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2020 Our Year For Sure

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  1. There are several on this board I would trust to break down A22 before Joe B. This article from last week had Spain as one of the top linemen in the NFL through the first 4 weeks-- check out the other names with him on the list. https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/nfl-offensive-leaders-in-total-points-earned-through-week-4/
  2. Simms was on the Bills all offseason, he's not just starting to watch now. He's got mancrushes on Josh and Derm that probably make his wife jealous
  3. You can google 'Buffalo Bills inactives' up to 90 minutes before kickoff to see if Singletary (and others, like Foster) is active.
  4. Let's gooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
  5. Why do they need another tackle? They'd only dress 3 anyway: Dawk, Ford, Bates. They need another tackle just to be inactive? Something you've heard?
  6. I don't think there are "numerous reports" he's sulking, it's just a fan theory.
  7. Yes. Daboll throws so much at a defense and gives them a lot to prepare for. And for the first time in a VERY long time we have multiple TEs worth using. Whereas the Jets personnel led us to come out throwing, this is a game for heavy sets, Gore/Singletary and play action pass, and the coaching staff has the adaptability to play either way. The third CB on their depth chart is Adoree' Jackson, a former 1st round pick who has a good PFF grade for what that's worth. I think you're on to something, keeping them in their 3-4 base seems the way to go.
  8. Listening to podcasts I've heard the Titans casted as an unpredictable, up-and-down team. Which Titans team will show up, which Marcus Mariota will show up? They've had some low lows (against Jacksonville) and of course a couple wins, but how impressive were they really? This is an excerpt from Warren Sharp, an analytics guy who consults for multiple NFL teams and professional bettors, about the Titans win over the Falcons on Sunday. https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/week-4-personnel-grouping-analysis/ Tennessee has been terrible defending the pass from two-TE sets, Atlanta's O has been good from that set, and yet they only used it 10% of their passes, instead using 3-wide, a strength for the Titans D. I'm not sure how that happens in today's environment, how coaching staffs are unaware of their opponents' strengths and weaknesses and ready to gameplan accordingly. Matt Ryan has been much-maligned this year but I think he's a good quarterback, I don't know if Atlanta puts their people in the best position to succeed. Another example of this is something Chris Simms talks about all the time, that Atlanta calls the Seattle defense, Cover 3 press bail, over and over every week. Everybody who plays against Atlanta's defense knows exactly what to expect and can come prepared to beat it. Simms has talked about how after Monte Kiffin and Tony Dungy sprang the Tampa 2 on the league and dominated offenses, the scheme spread throughout the league, sometimes via Tampa's own people being hired away. So you end up with 5, 6, 7, 8 teams in the league primarily running the scheme and any well-coached offense amasses a rolodex of plays to beat it. There's no perfect defensive call, they all have weaknesses if the offense can get into the right play at the right time, which becomes easier the more repetitive and predictable the defense is. The same thing that happened to the Tampa 2 years ago is happening to the Seattle defense now as, even with Ken Norton Jr. fired and back in Seattle, it's currently run by 4+ teams (Seattle, Atlanta, Jacksonville, Chargers, plus Cowboys have Kris Richard as passing game coordinator), so it's not catching any decent offense unprepared anymore. Additionally, from what I've read about Cover 3 press bail, it seems much of the value of the system is that it looks like Cover 1 MAN press before dropping into a Cover 3 zone, disguising the look and baiting man coverage beaters from the offense. But such underlying drivers don't always translate when subordinate coaches leave a place to install the same scheme-- I'm not sure how much man defense Atlanta actually plays to make the Cover 3 press work as well as it can, meaning teams can, with confidence, come prepared to beat that Cover 3. Another reason why the Titans should have been fully prepared to beat Cover 3 press: they were coming off a loss to their division rival Jaguars in which they scored just 7 points against former Seahawks' DL Coach Todd Wash' defense and surrendered NINE sacks. On one side of the ball, Atlanta ignored and squandered their strength vs. Titans weakness in 12 personnel, on the other side, Mariota and the Titans took advantage of a predictable Falcons defense they had just seen the previous week (and twice every year). Brian Daboll and Sean McDermott will not be so generous. Googling Dan Quinn brings up several articles about his time in Atlanta winding down. In stark contrast to the repetitive Falcons scheme, Simms talks all the time about how McDermott tailors the "rules" of his zone defenses to each weekly gameplan to the point that when he watches the film, it seems there's always a Bills defender dropping into the exact spot the quarterback wants to go with the ball. I've seen McDermott diagnose and own Adam Gase over the years, and now I've seen him diagnose and own the offense of Bill Belichick, Josh McDaniels and Tom Brady, so how are Marcus Mariota and OC Arthur Smith going to fare? I'm thinking more like their Jacksonville performance than Atlanta. The Titans other win was a surprise over Cleveland opening day. When Freddie Kitchens took over for Hue Jackson last year, it was a re-dedication to two-TE sets, running the ball and using play action that got Baker Mayfield and the Browns going. But in 2019, with the Odell Beckham addition and all the hype in the world, Kitchens switched strategies to using a ton of 3-WR sets (91% of their pass attempts through 3 weeks!), looking to play through their passing game. After a rough start, everyone is excited about Cleveland's big victory over Baltimore. This from the Warren Sharp article linked above: Point being, the Titans didn't play the same Browns team on opening day that just won in Baltimore. The Titans have been unable to defend 12 personnel but both teams they beat ignored this weakness, instead playing into their strength of defending 3-wide. (As an aside, the Browns getting their formula back is a super interesting development to follow in the AFC going forward) All told I think there's a damn good chance we're 4-1 with two weeks to appetize for Dolphin sushi (thanks eball)! It should still be another defensive grinder but I think Daboll will be prepared and will run plenty of 12 and I'm feeling good about the matchup. After the last 20 years it's refreshing to feel like our coaching gives us the edge. Be loud, Bills Mafia!
  9. Might look something like the Ronald Darby deal for a 3rd rounder and Jordan Matthews- Zay being Matthews. Darby didn't fit the big picture plan for the Bills so we got a draft pick to help us build and a throw-in type in Matthews to possibly help a bit right away. Might be able to work something similar for AJ Green or Sanders or whoever.
  10. I too was in 133! So that was Duke, at the time I figured maybe Foster. He was on us ALL game jumping, waving his arms beckoning for noise, I appreciate the energy.
  11. Get it done so Zay Jones can !@#$ off. We need actual threats to the defense on either side of the field- John Brown by himself is not enough against good secondaries.
  12. Evaluate them based on the team performance, so release John Brown and Frank Gore today because the offense was dreadful, yeah? Trent Murphy is a 4-3 defensive end who gets no pass rush. If the defense is awesome despite that, great, but it can only be better with a real running mate for Hughes. We could be talking the Denver defense that dragged the corpse of Peyton Manning to a championship despite his awful QB play. I would quite like to watch the Bills win a championship.
  13. "Lingering! Staffers! Lingering! Staffers, set HUT"
  14. Did our boy Dalton just audible to "Filthy Brady?" ?
  15. I'm in Jersey and was in Orchard Park listening to WGR yesterday.
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