I am not a fan of this coaching staff, but I can understand the thought process for #1 above. If the Bills call TO immediately after the 3rd down play, and stop TEN on 4th down (as improbable as that may be), you've saved TEN 30+ seconds and a timeout, in the event that they stop the Bills and force a punt.
And, in hindsight, it's easy to say that the Bills should have went for a 2-pt conversion. But what if they don't convert, and TEN kicks 2 FGs in the 4th quarter?
I don't understand the decision to throw the ball on 3rd down, or the pass on 2nd down. Seemed like the Bills had more receptions for negative yardage today than they did rushes for negative yardage.