Big Turk

I've watched that play at least 10 times and every time I'm left stunned that he didn't score from his momentum carrying him in. It was a solid tackle by Baker. An illegal, solid tackle, but that didn't get called.

The issue is any team that has a solid, fundamentally sound defense that doesn't "take the cheese" with all their misdirections and motions is going to shut them down. The ones who don't they will put up huge numbers against because of their speed. I watched the game again yesterday, and literally even I could see watching on TV that Miami has basically 3 or 4 passing concepts that they keep using over and over again. Screens, short passes over the middle or the deeper seam routes to Hill/Waddle. There is literally nothing else they do. Tua can't push the ball outside the numbers. In the first half, they were getting us with a bunch of misdirection counters. Bills said F that and basically brought a safety down into the box and went single high from two high shell they played in the first half and told Tua "beat us". He couldn't. Even with Douglas out and Jackson in. Ended with 173 yards and 2 INTs. Bills started crashing the LOS to stop the run and held Fins to 7 yards on 3 carries. End result, in the 2nd half Miami went 3 and out 4 times, got 2 first downs, and gained 57 yards, scoring 0 points. That's why they can't beat good teams, because their system is easy to defend once you stop buying all the noise.

Also I'll add that EPA takes all this into account and Allen has pretty much been 1st or 2nd every year since 2020. This is a game they definitely are going to want to have Linval Joseph active for.

I mean if Pittsburgh punts 7 times in the game and they get Allen to throw an INT or 2 but we punt once, who really won the "turnover battle"? I'd argue we did and that this old school way of thinking about turnovers is very incomplete and without better context, virtually meaningless.

"The Hawk" making a triumphant return... If a player hasn't played in the stadium before they are going to have a hell of a time trying to figure out winds. Balls will sail, get caught up in the wind, dive into the ground and everything in between. Winds at one end of the field are different and swirl around meaning the pass you threw 5 minutes ago that got caught in the wind could now end up being an overthrow. The flags on the goalpost often are not blowing in the same direction as the wind on the field. It's wild. Jim Kelly talked extensively about it in his book. Allen has a clear advantage because he throws lasers that can cut through the wind. Trying to throw arcing balls of any type is a recipe for INTs, unless you have the wind going with you, but then it can just as easily be a 15 yard overthrow if you don't take a little off it. Kicking and punting will be fun too...

The Bills went to a Super Bowl once off the strength of the defense winning 10-7 over the Broncos in the AFCCG with a defensive TD and 1 FG. It doesn't matter how they get it done. Just that it gets done. You don't earn any style points at this time of year. Pretty sure if we win a Super Bowl but do it scoring 25 points or less every game, nobody is going to complain that it wasn't "good enough".

He might not be for long if he keeps going with the "Patriot Way"...the thing that has gotten more head coaches fired than anything else over the last 15 years. Seems like McD trying to reign Daboll in and not allowing him to act like a D-Bag towards players and other coaches might have been the rift. https://sports.yahoo.com/report-brian-daboll-patriots-way-104228059.html

We should have beat the Dolphins by a similar 48-20 score based on the game...we were the only reason it was close. Dropped TDs, wide open TD throw missed, turnovers, end of half nonsense, etc... By all rights the game should have been a laugher by early 3rd quarter.

Bills have handled him mostly pretty well. Some games he is a complete non factor.

Diggs is our best weapon. But I agree with your premise that he needs to get the ball more. Everytime he gets it something good usually happens.

That's not correct. They lost to the Colts in a blowout at home in November of 2021. I've posted this many many times before actually. However that is still well over 2 years now which is absurd considering how easy it is to lose by 7 or even 20 on an off day for other teams.

Pittsburgh also beat the Browns with Watson in there who has been mostly terrible for them. They have been playing better lately and really running the ball well. Rudolph has been throwing bombs downfield to WR's, but that likely won't be happening against us, especially in the wind. This should be a 10 point win for the Bills at least if they play well, especially without TJ Watt.

At the end of the day, a lot of the INT's don't really matter. I mean is an INT on 4th down where the other team gets the ball at their own 5 yard line really worse than a punt? I think the way people view football scenarios is very flawed in terms of the importance of turnovers. Is a team that punts 8 times and has no turnovers in a game more likely to win than the Bills who turn the ball over 3 times? I would say most likely no.

Allen has probably the worst INT luck of any QB I have ever seen. Also has at least 3 this year that were basically punts and caused the other team to start inside their own 10 rather than at their 40 if he threw incomplete. Those are actually smart plays that look bad on the stat sheet. Spectacular over the shoulder INT needed? No problem. Diving INT? No problem. The next week you watch the same player get a ball thrown right to them and drop it or dive and the ball hits the ground. Have seen so many INTs get overturned on replay by other QBs this year. Has Allen ever had any INT overturned?

He is a polar opposite in terms of personnel and style to McD. I don't see how he is a good choice at all. This makes sense only if you don't take into account things that actually matter.

By all rights it should have been something like a 41-14 blowout. The Fins should feel fortunate the game was even close and they actually had a lead into the 4th quarter. The Bills missed 2 easy TDs, one a drop the other a bad overthrow, gave away a bunch of points with RZ turnovers and the end of first half nonsense and still won. If you need that much help and STILL can't win, then the Fins definitely had no business winning that game.

Drive very slowly and hope the Thruway doesn't get shut down. The good news is with Lake Effect Bands you don't have to drive very far normally to go from heavy snow to no snow, so it might be a rough drive for like an hour or so but once you get out of the 10-15 mile band conditions improve rapidly. Can't remember where but I saw a picture of a street where one side of the street was on the edge of a heavy lake band and the other side was just outside it. The one side of the street had like a foot and a half of snow and the other side had like an inch. It was one of the craziest pictures I have ever seen...looked like it was photoshopped but it was real.

Going to really hold onto the ball when he doesn't know what he is seeing with coverage.

Get there early...like by Saturday afternoon

Bills record under McD in December/January regular season games is pretty spectacular...think it's like 21-2.

Perfect game part II? Almost identical to the 2021 season right down to record, being 7-6 then winning out to take the division title and even Allen finishing with exactly the same 92.2 passer rating.

Pointless as we likely will have a localized weather event involved that they have no means or experience to even forecast. Outside of NOAA/NWS Buffalo or Donn Paul, I wouldn't trust any of those other places for weather in these situations. Heavy lake snow is likely for Saturday/Sunday and possibly into Monday. Probably measured in feet not inches.

Poyer said after the game in an interview they went more single high safety to bring a guy in the box to disrupt their run game and basically told Tua to beat them. He couldn't. People killing the Fins for not running more but Tua did was he was supposed to do and that is not try and run against a heavy box and throw due to a numbers advantage. They had 3 carries for 7 yards in 2nd half. Bills were crashing the LOS hard. McDaniels had no answer once Bills took away what was working in first half.

We are the only team in NFL history to play 7 regular season night games.