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Found 10,000 results

  1. NC is surprisingly in play from recent polls. I don’t know if it’s flipable tho. Nate Solver did a recent write up that a VP doesn’t deliver a state. So a popular D in a firm R state could show the ticket is more moderate and attract the people who don’t really like Trump but don’t want as far left as Kamala.
  2. these are my bushwick babies. This was One of his bands back in the day . my son the bass player long nose braided hair guy Nate with Drew, Walter and Paulie dead heavens dead heavens
  3. 'Goldilocks'. 🤨 Had it been Allen throwing, it would have been too hard. If Peterman, Nate would have either thrown it to a Brown, or held onto it and ran out the clock. 🙁
  4. Warren Sharp is a bad Bills fans too apparently. He will just never be happy. It’s about as close to a fact as you can get. The only way the WR room could get worse is if Coleman was proven mediocre commodity in the league. He is the only saving grace that he’s basically unproven. otherwise, why can’t we believe that maybe Nate Peterman can still be a franchise guy?
  5. Our very own Nathan "Late Nate" Peterman was one of the real innovators of the arm punt, or "mini punt," as J.T. O'Sullivan describes it.
  6. Harris leading with Nate Silvers projection for the first time: From your CBS poll some really concerning Trump numbers: - Increase in Dem likely voters and drop in R. - Gigantic increase in the black likely voters with a huge swing towards Harris: - Women overwhelmingly think Harris policies will help them more than Trump: Probably the worst in the poll is Trump will not win if half the country things he doesn’t have the cognitive health to serve as President.
  7. Not if longevity and consistency weigh heavily, as they appear to with Marino's criteria. Smith was not the same reliable, steadying presence that Kelso was IIRC. I was youngish at the time, though. I remember Smith being flashier, both good and bad. Kinda like Nate Odoms in that way. (Smith was more of a SS though, wasn't he? Very different position from Kelso's FS back then.)
  8. Update on the aggregates. With Nebraska staying split ballot, MI, PA, and WI are moving to lean Dem, Harris basically has 270 locked up. Forecast tracker (Sep 26) NameChance% 13 Keys ⭐️🔵Harris100 Primary Model🔵Harris75 RacetotheWH🔵Harris58.6 538🔵Harris55 The Economist🔵Harris Split Ticket🔵Harris62 JHK🔵Harris56 DDHQ/The Hill🔵Harris55 CNanalysis🔵Harris53.5 Votehub🔵Harris RCP🔵Harris 270towin🔵Harris Thomas Miller🔵Harris Princeton🔵Harris 24Cast🔵Harris74 Solid Purple🔵Harris57 338Canada🔵Harris57 David’s Model🔵Harris53.9 Nate Silver🔵Harris55.2 ⭐️ forecaster has the best track record
  9. Not even close to true as Nate Silver said the election was "not a toss up" as Trump wins in about 2/3 of the models run. But this post aged well. LOL! You would have been celebrating if Biden looked compos mentis and ensured his re-election. And that you think he didn't lie is also laughable.
  10. It is weird. I simply don't understand arguing with polls or models when you don't like what they're telling you. This thread started out with one of our more liberal commenters saying polls are useless. Then Kamala was substituted in, the polls reflected a gain for Democrats, and conservative commenters said they were garbage. Now they've settled in and analysts like Nate Silver say Trump has a small but significant electoral college edge and liberal commenters are angry with the polls/analysis again. Having said that, Polymarket and other prediction markets are in their infancy and are still very flawed. They are not "polls" and we really don't have a good data to suggest that they truly get at some kind of wisdom of the crowd effect when it comes to elections.
  11. Well, you seemed to think that he'd be jacked up on some PEDs and would turn in a State of the Union yelling performance. Which, by the way, he seemed to be doing at a rally today. Teleprompter? I guess, I don't know. I still stand with Nate Silver: even if propped up by his staff he's preferable to Trump. Better still, a whole new nominee.
  12. My surprise one would be John Butler. He took a Super Bowl roster and led it to it's demise. Add Tom Donahoe for that matter. Players would be Nate Peterman, Aaron Maybin, and Vontae Davis. Coaches would be all the coaches that quit on us as we got good, Lou Saban, Chuck Knox and Doug Marrone.
  13. The Chargers with Philip Rivers were once in a playoff game with the Jets where the Chargers kicker Nate kaeding missed 3 kicks in that same playoff game. The Chargers were hugely favored in that playoff game and lost because of the kicker. It looks like Josh's career is following the same trajectory as Philip Rivers at this point. I'm very sorry.
  14. The New York Times Writes Eulogy for Kamala's Momentum by Matt Margolis We’ve been saying for some time now that Kamala Harris’s honeymoon period in the polls would end, and for a while now, we’ve seen her lead shrink in the polling averages and some poor polling for Kamala in battleground states. But a new poll from the New York Times/Siena College shows Trump ahead nationally again. And you can bet the left is flipping out about it. "To me, the result is a bit surprising," writes Nate Cohn of the New York Times, before trying his best to quell panic from the left. "It’s the first lead for Mr. Trump in a major nonpartisan national survey in about a month. https://pjmedia.com/matt-margolis/2024/09/08/the-new-york-times-writes-eulogy-for-kamalas-momentum-n4932349
  15. No, there's nothing that interesting in his Venmo contact. I really did mean this as a reminder to people. And could you move on from the Biden thing? It's really a pretty commonly held view if you'd get out more often. People have mentioned Nate Silver here as a pundit guru. I like reading him. Guess what? He goes away beyond me, thinking that Biden is in seriously bad physical/mental health. And yet he says he would vote for Biden over Trump in a heartbeat if that's the choice he's given.
  16. https://www.natesilver.net/p/we-removed-rfk-jr-from-our-model Good look by Nate Silver: We removed RFK Jr. from our model. But it didn’t hurt Kamala. There are a couple of essential things to note here. First, yes, Trump has gained slightly more than Harris from the change, although it’s pretty minor, a net gain of 0.3 percentage points.1 And second, we’re seeing the beginnings of a convention bounce for Harris. Even with the Kennedy change, She’s now ahead by 4.0 points in the national polling average versus 2.3 points when the DNC started. Our best guess is that her lead will increase further, especially given that almost none of the polling was done after her strong acceptance speech on Thursday.
  17. I don’t buy much into the development myth. Who gets the credit for Allen in that narrative? Daboll? Because Daboll’s qb development success stories seem pretty much limited to Allen. having said that, Nate Hacket seems awful
  18. This was Nate’s comparison so I haven’t followed his: The model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a FiveThirtyEight election forecast2 and the methodology is largely the same, other than removing COVID-19 provisions introduced for 2020. (Other changes are documented here.3) If you’ve received this post by email or are viewing it on the Substack app, we strongly recommend that you instead use the web version for interactive charts. Charts in the app don’t update when we add new data, so switch over to your browser to see our most up-to-date forecast.
  19. I'm bored at work and absolutely refuse to get started on my Excel spreadsheets, so I decided to play the "Bills positional Mt Rushmore" game using the criteria cited. No one asked for this, but here it is anyway. Sorry, employer. QB Josh Allen Jim Kelly Jack Kemp Joe Ferguson RB Thurman Thomas OJ Simpson Joe Cribbs Fred Jackson FB Cookie Gilchrist Sam Gash Larry Centers Jim Braxton WR Andre Reed Eric Moulds Elbert Dubenion Stefon Diggs TE Ernie Warlick Pete Metzelaars Keith McKellar Paul Costa OT House Ballard Will Wolford John Fina Dion Dawkins OG Joe DeLamielleure Billy Shaw Ruben Brown Jim Ritcher C Kent Hull Al Bemiller Mitch Morse Eric Wood DE Bruce Smith Aaron Schobel Mario Williams Phil Hansen DT Tom Sestak Kyle Williams Fred Smerlas Mike Kadish LB Darryl Talley Cornelius Bennett Mike Stratton Shane Conlan CB Butch Byrd Booker Edgerson Nate Odomes Nate Clements S George Saimes Micah Hyde Jordan Poyer Tony Greene
  20. Beane and McDermott signing the son of a guy they like? Well I never. Wait until Nate Peterman has kids old enough to be drafted.....
  21. I never saw George Saimes play. But he is on the wall. And I have heard that he was really really good. I remember Tony Greene. I liked Jeff Nixon too. He was a ball hawk. And what about Leonard Smith? He was an enforcer. At corner, seriously Nate Odomes?? Didn't love his game. I liked Thomas Smith, Terrance McGhee and especially Antoine Winfield better. Nate Clements was real good. (And we should have never let him and Winfield leave) Byrd and Edgerson were before my time as well. But I heard they were real good also. What about Tre White? Don't like the Shane Conlan pick. He was good, but all time good? Was he better then John Holacek? Milano is better than Conlan. Sam Cowart would have been better but for the injury he suffered on the fateful day in 2000 in the rain in Tampa. What about London Fletcher and Takeo Spikes? Bennett and Talley were both special. I don't have time for the rest right now. But it sure is great to think about all the old Bills players and teams. You must have watched those 60's teams a bunch. Were they a really good outfit to watch and root for?
  22. Partying at the airport the night we broke the drought. I skipped a NYE party with my then-girlfriend (now wife) to be there. We had so much fun, we all took pictures with the players driving by (my buddy got a pic with Shady McCoy, I got one with Nate Peterman...so it goes). A magical night.
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