BrooklynBills

The Bills 1st is later than 23 and they don't have a WR as valuable to offer as Doubs. Trading Kincaid saves just $270K on the cap. Trading Coleman costs you an additional $900K. Those aren't realistic trade candidates for a team that is going to have to work to get under the cap IMO.

They will go with Bernard and Milano this year as the top 2 starters with Williams as the 1st backup and the #3 LBer for when they want to go with more trad 4-3 sets (which I think they will do a little more of moving forward). Milano has 2 years left on his deal and zero GTD money and they can get out relatively easily after this year. Just makes zero sense to trade him or Williams. Off ball LBers have almost zero trade value unless you are an elite player. I think they will ask Milano to take a paycut this year or move some of his $$ into NLTBE bonuses while GTDing some of his salary, then move off of him after this season and go with Williams and Bernard next year.

It's actually not a bad overall strategy to pair a rookie contract with a high end FA one.

Correct. If that field stretcher is also the best WR on the team, that's a bonus IMO.

The Bills #1 need is deep threat who can stretch the field vertically. Haven't delved into WR acquisition targets but I'm not sure Kupp is that.

Arrowhead is a natural grass field. They weren't getting the normal push on a lot those plays. I would bet that the overall results of this play were effected by the field surface combined with how KC was defending and the fact that Chris Jones is a difference maker on the interior. They didn't adjust.

Reid did it with both McNabb and Mahomes.

We have 4 years of evidence that this is not the case. If the teams like the candidate for the job, they aren't going to balk at hiring them because a division rival gets a pair of late 3rd round picks. Intra-conference comp picks LA received comp picks for ATL hiring Raheem Morris. SF received comp picks for WAS hiring Martin Mayhew. BAL received comp picks for HOU hiring David Culley. NO received comp picks for ATL hiring Terry Fontenot. (Divisional) LA received comp picks for DET hiring Brad Holmes Inter-conference comp picks SF received comp picks for TEN hiring Ran Carthon. CLE received comp picks for MIN hiring Kwisi Adofo Mensah. KC received comp picks for CHI hiring Ryan Poles. SF received comp picks for MIA hiring Mike McDaniel. SF received comp picks for NYJ hiring Robert Saleh.

Its a VERY narrative based award and usually goes to: 1. Turnaround Narrative - New coach who gets a previously bad team into the playoffs (Daboll in 22, Stefanski in 20) 2. Adversity Narrative - Established coach who overcomes perceived extreme adversity (Stefanski in 23, Arians in 12) 3. Just the Best Narrative - Established coach whose team just wins a ton of games (Harbaugh in 19, Rivera in 15) If the Bills went 15-2, obviously beating the Lions in the process, AND the Chiefs drop another game, the Bills would have the best record in the NFL and they'd have won 12 straight games. I think that is the only was he gets the award. It would be a very strong case for "Just the Best Narrative"

No Taron Johnson or Terrell Bernard on defense and I think Rapp left pretty early as well. Offensively, Shakir was hobbled and was less effective than usual and I don't think the Bills had any answers for a team that just committed to playing man coverage all game. The game was also 21-10 in the 3rd Q with Bills fumbling at mid field on that terrible trick play. Not saying that the Bills offense was moving the ball super effectively but I think everyone who took this game as a sign that the Bills couldn't compete with good teams does need to reevaluate the personnel discrepancy. Plus, this was Ravens at home on prime time. They play very well in that spot. Same with the Texans game. Bad start on defense (with key guys out) and the offense couldn't figure out how to deal with man coverage. And again, this game ended on a walk-off 50+ yard FG as time expired. The season is a journey, especially for a team who is transitioning SEVERAL players into new roles.

Yeah - I agree. Thats not a ranked list but there is a glut of offensive minds who will get looks for HC jobs. I don't know if Brady is in that top tier just yet.

There could be as many as 10 openings this offseason but the buzz is that teams are looking for "culture-builders" and I think as far as OCs go Brady isn't in the top tier of potentially available options. Potentially available offensive "minds" Ben Johnson Kevin Stefanski Todd Monken Drew Pentzing Arthur Smith Bobby Slowik Brian Daboll Joe Brady Kellen Moore

Done Deals NY Jets - I think they do a full house cleaning New Orleans Saints - I do think Joe Brady could be an real option for them All But Over Jacksonville Jaguars - yes Chicago Bears - yes Dallas Cowboys - yes Very Possibly Over Las Vegas Raiders - yes Carolina Panthers - Canales will get a bit of run here IMO Indianapolis Colts - I think the HC is safe but Ballard could be in trouble b/c Irsay wants QB situation resolved. If their is a viable QB solution that they could find, I think they all stay. New York Giants - I think this a clear spot for Belicheck Possible Surprises Cincinnati Bengals - Zac Taylor is signed thru 2026 and I don't think the offense has been the problem so this would surprise me. Cleveland Browns - Vrabel is already there as a consultant and sounds like it could happen before the end of the season. Philadelphia Eagles - I think Sirianni is safe but will be dependent on the rest oof the season.

Realistic best case scenario IMO based on remaining schedule and our injury status is to grab the #2 or #3 seed while being able to load manage certain guys down the stretch (not a pure resting of guys but rather being able to err on the side of caution with playing guys thru injury) and hope that Baltimore and Pittsburgh beat up on each other a bit and Houston ends up in that other #2 or #3 seed. That likely gets you a WC round home game and then play Houston in the divisional round either home or road while Baltimore and KC play each other in divisional round.

Arizona + eating salary = not likely to happen.