No its not. Sure there is some guess work involved, but also years of research.
One way to show Schoop is wrong about quantity of quality, look no further than the Browns.
Julio Jones Trade
Browns got - Phil Taylor, Greg Little, Owen Marecic, Brandon Weeden. The 4th was used to get Trent Richardson, which then became Johnny Manziel
Atlanta Got - Julio Jones
Sammy Watkins Trade
Browns got 1st, 1st and 4th
Drafted - Justin Gilbert, Cam Erving and Ibraheim Cambell
Bills got Watkins
You need blue chip talent. The pats* have Brady. They can afford to miss alot and throw darts at a a wall. The haven't drafted a good WR in ten years and got luckily with Edelman