The result of SD/CIN will be huge for this scenario. Norv is gone, Rivers is playing at an elite level and they're at home in 4 of their last 5.
Bengals, Giants, @ Broncos, Raiders, Chiefs
Gotta have this one as we can't trust the Raiders or Giants, and the Chiefs already lost to SD at Arrowhead.
I'll say the Bills do make it. SD loses to Cincinnati and Denver, Baltimore loses to NE and @DET (they also go @CIN), while the Jest and Fish split and also lose @CAR and vs. NE respectively.