Simulated Draft--

[McBeane]

Cam Newton has won nothing. Saying he is a winner is laughable.

 

 

Some would say that calling the future Heisman winner a non-winner is laughable.

 

Won nothing? Really? What does the 12 stand for in front of that 0 in their record?

[1B4IDie]

Cam Newton has won nothing. Saying he is a winner is laughable.

Um he won a J-Co championship and the SEC West, and is about to win SEC and then go to the National Championship.

Thats not nothing not to mention going 12-0 in the regular season in the SEC.

[Lofton80]

The only QB I would consider early is Luck. I like Fairley pick. I would go with Casey Matthews in the second. Those two guys would add some energy.

[McD]

What to say about Cam...??? Hmmm... I think the kid has potential, but I'm not sold yet on his ability to play in the pro game. Trust me... I was one of the few who wanted to see Vick here, so it's not about having a "mobile" QB.. it's about having a QB that can get us in the right direction sooner than later. I just dont know how Cam would do for his first few years. I just prefer D the first few rounds, if he's there in Rd 3, then maybe.

[John from Riverside]

I'd like to trade down a couple of spots and take Bowers.....

[McD]

I'd like to trade down a couple of spots and take Bowers.....

 

I like Bowers as well...

[JohnC]

Cam Newton has won nothing. Saying he is a winner is laughable.

 

In your world up is down and down is up. Weird, just weird.

[bkc]

Quick question , do you think Fairley play can translate well to 3/4 end. Playing him and Williams on the D line could be tremendous .

 

I simulated a draft giving equal priority for all 8 of the Bills' needs---QB, RT, LT, OLB, TE, WR, DE, and NT.

This puts the picks into the computer's hands, giving us the best player available based on the Big Board. The results can help us get our priorities straight for Positional Needs.

 

Here are the results. I'm providing the drafted players near our pick to help adjust Positional Needs:

 

Round Pick Team Selection Psn School CRI Delta ReachValue

1 1 Carolina Andrew Luck QB Stanford P1 +0 Value

1 2 Cincinnati Nick Fairley DT43 Auburn P4 +0 Value

1 3 Buffalo Robert Quinn OLB34 North Carolina P2 -1 Reach

1 4 Detroit Prince Amukamara CB Nebraska P1 +1 Value

1 5 Arizona Patrick Peterson CB LSU P3 -2 Reach

1 6 San Francisco Adrian Clayborn DE34 Iowa P4 +0 Value

1 7 Minnesota Derek Sherrod OT Mississippi State P2 -5 Reach

1 8 Dallas Da'Quan Bowers DE34 Clemson P4 +0 Value

1 9 Cleveland A.J. Green WRF Georgia P2 +0 Value

1 10 Denver Marcell Dareus DE34 Alabama P3 +0 Value

 

2 33 New England Julio Jones WRF Alabama P3O +12 Value

2 34 Cincinnati Tyler Sash FS Iowa P2 -5 Reach

2 35 Buffalo Cameron Newton QB Auburn P2 +2 Value

2 36 Detroit Stefen Wisniewski OG Penn State P3 +5 Value

2 37 Arizona Jason Pinkston OT Pittsburgh P2 -1 Reach

2 38 San Francisco Jimmy Smith CB Colorado P2 -8 Reach

2 39 Minnesota Michael Floyd WRF Notre Dame P3O +12 Value

2 40 Dallas Aaron Williams CB Texas P2 -14 Reach

2 41 Cleveland Tank Carder ILB TCU P2 +1 Value

2 42 Denver Martez Wilson ILB Illinois P3 +0 Value

2 43 Houston Mark Barron FS Alabama P3 -8 Reach

2 44 St Louis Justin Blackmon WRF Oklahoma State P1 +8 Value

2 45 Seattle Drake Nevis DT43 LSU P3 -3 Reach

2 46 Denver D.J. Williams TE Arkansas P3 -1 Reach

 

3 65 Carolina Sione Fua DT43 Stanford P2 -10 Reach

3 66 Cincinnati Kendall Hunter RBC Oklahoma State P3 +3 Value

3 67 Buffalo Justin Houston OLB34 Georgia P2 -1 Reach

3 68 Detroit Orlando Franklin OT Miami (FL) P3 -2 Reach

3 69 Arizona Colin Kaepernick QB Nevada P2 +3 Value

3 70 San Francisco Brandon Weeden QB Oklahoma State P1 -19 Reach

3 71 New England Ryan Williams RBF Virginia Tech P4 +14 Value

3 72 Dallas Kristofer O'Dowd OC USC P3 -5 Reach

3 73 Cleveland Luke Stocker TE Tennessee P2 +13 Value

 

4 97 Carolina Titus Young WRF Boise State P2 -2 Reach

4 98 Cincinnati Mark Herzlich OLB43 Boston College P3 -9 Reach

4 99 Buffalo Joseph Barksdale OT LSU P2 -1 Reach

4 100 Detroit Sam Acho DE43 Texas P3 +2 Value

4 101 Arizona Clint Boling OG Georgia P3 -11 Reach

4 102 San Francisco Jarvis Jenkins DE34 Clemson P4R -6 Reach

4 103 Minnesota Pat Devlin QB Delaware P2 -10 Reach

4 104 Dallas Andy Dalton QB TCU P3 -19 Reach

4 105 Cleveland Wayne Daniels OLB34 TCU P2 +0 Value

4 106 Denver Rahim Moore FS UCLA P3 +13 Value

4 107 Houston Mike Pouncey OG Florida P3 -17 Reach

4 108 St Louis Marcus Gilchrist CB Clemson P2 -13 Reach

4 109 Seattle Jabaal Sheard DE43 Pittsburgh P3 -8 Reach

 

5 129 Carolina Chase Minnefield CB Virginia P2 -31 Reach

5 130 Cincinnati Jeff Demps RBF Florida P4 +8 Value

5 131 Buffalo Don'ta Hightower ILB Alabama P3 +12 Value

5 132 Detroit Johnny Brown FS Mississippi P4R -19 Reach

5 133 Arizona Chris White ILB Mississippi State P4R +0 Value

5 134 San Francisco Ronald Johnson WRF USC P4R -13 Reach

5 135 Minnesota Brooks Reed DE43 Arizona P3 +1 Value

5 136 Dallas Mike Mohamed ILB California P4R -3 Reach

5 137 Cleveland Lawrence Guy DE34 Arizona State P2 -9 Reach

5 138 Denver Lee Ziemba OT Auburn P3 -2 Reach

5 139 Houston Jurrell Casey DT43 USC P4 +9 Value

 

6 161 Carolina Preston Dial TE Alabama P4 +13 Value

6 162 Cincinnati Greg Little WRP North Carolina P3R -35 Reach

6 163 Buffalo Terry Griffin DT34 Elizabeth City State P3T -57 Reach

6 164 Detroit Mario Fannin RBF Auburn P4R +6 Value

6 165 Arizona Pierre Allen DE34 Nebraska P4R +3 Value

6 166 San Francisco Nigel Bradham OLB43 Florida State P4R +5 Value

6 167 Minnesota Scott Lutrus ILB Connecticut P3 -5 Reach

6 168 Dallas Jeremy Kellem FS Middle Tennessee P4R -18 Reach

6 169 Cleveland Shareece Wright CB USC P4R -13 Reach

6 170 Denver Eric Hagg SS Nebraska P3R -35 Reach

6 171 Houston Alex Wujciak ILB Maryland P4R -2 Reach

6 172 St Louis Muhammad Wilkerson DT43 Temple P3 +9 Value

6 173 Seattle Vincent Brown WRF San Diego State P4R -4 Reach

6 174 Miami Rashad Carmichael CB Virginia Tech P3 -16 Reach

6 175 Washington Ryan Van Bergen DE34 Michigan P4 +8 Value

6 176 Oakland Ryan Bartholomew OC Syracuse P2R -75 Reach

 

This report was produced using Draft Tek's Draft Simulator:

[1B4IDie]

Quick question , do you think Fairley play can translate well to 3/4 end. Playing him and Williams on the D line could be tremendous .

See page 2, some people think he is better suited at NT in a 3/4

[JohnC]

What to say about Cam...??? Hmmm... I think the kid has potential, but I'm not sold yet on his ability to play in the pro game. Trust me... I was one of the few who wanted to see Vick here, so it's not about having a "mobile" QB.. it's about having a QB that can get us in the right direction sooner than later. I just dont know how Cam would do for his first few years. I just prefer D the first few rounds, if he's there in Rd 3, then maybe.

 

The first few years for Cam Newton (Mallett or anyone else) will be dedicated to learning the game as it is for most young qbs. Rogers for the Packers didn't get serious playing time until his third or fourth year. There are a number of Mallett advocates. He is not going to immediately be ready to take the full time snaps. Havng a qb such as Fitz would be an excellent situation for any young qb to play behind for at least a couple of years. The only qb who is most ready to take over sooner rather than later is Luck. I'm not even sure he is coming out or if we will be in position to draft him.

 

The Bills are multi-years away from contending with the Jets or Pats in our division. It is my view that we need to get the franchise on the roster sooner rather than later. So when the team's roster is more developed the qb will be on board to lead a more competitive team.

 

As I have stated on other posts I'm confident that Cam Newton's draft status will continue to move up as the evaluation process advances. It is doubtful that he will last until the second round as many now believe.

Edited November 27, 2010 by JohnC

[Dr. Fong]

I would HATE that draft.

[1B4IDie]

The first few years for Cam Newton (Mallett or anyone else) will be dedicated to learning the game as it is for most young qbs. Rogers for the Packers didn't get serious playing time until his third or fourth year. There are a number of Mallett advocates. He is not going to immediately be ready to take the full time snaps. Havng a qb such as Fitz would be an excellent situation for any young qb to play behind for at least a couple of years. The only qb who is most ready to take over sooner rather than later is Luck. I'm not even sure he is coming out or if we will be in position to draft him.

 

The Bills are multi-years away from contending with the Jets or Pats in our division. It is my view that we need to get the franchise on the roster sooner rather than later. So when the team's roster is more developed the qb will be on board to lead a more competitive team.

 

As I have stated on other posts I'm confident that Cam Newton's draft status will continue to move up as the evaluation process advances. It is doubtful that he will last until the second round as many now believe.

Good point however, this team needs an impact defensive player that will make the pass rush better in the 1st round. This will lead to more wins in 2011.

If Cam is there in the second, then I'm on board with grooming the QB of the future for a year and half and continue to build the Defense through the rest of the draft.

 

BTW aren't you the same guy that was stating Mallet will fall to the late second? Still think so?

[KOKBILLS]

One thing just LEAPED off the page for me...

 

Julio Jones at #33 Overall?

 

Okey doke...

 

I think you need to re-simulate since we have Seattles 4th rounder

[JohnC]

BTW aren't you the same guy that was stating Mallet will fall to the late second? Still think so?

 

What I have stated on Mallett is that I believe he will be ranked in the 15-25 range if not lower. I have questions about his durability and mobility. Because of those issues I don't believe he is a good fit for the Bills.

 

I feel strongly that as the draft evaluation unfolds Newton will go up the ranks and will be the second rated qb behind Luck. Will Newton be ranked as a player in the upper tier, where we will be drafting. Probably not. But my stance is that if Nix and his staff believe that Newton or Mallett for that matter are truly franchise qbs then they have to maneuver in this draft to get that caliber of qb on the roster sooner rather than later.

[Astrobot]

Cam Newton has won nothing. Saying he is a winner is laughable.

 

The best article I've read on Cam Newton is this one. I suggest you read it before you laugh.

[BuffaloBill]

I simulated a draft giving equal priority for all 8 of the Bills' needs---QB, RT, LT, OLB, TE, WR, DE, and NT.

 

 

Interesting stuff though I disagree with your priorities. I would argue they are:

 

OLB, DE (pass rush specialist), ILB, TE, RT

 

QB ranks in the top 3 though to me it seems with Fitzbeard coming on the Bills have the option of looking to fill other needs right now. I guess it will depend upon the player available when they pick. I sincerely hope that the Bills do not take CB, WR, S, RB with any of their picks in the first three rounds. To me the front seven of the D - withthe exception of NT and one ILB is crying out for help. Stroud is not young, Kelsay is suspect and Johnson or Edwards fill roles. Unless divine intervention happens to save Maybin's career and he suddenly gets "it" I see the Bills working hard to get either a pass rushing DE or LB in round one or round two.

[ReturnoftheBuffaloBeast23]

Shhh I secretly would be happy if the Bills took him in the second but I can't say that as it would ruin my credibility.

 

The problem isn't his throwing motion it's his footwork. I think Chan and team could straighten out the footwork while Fitzy starts.

 

The kid is special but is risky. The Buffalo media would stir up a controversy faster than you can fry up a chicken finger sub at Jim's steakout.

 

Quinn and Newton is like drafting TNT twice it could be highly explosive. Which could be a good thing or bad thing if it's not handeled properly.

 

 

I'm glad you're not the Bills GM drafting Newton with 1st is a worse idea than taking Quinn with the first.

 

Great metaphor sir..lol

 

but anyway I think Newton would be better than locker (not luck but he won't be there on our clock) but I do agree with the second round to *lebron james voice* bring his talents to Buffalo. I agree that chan can get his footwork in order to make him work out and that coming from chan hater turned chan liker. grab a defensive line man in the 1st then I'd throw my GM card on newton in the 2nd. Yep id risk the job on that guy...

 

One thing just LEAPED off the page for me...

 

Julio Jones at #33 Overall?

 

Okey doke...

 

 

 

 

LOL I didnt even notice that...and let alone to the patriots awww somebody f'ed up on that...

Edited November 27, 2010 by ReturnoftheBuffaloBeast23