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  1. Remember with Nebraska not splitting the ticket, PA, MI, WI win it. current rcp avg: PA - Harris +2 MI - Harris +1.8 WI - Harris +.7 538 avg: PA +1 WI +2 MI +2 Nate Silver: PA 1.6 WI 2.5 MI 2.3 Harris is winning everywhere she need to!!!! 8 more years!!!!
  2. Josh has a case? Drafted to sit, but starts second half of week 1. Backup is known bad QB Nate Peterman (who is not an NFL vet) One of the least talented team in the franchises’ history Pairing him with an OC with a not great track record at best Scrambling to pull an actual NFL vet off the couch in October in Derek Anderson
  3. Rodgers has a long history of disrespecting his HC. He used to openly swear at Mike McCarthy from the field. I remember Rodgers yelling ," you're f******g stupid!" on SNF. That's likely why he loves OC Nate Hackett-- he'll answer to Rodgers before he answers to Saleh. The Jets have a culture problem.
  4. It’s the same logic, yeah? We don’t know anything about Nate in 2024. Who knows if he could be great? There are no facts about him sucking, just opinions, which are subjective.
  5. Nate Silver, who left his own 538, reaches about the same conclusion with his new model: 70 percent or so likelihood of Trump winning.
  6. You are mixing up apples and oranges. He is an advisor to Polymarket, which is a betting market. He is also a political prognosticator, in which role he has developed/refined a projection model based on independent polls. By the way, Nate's podcast with Maria Konnikova, Risky Business, is worth a (free) subscription. I confess to having a thing for Maria ...
  7. This is something that a real organization actually published... https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/columnist/nate-davis/2024/07/22/nfl-record-projections-chiefs-cowboys-jets-super-bowl/74455834007/
  8. Because of this, did Nate Hackett not bother to show up either?
  9. lol you’re wrong. In poll aggregators: - 538 has Harris +1.8 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ - Nate Silver has Harris +1.9 https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model - RCP has Harris +.5 https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris The last National Poll with Trump in the lead was July 26-29 in a 5 way. The same poll had Harris up 1 on 1. I can’t find any poll or poll aggregators that have Trump up 3-5 points nationally.
  10. EJ probably was never going to be good enough. But Marrone gave him Nate Hackett in his first nfl job, both the OV and QB coach. EJ never had a chance. Back then, we also probably would have laughed to think that the DC EJ has his best nfl start against would one day be one of the best coaches in Bills history. Welcome to the nfl now.
  11. Not even as awesome as Nate Peterman! I am familiar with the offseason championship--is there a Pre Season HOF?
  12. Founded in 2020, Polymarket has raised a total of $70 million from investors including Peter Thiel's Founders Fund (which was an early investor in CoinDesk's parent company Bullish) and Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin. not sure Nate is ummm impartial.
  13. Lol when you can actually tell me what weighing a poll means, I'll take what you post seriously. Until then - you're just a right wing idiot that does what the Republicans tell you to do and follow it blindly. Timely post by Nate Silver on the subject: https://www.natesilver.net/p/sbsq-12-will-the-polls-lowball-trump
  14. https://www.natesilver.net/p/harris-trump-electoral-college Nate Silver's update. Note that the electoral college advantage is still squarely with Trump, but it's a lot closer than when Biden was in the race. A completely expected trend: RFK Jr's support starting to crater.
  15. Nate Peterman Kelvin Benjamin Mike Williams Aaron Maybin HC: Melvin Fowler (that guy was an a hole)
  16. Nate Geary had stats on WGR this morning. Allen attempted 17 passes inside the 5 yard line with 7 TD passes. He did have 15 rushing TD's and you expect the majority of them to be at the goal line. This is why I don't think this stat means much. We still usually scored.
  17. I’m probably forgetting some, but I’ll go with Colin Brown, Chris Watson, Mike Tolbert and Nate Hackett
  18. Nate Silver's aggregation has Harris +2 nationally post convention: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model I think looking at all the polls and factoring in MOE, Harris is probably +3,+4 nationally. I'd say it as +1/+2 before the DNC if we're being realistic. Prior elections Dems needed a +4 to win. (it's crazy 20 year olds today have never seen a Republicans President candidate win the popular vote). But I think some of the polling is seeing shifts. Like the latest CA poll for Harris was +20. So if Harris is polling nationally +3 or +4 and only +20 in CA, that means the votes are coming from other states. Biden got 46 percent in TX in 2020 and right now the polling is around 44% for Harris (CA and TX are the two most populous Dem states.
  19. I'm not sure he'll be quite as expensive as people think because he is still purely a zone corner IMO. Teams don't value that as much. But he's a perfect fit for our defense so I would absolutely pay him a market value long term extension as soon as the season ends. I heard today he has a 14.6 passer rating on throws against his coverage this year. As a point of reference, Nate Peterman's passer rating in that one game (you know the one) was 17.9.
  20. I think the Jets are a bigger threat with a healthy QB, but playing devils advocate, Nate Hackett should be the reason why someone thinks Miami is a bigger threat.
  21. You may have looked past it but my post was related to polling data/trends. Good on Nate for giving his opinions along with his data. Are you more about feelings as opposed to data now? If so, I will adjust potential future posts accordingly.
  22. Update on all the aggregation sites: Forecast tracker (Sep 21) Name 13 Keys 🔵Harris100% Primary Model🔵Harris75% 538🔵Harris60% RacetotheWH🔵Harris60% The Economist🔵Harris60% Split Ticket🔵Harris62% JHK🔵Harris55% DDHQ/The Hill🔵Harris55% CNanalysis🔵Harris53.5% Votehub🔵Harris RCP🔵Harris 24Cast🔵Harris72% Solid Purple🔵Harris56% 338Canada🔵Harris54% David’s Model🔵Harris50.8% Nate Silver🔵Harris51.1%
  23. The crazy thing with this is if you flip PA to blue, Harris wins. RCPs avg has Trump +.8, 538 has Harris +1.1, Nate Silver has has +1.3, Polymarket has Harris 56/44. So thanks for that map! Makes me feel great that for everyone else, Harris is winning. For RCP she’s just within .8 percent of winning it all. Go Kamala!!!
  24. There really shouldn't be any confusion as to why the guy who insisted Nate Peterman was a starting NFL quarterback doesn't get a lot of credit for developing Allen
  25. Ok, now TE matters. Got it 👍🏻 at least you know when you purposely move the goal poasts. whatever suits your agenda at the moment. Per usual. maybe if we had Nate Washington, Steve Breaston and Harry Douglass we’d be contenders. edit- maybe we’ll get lucky and the panthers will cut Jordan Matthews!! He’s eclipsed the elusive 852 twice in his career! 🙏🏻
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