a load of talented receivers/TE's

 

Foster worries me because of his health and the superb play of Tate last year in his absense.

 

My draft is a snake draft so after my first pick, I wont pick again until 18 picks or so later at the end of round two

 

Which is precisely why you need Foster or Rice. By your second pick, quality RBs are going to be a scarce commodity, whereas only 2 or 3 QBs will be off the board.

 

Think of it this way. Which one of these is the bigger dropoff?

 

Aaron Rodgers to Tom Brady

 

Arian Foster to Ahmad Bradshaw

[Canadian Bills Fan]

All premier QBs will be gone by end of round 2. After RB everyone will look to take a great QB because they put up just as much if not more points than RBs

[Rex Ryan's Stomach]

Surprised no one mentions LeSean McCoy.

[SageAgainstTheMachine]

All premier QBs will be gone by end of round 2. After RB everyone will look to take a great QB because they put up just as much if not more points than RBs

 

Fair enough, I don't know your league. In mine, a couple QBs go but it's generally a mad dash to the RBs.

[BUFFALOTONE]

Do you start 1 QB or 2? If you play 2 you take the best QB available overall. Brady, Brees and Rodgers will have more TDs than any RBs this year. But if you have a PPR league I believe Rice or McCoy are the best options.

[Canadian Bills Fan]

Do you start 1 QB or 2? If you play 2 you take the best QB available overall. Brady, Brees and Rodgers will have more TDs than any RBs this year. But if you have a PPR league I believe Rice or McCoy are the best options.

 

We start...

 

1 QB

2 RB

2 WR

1 TE

1 K

1D/ST

[BuffOrange]

Depends on your scoring system but runing backs are almost always more valuable than any other position in fantasy - by valuable I mean what's the drop off in talent between what you would get now vs. what you would get the next time you picked.

Given that so few teams seem to employ a workhorse back who gets all of the carries, between the 20s AND in the red zone, RB is pretty much going to be your best bet. Rodgers is a great fantasy QB, but the drop off between him and the #10 qb isn't going to be nearly as huge as between Foster/Rice and the #10 RB.

 

This. I personally prefer McCoy but whatever; I'm fine with Foster/Rice/McCoy there. QB is way too deep to take 1st. You can win your league with a Romo or Vick or Newton if you stockpile other positions. Schaub & Rivers are also going very late this yr.

 

More interesting is what to do if you're like 6th this year. I think Megatron would be the first non-RB I'd take.

[Miyagi-Do Karate]

I'd say Ray Rice is the no-brainer at 1, so you're lucky to get him at 2, JMO.

 

Depends on your scoring but there's likely more QBs that will get you in the area of Rodgers, than there are RBs that'll get you in the neighborhood of Rice or Foster.

 

Aren't you worried that Rice is a bit of a one-hit wonder? I think his TD production last year was an aberration; I can't see him scoring 17 TD's this year. He strikes me as solid, and, on average, a 8 TD kind of player.

[KD in CA]

All premier QBs will be gone by end of round 2. After RB everyone will look to take a great QB because they put up just as much if not more points than RBs

 

Yes Rodgers, Brees and Brady will be gone but that leaves the whole 2d tier available for one of his picks at the turn. Or he can risk waiting until the end of round 4 for someone lower on the rader but still capable of good #s.

 

Aren't you worried that Rice is a bit of a one-hit wonder? I think his TD production last year was an aberration; I can't see him scoring 17 TD's this year. He strikes me as solid, and, on average, a 8 TD kind of player.

 

It's always a crap shoot to predict who will have big years in TDs, but Rice gets a ton of carries and catches. IMO he's definitely one of the top 3 RBs.

[dhg]

If you get 6 points for a TD pass, Rodgers is the pick.

[Awwufelloff]

If you get 6 points for a TD pass, Rodgers is the pick.

 

Agreed. In standard scoring a passing TD is 4 pts that is why Foster goes 1, Rice goes 2, and McCoy goes 3. If 6 pts per TD for QB you go Rodgers first then the other 3 previously mentioned.