Big Turk

except WR Screens...those usually work pretty well. "Gold Rip/Whip" audible. Beasley scored on a version of a WR screen last game

No...he just dresses up as one to go shoplifting...😂

Except the Bengals rarely do that all night. At some point in the game their offense goes dormant for long stretches. Inexplicably but it almost always happens and has back to last season.

The Bengals put up 234 yards of total offense against Baltimore and had 1 first down after they scored to take a 17-10 lead early in that half. For all the "greatness" of Cincinnati on offense they sure don't play it like a lot of times. Their next 3 drives were: 3 plays 8 yards 6 plays 13 yards 3 plays -1 yard

Shakir in space could be dangerous...he has some wiggle that none of the other Bills WR's have.

I think Shady dropped eggman on the ground and he cracked open...all the Bills trainers and all Pegula's men, couldn't put eggman back together again. 😂

Mahomes gets freebies every game due to scheming from Reid which Allen rarely gets.

Part of the reason I say us turning the ball over doesn't kill us is that we are a net 0 in TO differential. Meaning we get as many turnovers as we give.

Davis is like Claude Lemieux in the NHL or "Big Shot Bob" Robert Horry in the NBA. Regular season might not be anything more than an average player, but once the playoffs start, they put on a Superman Cape and raise their game tremendously.

Allen has been top 3 in EPA every year since 2020. 2nd twice, 3rd once.

Controlling the clock tends to not work well against Allen. Bills can score much quicker than their opponents can in most games. But yet he was a dropped Shakir bomb away from being over 400 yards. That has to be terrifying if true for other teams because what happens if the Bills find their Jaylen Waddle to Diggs in the first round this year? Additionally, you could also say the same about KC outside Kelce. Does anyone fear even one of KC's WR's?

In general, the Bills don't turn the ball over much against better teams tho. The Bills and Chiefs are a combined 28-6 with a -3 turnover differential between them. The main similarity? They score a lot of points and don't punt much, which mitigates any turnovers they do have. Common math. How much worse is a turnover than a punt really? That's something I am interested in finding out.

That's for a Nor'Easter up the coast which likely won't effect us this far west. Genesee Valley eastward and that is starting Sunday night into Monday, which would be too late for the game anyway.

I don't think it's lucky as much as the Bills have the largest margin for error in games of any team in the NFL.

I posted in another thread why Turnovers are NOT a huge problem for the Bills or Chiefs in the way they are for the rest of the NFL. In short, they play by different rules than everyone else in that regard.

No sun again for a while, looks like potentially not until February, so that won't be an issue for this game. Looks like we are hovering between having some snow showers for the game and a mix of rain/snow showers with temps in the mid 30s. Wind 5-10 mph with gusts to around 15mph. There are some models showing potential for higher gusts to like 30-40 mph, but those are the outliers, so likely not going to happen.

Elam needs to start...I mean it's PFF but the eye test matched up... You can't see how the Bills win a game in which they are better offensively, better defensively and better on special teams. Makes total sense.

Fun fact is that Brady threw his first RZ pick in like 3 years against Dallas in the playoffs game a few days ago snapping his NFL record streak. It happens. Would like to see it happen less obviously with Allen, but I think in the mindset he is in this year that's par for the course. You just hope it doesn't cost you a game like it did against Minnesota.

So there is a lot being made across the media about how much the Bills turn the ball over and why they "can't keep winning" if they don't stop doing it. I believe they are wrong and the reason they are wrong is the Bills and Chiefs are simply not like other teams. Firstly, the Bills get a lot of takeaways, so in most games even if they have 3 turnovers, they likely are at least getting 2 of their own. They are a net 0 on turnover differential for the season. The important stat isn't how many turnovwrs you have, it's what is the net turnover differential (ie, how many times you get takeaways - how many times the other teams get takeaways). Bills rank tied for 13th with 0, KC is -3 on the year. 23 giveaways versus 20 takeaways. Secondly, the Bills rarely punt, so in the drives they are not turning the ball over, they score at the 2nd highest points per drive rate in the NFL, next to of course, Kansas City. The league average for punts is somewhere around 65 for the year. Bills came in at 45, fewest in the NFL in both total and punts/game. That's 20 extra possessions where we either scored points, went for it on 4th down or turned the ball over versus a normal team. If you take our 2.64 points per drive stat and multiply it by 20, that led to an extra 53ish points for the Bills versus a normal team. The Bills have turned the ball over 3+ times on 5 occasions this year(including last week). They are 4-1 in those games. The only game they lost was to the Vikings in OT where they were -2 in TOs instead of the -1 or 0 in the other 4 wins. And that extra TO came on a game ending INT in the RZ in OT. All of their losses have come when they have lost the TO battle in a game, but they are also 6-3 in the 9 games that has happened, so they still win twice as often as they lose, it just makes it a little tougher. I think fans and the media need to start viewing turnovers differently with the Bills and Chiefs. It still matters, but it matters far less than it does for most teams.

Too much money.

No, that's what he said. He said he was playing the wrong coverage on that play and once he realized it, he just kinda did the best he could to get somewhere to make a play...happened to be exactly in the right place.

Is he related to Run DMC? Maybe his little cousin?

Yeah I don't think I have ever seen as many 0's on the play clock for a good second+ and get virtually no calls for it...they got the one on the key 4th and 1 but that was obvious.

Well a 298 lb player running a 4.98 40 isn't a very good representation of Boyd if that was their plan.

And yet still graded out as the best QB in the NFL. Maybe you should watch more games. You start wondering why other QBs couldn't make a certain play because it was there to be made...then you realize it's simply because they don't have Josh Allen. As a closet Dolphin fan you shouldn't be worried about Allen. Worry about cleaning up your own QB mess with your fragile QB that misses multiple games every year with a wide assortment of injuries. Even while being incosistent his floor is higher than 25+ other QBs ceilings.