Dems Attacking Rasmussen

[BillsNYC]

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/31047.html

 

Classic blame the messenger when you consider this:

 

"Rasmussen is quick to point out the accuracy of his surveys — noting how close his firm was to predicting the final outcome in this fall’s New Jersey governor’s race. (Rasmussen’s final survey in the race showed Republican Chris Christie edging out Gov. Jon Corzine 46 percent to 43 percent. Christie beat Corzine 48 percent to 45 percent on Election Day.) And he argues that he was among the first pollsters to show Obama narrowing the gap with Hillary Clinton in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary.

 

Last year, the progressive website FiveThirtyEight.com’s pollster ratings, based on the 2008 presidential primaries, awarded Rasmussen the third-highest mark for its accuracy in predicting the outcome of the contests. And Rasmussen’s final poll of the 2008 general election — showing Obama defeating Arizona Sen. John McCain 52 percent to 46 percent — closely mirrored the election’s outcom

 

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/...l#ixzz0bahf0Scq

 

Chuck Todd also just tweeted that he doesn't buy into Rasmussen, saying his robocall system doesn't work since politicians don't use it.

[Magox]

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/31047.html

 

Classic blame the messenger when you consider this:

 

"Rasmussen is quick to point out the accuracy of his surveys — noting how close his firm was to predicting the final outcome in this fall’s New Jersey governor’s race. (Rasmussen’s final survey in the race showed Republican Chris Christie edging out Gov. Jon Corzine 46 percent to 43 percent. Christie beat Corzine 48 percent to 45 percent on Election Day.) And he argues that he was among the first pollsters to show Obama narrowing the gap with Hillary Clinton in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary.

 

Last year, the progressive website FiveThirtyEight.com’s pollster ratings, based on the 2008 presidential primaries, awarded Rasmussen the third-highest mark for its accuracy in predicting the outcome of the contests. And Rasmussen’s final poll of the 2008 general election — showing Obama defeating Arizona Sen. John McCain 52 percent to 46 percent — closely mirrored the election’s outcom

 

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/...l#ixzz0bahf0Scq

 

Chuck Todd also just tweeted that he doesn't buy into Rasmussen, saying his robocall system doesn't work since politicians don't use it.

I read that this morning. These guys are too much, it would be one thing if Rasmussen was an inaccurate pollster, but they have consistently been one of if not the best in the business, alot better than Gallup. They were right on with the presidential and gubernatorial races, and were very accurate with alot of the senate races as well.

 

The reason why they are more accurate is because they have a polling method that doesn't just include the general public, they base it on likely voters, people who are likely to go out and vote.

 

The reason why they were right regarding the N.J Corzine race and the majority of the other pollsters were wrong was because of this method. They figured that the energy level for support for Corzine would be down and they polled likely voters.

 

This is exactly the same case going forward, the energy is on the right, the left feels deenergized. The Afghanistan war has definitely turned off some independents and people from the far left, the health reform bill is so watered down that the loony left feels slighted, Wall Street is thriving again while main street is slumping which is another deterrent for them and the Unions are going to **** in their pants when they realize that there will be an excise tax on the health insurance "cadillac plans".

 

Meanwhile, moderates and the right are furious for all this gross government deficit spending and big government policies. It's going to be really ugly for the Democrats come Nov. and once again Rasmussen WILL be accurate yet AGAIN come election time.

[Nanker]

“He’s been underpolling Obama all year,” said Boehlert. “People start thinking, ‘There’s something going on here.’”

Yeah, it's called over reaching and over exposure.

His poll numbers would probably increase 5-8 points if he would simply shut the !@#$ up and stay in the oval office for a couple of weeks. Jesus! Enough already. Even the media whore Mick Jagger had quiet time.

[bills_fan]

And if Rasmussan is correct re: the Mass Senate race, the Dems may lose vote number 60 and we can say goodbye to the health care disaster. Currently Coakley leads Brown by 2% among likely voters...thats a margin of error.

 

http://www.businessinsider.com/upset-in-ma...-of-2010-2010-1

[IDBillzFan]

And if Rasmussan is correct re: the Mass Senate race, the Dems may lose vote number 60 and we can say goodbye to the health care disaster. Currently Coakley leads Brown by 2% among likely voters...thats a margin of error.

 

http://www.businessinsider.com/upset-in-ma...-of-2010-2010-1

Now that is very interesting.

[bills_fan]

Now that is very interesting.

 

 

Tick...tick...tick bye-bye 60 and hello filibuster!

 

There is a chance...

 

Brown leads 65% to 21% among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

 

Special elections are typically decided by who shows up to vote and it is clear from the data that Brown’s supporters are more enthusiastic. In fact, among those who are absolutely certain they will vote, Brown pulls to within two points of Coakley. That suggests a very low turnout will help the Republican and a higher turnout is better for the Democrat.

 

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_con...senate_election

[OCinBuffalo]

....so Bill, this surprises you how exactly?

 

How many times have we heard "it's everybody else's fault but ours" from the Democrats? In the last year? In the last 2 years? How about in the last 10 years?

 

That's right, blame the pollster, who is consistently accurate, for the low poll numbers.

 

Here's one I am sure you will especially enjoy: "It's not the criminal's fault that he committed a gun crime, or propagation of the asswipe culture that values having a gat tucked into you boxers so that you can 'be a man'...but then, shoot poorly, miss, and kill innocent people, nah, it's the gun manufacturers and the NRA'a fault"

 

While we are at it:

 

It's not the 100k far-left people's fault, who voted for Nader instead of Gore in Florida, that Bush won with less than 500 votes, it's the media/Bush lawyers/evil Dick Cheney/Haliburton.

 

Coming soon:

 

It's not Obama's fault that he is repeating the same depression-prolonging mistakes made by FDR, listening to the fools that just won't let Keynsian concepts drift off, finally, to where bad economic theory goes to die, nah, it's 2010 and it's STILL Bush's fault.....so let's spend more money we don't have.