Bush is up in Ohio by 136,000
Provisional ballots in 78 or 88 Ohio counties are 135,149
The numbers
The 10 counties out still in Ohio.
Coshocton - Pop. 35,427 rural county in between Canton and Columbus
Darke - 53,619 rural western county
Knox - 47,473 rural county northeast of Columbus
Lucas - 462,361 western county of Toledo
Madison - 37,068 rural county between Columbus and Dayton
Mahoning - 264,806 Youngstown (This might be Kerry's "best" hope)
Mercer - 39,433 rural western county
Miami - 93,182 county north of Dayton
Paulding - 20,488 rural western county
Summit - 514,990 Akron
The Average per county was 1,732 provisional ballots.
Is it even possible to assume that that would follow considering, most of the 10 remaining counties are rural, and assuming that prolly the ballots would fall about 50/50 in those rural counties?
If Kerry's best hope might be Mahoning or Summit, a similar county to Mahoning in population and location is Trumbull. They had 2,700 provisional ballots.
5 of these counties look to be rural area counties. Kerry's "average" in the rural counties is about 500 provisional ballots per county. So, assume 2,500 pickup in 5 counties.
It just doesn't add up. Kerry has to concede.