Nanker Posted April 18, 2010 Posted April 18, 2010 Interesting list as of now it's in order of their rating as a DRAFT VALUE. 1 DT Gerald McCoy 8.8 2 DT Ndamukong Suh 8.8 3 OT Anthony Davis 8.7 4 SS Eric Berry 8.7 5 OT Brian Bulaga 8.6 6 DE Derrick Morgan 8.6 7 CB Joe Haden 8.6 8 DE Jason Pierre-Paul 8.6 9 LB Rolando McClain 8.6 10 RB C.J. Spiller 8.6 11 OT Russell Okung 8.6 12 QB Sam Bradford 8.5 13 WR Dez Bryant 8.5 14 DE Sergio Kindle 8.5 15 DT Dan Williams 8.5 16 OT Trent Williams 8.4 I've bolded the most unlikely to fall to The Bills at #9. If Nix is drafting according to ability, one of those on the list will be a Bill this Thursday, IMHO. This is the type of board that NFL teams have - players graded (by their own weighted scale) and ranked in order by talent - and position. Teams that draft "the best player available" plan to take exactly that - the best guy on their board. There's discussion back and forth on positional needs when the available players are closely ranked. e.g., an OT ranked at 8.4 might get more consideration than a DB ranked at 8.5 for a team such as The Bills. Clausen is rated 40th on this board - tied with four others (Charles Brown, OT USC, Dezmon Briscoe, WR Kansas, Navorro Bowman, LB Penn State and Dexter McCluster, RB Mississippi. In this perspective, Clausen is a huge reach at the 9 spot - even considering the premium that teams place on franchise QBs. Clearly, he's not viewed as a franchise QB on this board. Come on Thursday!
Bob in STL Posted April 18, 2010 Posted April 18, 2010 Interesting list as of now it's in order of their rating as a DRAFT VALUE. 1 DT Gerald McCoy 8.8 2 DT Ndamukong Suh 8.8 3 OT Anthony Davis 8.7 4 SS Eric Berry 8.7 5 OT Brian Bulaga 8.6 6 DE Derrick Morgan 8.6 7 CB Joe Haden 8.6 8 DE Jason Pierre-Paul 8.6 9 LB Rolando McClain 8.6 10 RB C.J. Spiller 8.6 11 OT Russell Okung 8.6 12 QB Sam Bradford 8.5 13 WR Dez Bryant 8.5 14 DE Sergio Kindle 8.5 15 DT Dan Williams 8.5 16 OT Trent Williams 8.4 I've bolded the most unlikely to fall to The Bills at #9. If Nix is drafting according to ability, one of those on the list will be a Bill this Thursday, IMHO. This is the type of board that NFL teams have - players graded (by their own weighted scale) and ranked in order by talent - and position. Teams that draft "the best player available" plan to take exactly that - the best guy on their board. There's discussion back and forth on positional needs when the available players are closely ranked. e.g., an OT ranked at 8.4 might get more consideration than a DB ranked at 8.5 for a team such as The Bills. Clausen is rated 40th on this board - tied with four others (Charles Brown, OT USC, Dezmon Briscoe, WR Kansas, Navorro Bowman, LB Penn State and Dexter McCluster, RB Mississippi. In this perspective, Clausen is a huge reach at the 9 spot - even considering the premium that teams place on franchise QBs. Clearly, he's not viewed as a franchise QB on this board. Come on Thursday! If the Bills board looks similar, and the eight in bold are gone then I would speculate we pick Morgan or Kindle. If Lynch is moved than I would add Spiller to the mix.
LGB Posted April 18, 2010 Posted April 18, 2010 If the Bills board looks similar, and the eight in bold are gone then I would speculate we pick Morgan or Kindle. If Lynch is moved than I would add Spiller to the mix. It would be great to see the Bills either move up or down - depending on how many OTs get taken in the early rounds. Seattle with two first rounders might be interested.
Buffaloed in Pa Posted April 18, 2010 Posted April 18, 2010 Dang. Tim Tebow is on page 5. (6.1) Yeah if your not really sure about a player. Don`t pick him.
cåblelady Posted April 18, 2010 Posted April 18, 2010 Yeah if your not really sure about a player. Don`t pick him. Is it Thursday night yet? (hehe)
San Jose Bills Fan Posted April 18, 2010 Posted April 18, 2010 Thanks for posting, Nanker. Interesting stuff. The one thing is, I don't see where there's an explanation for their grading system. Where do they come up with value? To me, value ultimately has to do with where a player is picked in the draft. For instance, IMO, Dan Williams is not a great value at #9 but would be an excellent value at say, #24. What does it mean when Rutgers OT, Anthony Davis has the third-highest "projected draft value?" In their grading system he's their highest rated offensive tackle. Anthony Davis. They need an explanation of their grading.
Nanker Posted April 18, 2010 Author Posted April 18, 2010 Thanks for posting, Nanker. Interesting stuff. The one thing is, I don't see where there's an explanation for their grading system. Where do they come up with value? To me, value ultimately has to do with where a player is picked in the draft. For instance, IMO, Dan Williams is not a great value at #9 but would be an excellent value at say, #24. What does it mean when Rutgers OT, Anthony Davis has the third-highest "projected draft value?" In their grading system he's their highest rated offensive tackle. Anthony Davis. They need an explanation of their grading. The best explanation that I've heard is from Pat Kirwin on Sirius NFL radio. Each team has their own grading system - according to what kind of team they're trying to build and what they expect players at each position to do. That is to say - it's all relative. There are 32 different graded boards that have any relevance - one for each team. Regarding Davis, I heard his coach Schiano talking about him and his "freakish" athleticism. The only other thing I can say about rankings is that every year there are "surprises" on Draft Day, followed by a lot of disappointment in fans of players that are drafted high and then fizzle or flame out in the Pros. That - coupled with players who become All Pro who weren't thought of very highly by the average fan makes for a lot of uncertainty in the Draft. Come on Thursday!
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