Billshank Redemption Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 According to research from ESPN Florida's Charlie Bernstein, only 40 percent (18 of 45) wide receivers drafted in the first round from 2000-2010 have panned out. One ray of light is that seven of the past eight first-round receivers have been solid. Bernstein finds that second-round receivers have a 22.4 percent (11 of 49) hit rate while those drafted in the third round succeed at just 15 percent (8 of 55). Of the 215 receivers drafted from Rounds 4-7, only 14 (6.5 percent) have emerged as solid contributors. Not trying to not believe in our F.O but if we want an impact wideout week one I have a feeling its Floyd or bust. Just my opinion. Still think it'll be Kuechly.
Matt in KC Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 Thanks for the stats. I wonder how many of the failed WRs played on teams that really needed a LT....
jjmac Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 (edited) According to research from ESPN Florida's Charlie Bernstein, only 40 percent (18 of 45) wide receivers drafted in the first round from 2000-2010 have panned out. One ray of light is that seven of the past eight first-round receivers have been solid. Bernstein finds that second-round receivers have a 22.4 percent (11 of 49) hit rate while those drafted in the third round succeed at just 15 percent (8 of 55). Of the 215 receivers drafted from Rounds 4-7, only 14 (6.5 percent) have emerged as solid contributors. Not trying to not believe in our F.O but if we want an impact wideout week one I have a feeling its Floyd or bust. Just my opinion. Still think it'll be Kuechly. I think you're right that it will be Kuechly. Just remember that we have had success at WR outside of the 1st round (Reed, Beebe, Johnson). Edited April 20, 2012 by jjmac
billsfan89 Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 I think its Floyd or Kuechly. The more I look at Hariston the more I think the FO is fine with him and OK with looking for a backup.
Geno Smith's Arm Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 (edited) I think you're right that it will be Kuechly. Just remember that we have had success at WR outside of the 1st round (Reed, Beebe, Johnson). What do Reed and Beebe have to do with the current the current front office? Every team has had some success finding receivers over a 20 year period. The fact is, most don't pan out. That's why it's prudent to select the Best Player Available. As far as the LT effecting the receivers career, it's more likely a QB problem. Edited April 20, 2012 by Matthews' Bag
PromoTheRobot Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 I heard from someone who would know that OBD has high hopes for Marcus Easley in 2012. They expect him to make things happen. PTR
eball Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 I heard from someone who would know that OBD has high hopes for Marcus Easley in 2012. They expect him to make things happen. PTR I've been pounding this drum since last off-season. I just have a feeling the kid has matured, gotten an opportunity to watch the pros for two seasons, and is ready to break out. His physical tools are stud-worthy.
biglukes Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 I've been pounding this drum since last off-season. I just have a feeling the kid has matured, gotten an opportunity to watch the pros for two seasons, and is ready to break out. His physical tools are stud-worthy. Agreed. Assuming his health issues are all set and I have no reason to think they aren't, I think Easley would have a bigger impact for the offense this year than any receiver we could draft other than Blackmon.
hammet89 Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 There wouldn't be a lot of reason to keep a rookie injured\ sick for his first two years before he stepped on the field... If he pans out then we have our speed receiver... I remember him being pretty fast In college
KOKBILLS Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 According to research from ESPN Florida's Charlie Bernstein, only 40 percent (18 of 45) wide receivers drafted in the first round from 2000-2010 have panned out. One ray of light is that seven of the past eight first-round receivers have been solid. Bernstein finds that second-round receivers have a 22.4 percent (11 of 49) hit rate while those drafted in the third round succeed at just 15 percent (8 of 55). Of the 215 receivers drafted from Rounds 4-7, only 14 (6.5 percent) have emerged as solid contributors. Not trying to not believe in our F.O but if we want an impact wideout week one I have a feeling its Floyd or bust. Just my opinion. Still think it'll be Kuechly. It is interesting seeing as though The highest Draft WR on the Bills Roster right now is the Journeyman Hagan who was a 3rd Round Pick...The highest Bills Draft Pick on the Roster is Easley...A 4th Round Pick...
1B4IDie Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 (edited) According to research from ESPN Florida's Charlie Bernstein, only 40 percent (18 of 45) wide receivers drafted in the first round from 2000-2010 have panned out. One ray of light is that seven of the past eight first-round receivers have been solid. Bernstein finds that second-round receivers have a 22.4 percent (11 of 49) hit rate while those drafted in the third round succeed at just 15 percent (8 of 55). Of the 215 receivers drafted from Rounds 4-7, only 14 (6.5 percent) have emerged as solid contributors. Not trying to not believe in our F.O but if we want an impact wideout week one I have a feeling its Floyd or bust. Just my opinion. Still think it'll be Kuechly. You know that 40% is an awesome hit rate for any position in the draft. That has to be one of the highest success rates of any position. Are you advocating drafting a WR or not? Edited April 20, 2012 by Why So Serious?
Buffalo Barbarian Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 According to research from ESPN Florida's Charlie Bernstein, only 40 percent (18 of 45) wide receivers drafted in the first round from 2000-2010 have panned out. One ray of light is that seven of the past eight first-round receivers have been solid. Bernstein finds that second-round receivers have a 22.4 percent (11 of 49) hit rate while those drafted in the third round succeed at just 15 percent (8 of 55). Of the 215 receivers drafted from Rounds 4-7, only 14 (6.5 percent) have emerged as solid contributors. Not trying to not believe in our F.O but if we want an impact wideout week one I have a feeling its Floyd or bust. Just my opinion. Still think it'll be Kuechly. I'm sure the first round is better for every position. What makes this draft different is that there is more WR depth THIS YEAR whereas it variess from year to year.
KollegeStudnet Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 (edited) WR is a sexy pick... Kuelchy is just as sexy... But, what is NOT as sexy is if Buffalo pulls BPA--which they will--the pick could either be Barron or Gilmore! In 8 days after the Bills pick, I'm imagining at least 40 venting posts dedicated to the same thing...the Buffalo Bills selecting not a WR, OT or LB--but, SS and/or CB! This could happen...or it could not...but, when you boil it down it would not surprise me to see them select Barron or Gilmore! Edit: within the past few days I've heard Gil Brandt, Gosselin and several other mock gurus talk/write about Gilmore and Barron being the surprise top ten picks Edited April 20, 2012 by KollegeStudnet
mountainwampus Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 You know that 40% is an awesome hit rate for any position in the draft. That has to be one of the highest success rates of any position. Are you advocating drafting a WR or not? Agreed. I'd like to see the hit rates of some other positions to compare. Overall, I think Nix is right, that the WRs are the deepest position this year. I heard from someone who would know that OBD has high hopes for Marcus Easley in 2012. They expect him to make things happen. PTR Am I the only one who is concerned about his heart condition? Seems to me that those kinda problems don't heal. Though, I wish him the best, he looks like a potential stud receiver.
KollegeStudnet Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 I heard from someone who would know that OBD has high hopes for Marcus Easley in 2012. They expect him to make things happen. PTR I hope...I've been rooting for him every year, I'd like him to see him play a full season!
BillsGuyInMalta Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 WR is a sexy pick... Kuelchy is just as sexy... But, what is NOT as sexy is if Buffalo pulls BPA--which they will--the pick could either be Barron or Gilmore! In 8 days after the Bills pick, I'm imagining at least 40 venting posts dedicated to the same thing...the Buffalo Bills selecting not a WR, OT or LB--but, SS and/or CB! This could happen...or it could not...but, when you boil it down it would not surprise me to see them select Barron or Gilmore! Edit: within the past few days I've heard Gil Brandt, Gosselin and several other mock gurus talk/write about Gilmore and Barron being the surprise top ten picks I would think most people on this board would be happy with Gilmore. Fills a need, can start right away, deals with the division's tough WRs.
jjmac Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 What do Reed and Beebe have to do with the current the current front office? Every team has had some success finding receivers over a 20 year period. The fact is, most don't pan out. That's why it's prudent to select the Best Player Available. As far as the LT effecting the receivers career, it's more likely a QB problem. I'm not arguing that point. All I'm saying is that if we don't draft a WR in the 1st round, it is not the end of the world as we know it.
Cash Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 Am I the only one who is concerned about his heart condition? Seems to me that those kinda problems don't heal. Though, I wish him the best, he looks like a potential stud receiver. He is medically cleared to play football. If the problem was still there, he wouldn't be able to get medical clearance.
Billshank Redemption Posted April 20, 2012 Author Posted April 20, 2012 You know that 40% is an awesome hit rate for any position in the draft. That has to be one of the highest success rates of any position. Are you advocating drafting a WR or not? Its a 40% hit rate for the first round I don't know if you were reading what I was reading.
1B4IDie Posted April 20, 2012 Posted April 20, 2012 Its a 40% hit rate for the first round I don't know if you were reading what I was reading. I understand that.
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