DC Grid Posted April 26, 2011 Posted April 26, 2011 Looking at the recent trends involving QBs taken in the last 3 first rounds it seems that drafting a QB in the first often turns out to be a much better than grabbing players at any of the other most frequently taken positions. A look at the last 3 first rounds comparing QBs to the three most selected positions in those rounds: (Success* rates are in parenthesis) [*Success measured by being in the top 25 in the NFL at their position] 2010 QBs: (50%) Sam Bradford- Franchise QB Tim Tebow- Smart money still says he’s a long-shot, but he showed glimmers of potential last year DEs: (25%) Brandon Graham – Struggled in his transition to the NFL J Pierre-Paul – Looked the part of a good DE for years to come Derrick Morgan – No impact at all Jerry Hughes – No impact at all CBs: (40%) Joe Hadden – Excellent corner in the making Kareem Jackson – Decent, but unimpressive Devin McCourty – Excellent corner in the making Kyle Wilson – Awful Patrick Robinson - Awful LTs: (0%) Trent Williams – Looked decent at times but struggled to stay healthy Russell Okung – See above Anthony Davis – Struggled and might only be a RT Bryan Bulaga – Had good moments and bad, likely to stay at RT or even slide to G 2009 QBs: (66%) Matt Stafford – A franchise QB when healthy, but injury prone Mark Sanchez – Has flaws but all he seems to do is win Josh Freeman – Franchise QB material DEs: (0%) Tyson Jackson – Suspect Aaron Maybin – Complete bust Larry English – Solid, but unspectacular CBs: (0%) Malcom Jenkins – Below average starting CB Vontae Davis – Average starting CB LTs: (50%) Jason Smith – Solid potentially great T in the making Andre Smith – Awful Eugene Monroe – Solid, but unspectacular Michael Oher – Good, and has the potential to be great 2008 QBs: (100%) Matt Ryan – Franchise QB top 7 in the league Joe Flacco – Franchise QB DEs: (0%) Chris Long – Solid DE Derrick Harvey – Below average starting DE Lawrence Jackson – Extremely unimpressive CBs: (0%) Leodis McKelvin – Solid, but unspectacular Aqib Talib – Good but off field issues are sidetracking his career Mike Jenkins – Solid, but unspectacular Antoine Cason – Solid starting CB LTs: (60%) Jake Long – Franchise LT Ryan Clady – Franchise LT Duane Brown – Below average OT Sam Baker – Solid Starting OT Jeff Otah – Solid Starting OT
High Mark Posted April 26, 2011 Posted April 26, 2011 (edited) I would argue with some of your ratings of the players, for example how can Bulaga get a 0 when he played well and helped his team to a SB? I also thought Okung and Williams played well. And you left off players like Orakpo and DRC who have made the Pro Bowl. Edited April 26, 2011 by Thoner7
DC Grid Posted April 26, 2011 Author Posted April 26, 2011 I would argue with some of your ratings of the players, for example how can Bulaga get a 0 when he played well and helped his team to a SB? I also thought Okung and Williams played well. And you left off players like Orakpo and DRC who have made the Pro Bowl. Orakpo came up as an OLB which is why I missed him. Bulaga, Okung and Williams all had some good value, but using the metric of top 25 at their position, LT...Bulaga didn't even play LT most of the year and Okung and Williams were not top 25 guys. I would agree they do have the potential to be more. DRC was a complete oversight.
KRC Posted April 26, 2011 Posted April 26, 2011 Historical perspective is only three years? Damn. I have been going about this whole pro football history thingy all wrong.
1B4IDie Posted April 26, 2011 Posted April 26, 2011 (edited) Yeah there are some players Missing. Plus its hard to compare a 3-4 DE to a 4-3 DE, you need to add 4-3 DT and 3-4 OLB. Plus what's sad is Derrick Morgan played for 4 games has more sacks then Maybin probably ever will. When he comes back from injury you're gonna need to tick that up. Beluga is not sliding in, that's could have been the opinion of some through 8 games, but he locked down the RT after that and will hold down the spot for the next 12 years. If he slides anywhere it would be LT. You might want to tick that up too. Edited April 26, 2011 by Why So Serious?
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