Here's my analysis:
1) #4 Roman Ruler-Appears to have overcome foot problems with back to back stakes wins in the Dwyer and the Haskell. Has been working like a horse possessed since his arrival on the Saratoga grounds. Has slower speed figures than both Bellamy Road & Flower Alley, but Bellamy Road is almost ceretainly a short horse. Zito has admitted his main goal is the Breeder's Cup and with many older foes retiring & Afleet Alex's injury, the Breeder's Cup seems to be where Bellamy Road will peak, not in the Travers.
2) #7 Flower Alley-2nd best speed #s after Bellamy Road. Has already been beaten by top choice, Roman Ruler, in the Dwyer, when Ruler, if anyone would have been the short horse. Bad pace scenario as he has to stalk Bellamy Road and by the time he passes him he'll be softened up a bit.
3) #1 Bellamy Road-Has to be short, and it's not easy going 1 1/4 off any sustained layoff. Couple that with his injury and this looks to be strictly a prep race for bigger things this fall. Will be winging it as far as he goes, but don't think you'll see a repeat of the Wood. An obvious false favorite.
4) #5 Don't Get Mad - Liveliest long shot in this race. If he runs back to Kentucky form, he could hit the board.