JÂy RÛßeÒ Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/blog/eye-on-football/19137371/nfl-season-overunder-win-totals-released-afc-analysis AFC EastNew England Patriots, 12 Wins Over (-120) / Under (-110): The over is the clear-cut favorite over the under (-110) but not by as much as I'd have thought. That's because betting on more than 12 wins in May is bananas, even if Tom Brady's extended, Wes Welker signed his franchise tender and the Pats drafted for defense. While the Patriots have only failed to win the division twice in the past 10 years, they've also "only" gone over 12 wins four times in that span. 12 games is a LOT in the NFL, regardless of who you are. Verdict: UNDER New York Jets, 8.5 Wins Over (-115) / Under (-115): I have a hard time believing in the Jets, and actually think they might be the third-best team in their division. Of course, they acquired Tim Tebow in the offseason and he turned the would-be worst Broncos into a division winner last year. I look at their schedule and nine wins just seems like a very optimistic projection, so I'd be staring down the under here. Verdict: UNDER Miami Dolphins, 7.5 Wins Over (-110) / Under (-120): Am I taking crazy pills? Why are the Dolphins supposed to win more games than the Bills? It took a miracle for the Dolphins to get back to 6-10 last season and they've got a new coaching staff, a new defensive scheme and tons of questions at quarterback. The early schedule is pretty favorable so maybe I'm wrong about the Fins, but if they aren't .500 or better (3-3) at the bye, it's hard to imagine them not rolling out Ryan Tannehill to get some early action. That could result in a tough stretch run. Verdict: UNDER Buffalo Bills, 7 Wins Over (-110) / Under (-120): Love the Bills over, but the early action is apparently on the under. That's not terribly surprising given that the public probably tends to go against a team like the Bills. But they won six games last year and if Ryan Fitzpatrick can bounce back this is a dangerous team. Plus, a five-game stretch of at IND, vs JAX, vs STL, vs SEA, at MIA looks like a winning streak to me. Verdict: OVER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kabnt2005 Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 A smart O/U would have been at least 7 1/2. Definitely an OVER on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JÂy RÛßeÒ Posted May 25, 2012 Author Share Posted May 25, 2012 A smart O/U would have been at least 7 1/2. Definitely an OVER on this one. We won 6 last year, have what looks like a much improved defense and a better scheme, and have an easier looking schedule. Yeah I'd definitely go with the over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny33 Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/blog/eye-on-football/19137371/nfl-season-overunder-win-totals-released-afc-analysis I took the Bills with a 6.5 over/under. I'm biased, but that may have been the easiest bet I've ever made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRAWNDO Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Thats easy money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tcali Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 with the bills easy schedule the over makes sense. they look like 8-8 or 9-7 this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J-YO SUCKAS Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 with the bills easy schedule the over makes sense. they look like 8-8 or 9-7 this year. That's not very optimistic. I think they can win 10 with all the positive factors(schedule, additions, full off season etc.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J-YO SUCKAS Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Wow James Walker has softened his stance as a Bills hater and is giving them an 8.5, more than he gives the Jets and Fish. My link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Took the bills over 7@ even money today. Also have a $400 bet at 85-1 to win the super bowl, Just with the hope of making the playoffs. If they make the playoffs, it's a guaranteed 5k hedging the bet against them. I'm praying to see Fitzpatricks play is closer to the first 5 games rather than the 2nd half of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThurmasThoman Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Took the bills over 7@ even money today. Also have a $400 bet at 85-1 to win the super bowl, Just with the hope of making the playoffs. If they make the playoffs, it's a guaranteed 5k hedging the bet against them. I'm praying to see Fitzpatricks play is closer to the first 5 games rather than the 2nd half of the season. too early for me to make sense of this. what do you mean? also, what site gave you 85-1 on the super bowl? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatsFanNH Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 I say the Bills are an easy OVER I see the bills as the #2 team with 10 wins... as for his comments about the Pats I would point out to him the last TWO years they have finished with 13 and 14 wins each... and this yr the Pats D (ON PAPER) actually looks like it is a lot better. (heck couldnt be much worse it was ranked 31st last yr lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Took the bills over 7@ even money today. Also have a $400 bet at 85-1 to win the super bowl, Just with the hope of making the playoffs. If they make the playoffs, it's a guaranteed 5k hedging the bet against them. I'm praying to see Fitzpatricks play is closer to the first 5 games rather than the 2nd half of the season. I wanted to bet this and had my uncle who lives in vegas look for these odds and he couldn't find them. IIRC you live in vegas what casino did you place this bet at? Any poster know of any casinos taking these bets? I want to lay 100 on it but cant find a spot to take it. Any help will be appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Bump so new era can see this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OCinBuffalo Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 (edited) Wow James Walker has softened his stance as a Bills hater and is giving them an 8.5, more than he gives the Jets and Fish. My link Took the bills over 7@ even money today. Also have a $400 bet at 85-1 to win the super bowl, Just with the hope of making the playoffs. If they make the playoffs, it's a guaranteed 5k hedging the bet against them. I'm praying to see Fitzpatricks play is closer to the first 5 games rather than the 2nd half of the season. Put these 2 together and you get: James Walker has been calling the Bills his "sleeper pick for 2012" since FA. Talk about hedging bets. This way, we won't be the "surprise" team. He can disclaim us being better than his projections = sleeper, and he STILL doesn't have to actually come here and watch our camp or see any preseason games live. Surprise Definition: what some in sports media call a team who plays a lot better than they projected, because they actually didn't do any real analysis, interviews, or research on them. Used in a sentence: Marshall Faulk said the Bills are a surprise team. Edited June 27, 2012 by OCinBuffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeviF Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Put these 2 together and you get: James Walker has been calling the Bills his "sleeper pick for 2012" since FA. Talk about hedging bets. This way, we won't be the "surprise" team. He can disclaim us being better than his projections = sleeper, and he STILL doesn't have to actually come here and watch our camp or see any preseason games live. Surprise Definition: what some in sports media call a team who plays a lot better than they projected, because they actually didn't do any real analysis, interviews, or research on them. Used in a sentence: Marshall Faulk said the Bills are a surprise team. You should comment on his next blog post with this bit. The community would love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikef272002 Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Where do you go to place bets like this.? I'd like to gamble some of my money on the bills, but I don;t know where to begin or how it works.. Help..? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cub Reporter Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I would hope after this offseason, and all the hype the Bills have received, that they would win more than seven games. I'll take the over and say Bills win nine to ten games this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
San-O Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 with the bills easy schedule the over makes sense. they look like 8-8 or 9-7 this year. + 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Where do you go to place bets like this.? I'd like to gamble some of my money on the bills, but I don;t know where to begin or how it works.. Help..? That's why I originally bumped this thread... I want to bet this bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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