TravelingDad48 Posted December 19, 2004 Posted December 19, 2004 First the forecast for 1pm - 19 degrees and 20 MPH winds - wind chill 3 Quarterback - Drew has a rating of 76.6 at #23 His 18 TD's are better than 9 of thetop 20 rated QB's, is 10th in the league There are 30 rated in a range of 126 to 73 Carson Palmer has a rating of 77.3 at #20 Passing defense - Buffalo #3 at 177.1 yards, 18 TD's, 17INT's, 37 sacks, 261 sack yards. Cinny #15 at 206.8 yards, 21 TD's, 16INT's, 30 sacks, 201 sack yards. Would expect that passing is not the key to the game - ball control and turnovers - but looks like the matchup favors the Bills - expecially if Palmer does not play. Time of possesion Buffalo 30:31 vs. Cinny 29:12 Running - Buffalo #4 at 92.3 yards, 4TD's, 61 first downs, 4 games over 20 points Cinny #27 at 138.2 yards, 10TD's, 107 first down's, 7 games over 20 points HUGE advantage to Buffalo with the weather they will face. Rudi Johnson - 291 carries, 4.1 average, 5 runs over 20 yards December numbers 2 games 43 rushes 145 yards 3.4 average 18 longest 0 TD's 8 first downs He averages the same in each half and each quarter, with a .1 - VERY consistant back ! Willis McGahee - 240 carries, 3.8 average, 8 runs over 20 yards December numbers 2 games 50 rushes 196 yards 3.9 avg 21 longest 2 TD's 13 first downs First half 3.4, second half 4.1 By quarter, 1st-3.3, 2nd-3.6, 3rd, 3.7, 4th- 4.5 - Was not aware that is was so different - impressive ! He has rushes 130 times on 1st down for 553 yards and 4.3 average. Thats 1/2 of his carries on 1st down - know I sure would look for that today ! Special teams Offense Buffalo #2 at 24.5 yards in TO returns, #4 in punt returns Cinny #23 in KO returns and #15 in punt returns Defense Buffalo #3 with no TD's allowed Cinny #6 with no TD's allowed Looks like this could be a wash for once So I see a LOW scoring game - lots of running - some passing See Drew throwing short passes - maybe 12 for 18 for 120 yards - just enough to keep them honest - see McGahee getting 30+ carries Score 17-10 Buffalo
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