I think the thing thats missing in people evaluation of the Bills’ wins is that the Bills dominated most of all three of their games, even the Jets game. The thing that kept 2 of them close were costly mistakes by the Bills. If the Bills eliminate those 7-8 plays where those mistakes were made suddenly they look like a much different team.
Eliminate those mistakes and they can beat the Pats. Continue playing like they have and they’ll get smoked.
If the Bills win the toxic differential and do so with no turnovers they win. Im not sure they’re good enough to beat the Pats if they turn the ball over at all.