Reed83HOF

Edit: on a serious note, we would have been there in 2017 if it wasn't for the *

one the top 3 WRs go - any of the next 5 or 6 can go in any order IMO. I'm expecting to see Higgins go in the 2nd

being 2-5 in the WS and having 6 NL East titles sure indicates a great run of success with that franchise during it's entire existence

100%

or a "celebrity" there for appearances sake. It is ***** awful. The World Series is way better (although as a Mets fan, your experience in the WS is lacking)

you know if we made it, Bills fans would have gotten some in the stadium lots

Article says it is $120/car

Look at the clunkers and what the defense played against our offense that hindered us on 3rd downs or big downs on potential TDs - Cover 0 - were not successful against that at all last year. When you are behind, your completion % will go down against those defenses who played tougher against you as you are trying to force your way back in the game. It's an indictment more on the offense as a whole, play calling included. A QB who is "inconsistent" will show that week in and week out, not what we have seen with Allen.

In the Fairburn article, Beane did talk about the route tree and running routes. If the goal is to help Allen as much as possible this year, the more developed this trait is, the better...

He was a mid-round pick as well, which gives a good level of comfort. TEs take about 3 years

or when Feliciano shifted to center to cover Morse when he was out

FFS - how are we arguing about completion %. Anyone with eyes could see it was better last year and there were plenty of dropped balls. Allen is accurate enough and the lack of talent at the pass catching positions hurts his numbers - it is not all on him and you are fool if you believe that. Allen is not Fitzy inaccurate where his arm can't cash the check his brain is writing, also he is not Trubisky inaccurate - again he is accurate enough with room to grow with better weapons around him. We have 2 quality WRs and Knox who is a very raw pass catcher; the OL is still a work in progress. The stats/growth we should be looking at are - how many plays is he leaving on the field from misreads, 3&out/drive and I really am fond of points per drive. Edit: Game winning drives is important as well and Josh had 3 in 2018 & 5 in 2019. T-23. Buffalo Bills Josh Allen is a slow starter. He’s averaged just 3.6 net yards per pass play on Buffalo’s first possessions, which ranks 29th among starting quarterbacks. https://theathletic.com/1455838/2019/12/13/by-the-numbers-ranking-nfl-play-callers-based-on-opening-possession-game-scripts/ Points/drive 3&outs/drive https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/nfl/overall-drive-statsoff/2019 Allen had 10 games out of 17 were he was above the 60% comp %. Those games where he was below were games where the defenses played a lot of Cover 0. In the case of Philly the OL didn't bother to show up that game. Josh and the offense as a whole, were unable to beat Cover 0 consistently at all this year. NE started this in Game 4, CLE copied it, Balt copied it, Pitt used it, NE used it and once the Texans had the lead, they used it as well in critical situations and Josh started forcing plays to try to make it happen. The inability to beat Cover 0 was not all on Josh and this was discussed throughout the season in each game, but some where for sure.

he will get in, however, Eli = Vinny Testaverde https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/eli-manning-is-profoundly-mediocre/ Only 10 quarterbacks in NFL history have started at least 200 games, according to Pro-Football-Reference.com, and the list is a who’s who of all-time legends: Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Fran Tarkenton, Dan Marino, Brett Favre, Warren Moon and John Elway. And Eli Manning. And, OK, Vinny Testaverde — but still. Save Eli Manning and Testaverde, all have been enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame or are virtually certain to be. Among that group, Eli Manning ranks either last, or ahead of only Testaverde,1 in nearly every season-indexed rate stat: completion rate, yards per attempt, interception rate, passer rating, adjusted yards per attempt, net yards per attempt and adjusted net yards per attempt. But Manning is not just terrible at being great — he regularly tests the lower boundaries of even being good. He has finished among the top 10 in ESPN’s Total Quarterback Rating just four times out of the 11 seasons for which QBR has been calculated; his average rank is a middling 16th. He has finished among the top 10 in passer rating just once in 12 starting campaigns, finishing an average of 18th. From 2004, when Manning entered the league, through Week 1 of 2017, he was in the bottom half of both season-indexed passer rating and season-indexed adjusted net yards per attempt2 (among quarterbacks with at least 50 starts):

Bulaga looked awful sunday. The other 3 are not out priced of our range & I would be shocked at $6M per year on an RB.

LOL I agree with all of that. Was just trying to be provocative and think as to who we have that we could possibly trade!

In the case of ATL, Jax & Tenn they will lose a lot of depth and other starting players to cut down and sign their big guys. ATL for instance to resign hooper, would have to cut their starting center and a bunch of other players that they have no backups for. Jax would have to cut quite a bit to keep Yannick (they should), but they are a team destined for a rebuild IMO - the Foles contract has killed them for the next few years. Tenn again, resign their RT & RB or cut other parts of the team down - a team that went to the divisional round. Jax is the only one who might cut more players to keep their guy and to do so, would likely cut Calais and at that point, he is a top target for us as well.

The UFAs I like are on the teams that are very very tight to the cap, but they are also very pricey. Looking at the market, I'm still not sure that a lot of tags will be used, there usually are a couple Franchise tags a season, but no one has been using the transition tag at all. This is an option that could only be used for the few teams who use the franchise tag. Let's say there are 5 franchise tags, maybe at best, you might get 2 or 3 transition tags from those teams you normally wouldn't get. Dallas could fit into that mold with Dak & Cooper

Lots of teams in the top can use OTs and they will get drafted quickly pushing talent down the board...

If we re-sign Spain, Long could be a guy on the move if we decide to kick Ford inside. I'm not entirely sure who else would bring enough value in a trade scenario, unless it was a transition-tag sign and trade guy like Lawson? I will throw this one out there as a wow move, but would you move Poyer and what value would he bring?

I see this being a very real possibility

It depends on which scenarios play out in FA and the draft, if a top 3 WR falls to around 13-ish Beane may pounce for the WR (Lamb, Jeudy & Ruggs - tell me he isn't a Radier though; are too good to pass up IMO). It get's murky after that, CB & S have great value at 22, but I am coming around on Yetur for his potential overall potential, it will take him a year or 2 to fill out and grow into his frame and develop and he will have ups and downs in year 1 - can replace Hughes if he is either let go in 2021 or when his contract is up. It wouldn't kill our cap to do this, even if we added a top Edge in FA. We can easily get into the upper RD2 and grab a WR there, who looks as of now to be in the same Tier class as Higgins, Jeferson & Aiyuk. Jalen Reagor is a guy to watch, who is ranked low, but could go in mid-RD1 through early RD2.

I really think Beane will go after a guy who can set the edge and pass rush in FA, I also think he will attempt to swing big - if he can't get it done at the value he wants Shaq will be back, but I truly believe he will spend here. I am starting to come around at Yetur at #22 and moving for the WR in RD2. I was playing around yesterday with the draft value chart and: We only have enough overall points (1509.1 pts) to trade up to CAR pick#7 (1500 pts), that would be our entire draft so I don't see us going that high LOL. Pick#10 would be the highest I see us going and that still doesn't leave us much of a draft. It would come down to a top 3 WR (Lamb, Jeudy, Ruggs) or Chaisson sliding IMO. What I could see us doing is something like this: 1.) 5th RD Pick#137 (37.5pts) + Pick#149 (31.8pts) = (69.39 pts) = Indy RD4 Pick#112(70pts) 2.) 6th RD PIck#168 (24.2pts) + Pick#181 (19pts) + Pick #182 (18.6pts) = (61.8 pts) = Philly RD#4 (60pts) Pick 117 Which gets us to this: RD1 Pick #22 (780 pts) RD2 Pick#54 (360 pts) RD3 Pick#86 (160 pts) RD4 Pick#118 (58 pts) RD4 Pick#112 (70 pts) RD4 Pick#117 (31.8 pts) You can see the rough point value for RD2 and RD3 and what it would take to go up further. 1.) RD 4 Pick#s 118 (58) + 112 (70) =(128)= RD3 Tenn Pick#93 (128 pts) 2.) RD 2 Pick#54 (360) + RD3 Pick#86 (160) = (520 pts) = Car Pick#38 (520 pts) This would give us: RD1 Pick #22 RD2 Pick #38 RD3 Pick #93 RD4 Pick #117 The only edge in the draft who if I read what Beane was saying would be AJ Epenesa who looks to be going somewhere around (Pick#10 - Pick #22). I doubt he would go earlier, but he would certainly not slide past us. Young and Chaisson will certainly be gone before him. I don't see Yetur Gross-Matos as that guy who can start and contribute immediately though - he still has some developing to do skill wise and his frame could fill out more, but he is super athletic and has a very high ceiling for a pass rusher (could be the heir apparent to Hughes). This would actually allow us to still sign a big FA Edge guy, create depth at the position and not hurt our cap at all. Most importantly he hits Beane's super athlete sky high potential first round guy. I really haven't focused a ton on him, but it appears this makes a lot of sense if we stay at pick#22 or only move slightly up. CB is still a top option at 22 if these guys are gone. Pick#38 would give us prime position to draft a top Tier 2 wideout such as Justin Jefferson & Brandon Aiyuk. This would make a ton of sense for us, both are very athletic and Jefferson performed well on a championship team. Right around the last 2 picks (RD3 & RD4) OTs, DBs, WRs, LBs and RBs (Helaire) seem to dominate the draft boards as of right now, which would fit needs and be BPA. Just a few thoughts...