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folz

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  1. Um, yes. Go ask Philly fans. Prior to Mahomes starting for him, Andy Reid was 11-13 (.458) in the playoffs over 19 years, with 1 SB appearance, no wins. Are you telling me he didn't make any mistakes in those 13 losses? Is Sirianni a way better coach than Reid for beating him so badly in the Super Bowl? Did Reid make any mistakes in last year's SB? Now, I'm not saying McD is as good or better than Reid, or that Reid isn't a great coach, I'm just saying that all coaches make mistakes. I know the following are mostly old articles, but this idea that McDermott is the only very good coach to make mistakes, or to have made a mistake in the playoffs is ridiculous (hell, look at Sean Payton's playoff losses for one). Name the best 5 coaches of all time and I'm sure that we could still find playoff losses in their careers where they made mistakes. Time to let "13 seconds" go guys. It's almost 4 years ago now. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/151719-evaluating-andy-reid-the-worst-decisions-of-reids-coaching-career https://www.seattletimes.com/sports/nfl/chiefs-reid-trying-to-rewrite-history-of-playoff-letdowns/ https://atozsports.com/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-news/chiefs-hc-andy-reid-makes-major-mistake-second-straight-game/ https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2019/1/18/18185839/andy-reid-kansas-city-chiefs-clock-mismanagement-timeouts https://slate.com/culture/2019/01/andy-reid-chiefs-timeouts-clock-management.html Yeah, it is kind of silly to debate this anymore as everyone seems to be pretty entrenched in their viewpoint and nothing will be answered definitively either way unless McD wins a SB with the Bills or is fired. And of course, no Bills fan is going to put the playoff losses on Josh, he's been spectacular in the playoffs...but it is also foolhardy to try and put the Bills' playoff losses down to just one other thing too. Like it's coaching alone or injuries alone. What has been the problem for the Bills in the playoffs? A. Youth, inexperience (in the early years) B. The Chiefs Dynasty C. Injuries D. Damar Hamlin incident/Blizzard E. Coaching mistakes F. Player Execution G. The Defense H. The NFL/Referees I. Not being stout enough to handle bigger, stronger, more aggressive playoff teams (in the Diggs' years) J. Not running the ball enough/being balanced enough to close out games, etc. (Daboll years) K. Luck (coin flips, bad bounces, untimely injuries, etc.) L. Lack of Depth on the roster at times M. All of the Above (and probably more) The answer is obviously M. Time to lick our wounds, put the past behind us, and look forward to taking another crack at it with a hopefully improved team and our generational QB who is a hell of a lot of fun to watch. I mean at the end of regulation in our last three playoff losses to the Chiefs, K.C. was ahead by 6 points. Six points across three games to a team that has appeared in 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls. That is literally like 3 plays away from three Super Bowl appearances (one good kick, one coin toss, one catch---and that's not even bringing the refs into the conversation). We are so close, and the Chiefs aren't quite what they used to be (though I am not writing them off yet, by any means---did that for too many years with the Pats already). But our time is coming. Billeve!
  2. No comeback, huh? We played them twice in 2024. We were 1-1. The Bills won their game by 9 points. The Chiefs won their game by 3 points. The Bills scored 525 points last year. The Chiefs scored 385 points last year. The Bills point differential was +157. The Chiefs point differential was +59. The Chiefs got a ton of help from the refs all season long to get that record and #1 seed. Everyone talked about it all last year. And they got help from the refs in the playoff game vs. the Bills. Having a hard time seeing that it would take 3-4 more elite players to ever beat KC. Even in the playoff losses, our last 3 losses to K.C. were by a total of 6 points (in regulation). Six points across 3 games. One dropped ball, one missed field goal, one coin toss that didn't go our way, one (or multiple) bad calls by the refs. This idea that we are so far away from teams like KC and Philly is not reality dude no matter how much you repeat it. And you can use the excuse that we were so efficient last year (regarding turnovers, etc.) that we squeezed everything out last year and couldn't get more. But, we were not as efficient in the categories you mentioned in 2021 and 2023, yet we played KC to overtime and another 3-point loss. So, the idea that we were lucky to get as far as we did last year just because we were efficient and we can't repeat it is silly. First of all, why can't we repeat it? And secondly, we have basically been reaching the same spot (divisional round/AFC Championship) for 5 years. Yet last year was the only overly efficient year. So, it's not just that is it?
  3. We were a better team than the Chiefs last year and I believe we would have fared much better against Philly than K.C. did...whether that equated to a win or not, who knows. But I do know that the refs played a big part in the AFC Championship game. If that game was called fairly (and the NFL didn't care about Taylor Swift being at the Super Bowl) we wouldn't have needed to squeeze 3 more points out, we would have already been ahead and headed to the Super Bowl. If you think that the refs didn't influence that game, well the only thing I can say to you is that you aren't a serious person. Plus. over the last four seasons, we have faced Kansas City seven times. Do you know what the point differential is for those seven games (at the end of regulation): it is Buffalo +28. Despite losing 3 of those 7 games, we scored 28 points more than K.C. across those games. So, tell me again how we couldn't dare to muster 3 more points against the Chiefs without 3-4 more elite players. And let's not pretend like the Eagles were the greatest team we have seen in years and were completely unbeatable and out of the Bills' league. Team Record Points For Points Against Point Dif Eagles 14-3 463 303 +160 Bills 13-4* 525 368 +157 The Chiefs point differential last year was +59. Almost 100 points less that the Bills and Eagles. *Obviously we would have been 14-3 as well if we didn't rest our starters in week 17. Plus we beat Baltimore in the playoffs (the team that many were predicting to go all the way or considered the best team in the league by many), then lost to a team that has been to 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls by 3 points. I honestly don't think we are as far away as you believe. And we have significantly improved the D-line, WR room, and DBs. I'm sure you do not think we have added any elite players this offseason, so what do you expect for this season. We shouldn't even have a chance to contend this year (according to your standard), damn I wonder if we'll even make the playoffs...I don't know, somehow I think we will be right there in the mix again. My bet is that with the new stadium being built that the Bills will finally win their Super Bowl either this season or next...without adding 4 more elite players
  4. Following Promo's note, I think we often just point to other GM's hits and think that that GM is better (or drafts better than Beane), without looking at their overall drafts and comparing them in totality. Or comparing total hits and misses, etc. We know all about other team's hits because those guys are playing, but we don't remember all of their busts, or players that washed out, or were cut. And we don't always take into context things like draft position, team needs, etc. We are way more critical of Beane than we are of other GMs (not surprising, as we are Bills fans and focus our attention on the Bills). For instance, whenever we talk about this, we will say things like "well, besides Josh." Almost as if we aren't giving Beane credit for Josh. When a fan of another team looks at Beane, they may be saying, why can't our GM find a franchise QB, or hit a home run like that guy did (but we almost discount it). It's said all of the time that a GM's most important job is finding his QB. And, stuff like, over the last three years, the Eagles' average draft position has been pick 113, the Bills' average draft position has been pick 140. That makes a difference. Now, I'm not totally disagreeing with WeckMonster, in that I think most Bills fans would agree that Beane has not hit many home runs at the top of the draft and it would be a big boost for the team if he found more impact players in the first two rounds. But I also realize there is context to it and no GM hits home runs on every round 1 and 2 pick. Your standard of every 2nd round pick being a year one starter and every 3rd round pick being a starter by year two is incredibly high. I think if you look around the league, you will be hard pressed to find a GM that does that year in and year out. Plus, how stacked is your team? It's a lot harder for a 2nd or 3rd rounder to get playing time on a Super Bowl contender than on a team in rebuild mode. Plus, a lot of the true impact players are gone by say picks 26-28, and those that are left are obviously not guarantees (or they would be drafted higher), so you're trying to pick that special guy out of say 15 other guys who all tested well and had great college stats. Could Beane be doing better at the top of his drafts, Yes, of course. But, overall, he has done pretty darn good by this organization and built a very good and very deep team (not every team has the depth that we do). Another factor is fans being impatient with the development of players. When I was young, we understood that outside of the guys at the top of the first round, most players took 2-3 years to develop. Yes, it would be great if your rookies had an impact in the playoffs their first year, but just because they didn't in year one doesn't mean that they won't in year two or year three. That is why we don't evaluate drafts for 3 years out (like the OP looking at the 2022 draft now). And I'd actually say that Cook did have a pretty big impact in the playoffs (278 yards, 3 TDs, 5.1 per carry), oh and Bernard (21 tackles, 1 TFL, 1 FF, 2 FR, 2 PD), oh and Torrence (starting OG), Kincaid didn't have big stats (71 yds and 1 TD)...but he was starting. As far as the rookies, you have to weigh in how the injuries impacted the trajectory of Coleman's and Carter's seasons, and Cole just wasn't ready yet. I mean, if you are even writing off Beane's good picks (Cook, Bernard, Torence...at least), of course he will pale in comparison to other GMs. Interesting to note about if we went with Mel Kiper's picks: Kiper's picks for the Bills: last three years (I could only find his first round mocks---so 2nd rounders not included) 2022: Kaiir Elam 2023: Jordan Addison (he was selected two picks before the Bills picked that year) 2024: Brian Thomas, Jr. (he was selected 5 spots ahead of Buffalo's pick last year) So, maybe if Mel was GM, he would have traded up for one of those receivers (that is if he could find a partner, which is not a guarantee). But, if Mel didn't trade up, and picked the next best available pick on his board (slightly leaning to the position he was selecting for the Bills), his picks would have looked like this: 2022: Kaiir Elam 2023: Dalton Kincaid 2024: Xavier Worthy So, the only difference would be Worthy over Coleman*. Again, you could knock Beane for not trying to trade up for one of those receivers, but then again, maybe he did try and there were no takers or the price was too high...we don't know. [*And due to the trade, it is not actually just Worthy for Coleman, it is Worthy/Jaden Hicks(DB)/C.J. Hanson (OG) for Coleman/DeWayne Carter/Travis Clayton (OT).]
  5. I'm not going to say that either Palmer or Moore will be superstars (we probably spread the ball around too much and run too much for any WR to be a "superstar" this year), but Sherfield and Harty are a pretty poor comparison for Palmer/Moore, imo. I personally didn't expect anything from Sherfield, I did have hope for Harty, but as a speedy slot guy who would help the offense, not as any kind of superstar. Plus, there is a bit of a difference in their production prior to coming to the Bills. Before coming to Buffalo: Deonte Harty had played 4 years, had 916 total yards, 4 total TDs, was averaging 20% snap count (and was originally an undrafted free agent) Trent Sherfield had played 5 years, with 844 total yards, 4 total TDs, was averaging 32% snap count (and was originally an undrafted free agent) where as: Elijah Moore has played for 4 years, has 2,233 total yards, 10 total TDs, has averaged 71% snap count (was drafted in the second round, 34th overall) Josh Palmer has played 4 years, has 2,303 total yards, 10 total TDs, has averaged 65% snap count (was drafted in the third round, 77th overall) I think it is pretty fair for fans to expect more out of Palmer and Moore than we got or even hoped to get from Harty and Sherfield. As to the OP's original question, what do we mean by superstar? Elite/top 5 at their position? Or just really good player who has a lot of production and really helps the team (but maybe not quite as high as top 3-5 at their position)? If you define Shakir as a slot receiver (not just as a receiver against the entire field), then I would say that Cook and Shakir are at least close to superstars (elite/top 5 at their spots), if not already there yet. Guys with the potential to be a star for the team [not necessarily elite/top 5 at their position, but really good (a lot of production, etc.)---and not saying they will all reach that potential of course]: Bosa, Oliver, Coleman, Bernard, Milano, Groot, Benford, Hairston, Kincaid, Palmer/Moore (again, not sure if the WRs will get enough targets to be considered a star, but I do feel they each have the potential for a very good season...but with Coleman, Shakir, and Samuel, plus the backs, there just may not be enough balls to go around to warrant the label---my guess would be Coleman, Palmer, Moore, as far as the order of who has the best chance to reach star-status...but it's kind of a toss up). [I didn't include the O-line, but both of our tackles are pretty high-level/stars at their positions. And I didn't include rookies Sanders, Walker, or Jackson because they will be rookies in a very heavy rotation, so not sure if they'll get enough opportunities to be considered star players...but who knows, maybe one of DTs overtakes DaQuan in snap counts and balls out.]
  6. You guys are right that it isn't just Thurman. Lots of other great backs, like you mentioned, get overlooked/not talked about much too. I was a huge Earl Campbell fan as a kid. Didn't root for Marcus Allen as much because of the teams he played for, but loved watching him play. Dickerson definitely doesn't get talked about enough anymore. Billy Simms is a guy that I even forget about, but he was a stud (again, shortish career). And what could have been if Bo didn't get injured. The guy only played 38 games over four seasons and is still every bit the legend for those who watched him play (pure specimen). So, many great backs over the years, without even mentioning the normal guys brought up in GOAT conversations (Brown, Simpson, Sanders, Payton, Smith, etc.), or even the players from older generations. I guess to a certain extent, all glory eventually fades. And good point by skibum about Faulk, LT, and James coming right on the heels of Thurman, which probably took away a bit of his shine because they were great all-purpose backs too. So, maybe Thurm's skills didn't look quite as unique as they did earlier in his career (not that Thurm was the first either in that regard, with guys like Marcus Allen and even Roger Craig before him). And obviously the Super Bowl performances (lack of a SB win) weighs in too. Guess I was just a bit hyped watching old Thurman highlights and thinking about that great stretch that he had (averaging 1,919 scrimmage yards per season over a 5-year period). [And obviously the fact that he played for the Bills probably adds a little "thumb on the scale" increase/bias for me.]
  7. Yes, obviously Thurman is in the Hall of Fame and on the Wall of Fame in Buffalo, but his star has seemed to fade in comparison to his contemporaries (Barry Sanders and Emmitt Smith). He almost never gets mentioned when speaking of great running backs and seems overshadowed by the other two backs of his era. Even on say Youtube, it is much harder to find good highlights/highlight videos of Thurm compared to the other guys. Now first let me get this out of the way. Barry was special...probably the best pure RB I ever watched (didn't get to see Jim Brown, and really only saw the tail-end of O.J.'s career, etc.). But, I have often said that Barry is the GOAT (or at least near the top of that conversation). So, I'm not trying to say that Thurman was better overall than Barry Sanders. Thurman obviously did not have Barry's breakaway speed, etc. I may be saying it about Emmitt Smith though. I always felt that that era was Barry, then, Thurman, then Smith. Always felt that Smith was a bit of a product of volume and having one of the greatest O-lines of all-time (and a TON of short goal-line carries). Always felt Thurman was the better of those two at least. But not sure if that is just my Bills' bias. So, the negatives on Thurm, or why the other guys may be seen as higher: two big things I can see are touchdowns and longevity. Emmitt had 134 career TDs, Barry had 109 career TDs, and Thurman only had 84 career TDs---but generally, the Bills had way more weapons to spread the ball around too than the other two teams (save Dallas' SB years) and as I said, Emmitt got a lot of goal line carries (where in Buffalo, Kenny Davis stole a lot of goal-line touches from Thurm). Thurman's peak was about 8-9 years, Barry's peak was 10 years, and Emmitt's peak was about 12 years. And then, of course, Emmitt has three rings, while Thomas' team had the four failed SB attempts. Also, Thurman hit a wall in his career (as did that whole Bills team), to where his last 3-4 years in the league, he was not very productive, while Barry retired on top, and Emmitt's trail off was not as significant. But, if Thurm retired after 10 years like Barry did, he wouldn't have had that trail-off, 3 weak seasons to end his career. [I don't know, maybe I just answered my own question.] But, to counter, from 1989 to 2000, each of the three RBs had 4 seasons each of being on top of the others in yards from scrimmage. Pretty evenly split in that category. From 1989-1993* (for 5 seasons), here are their yards from scrimmage: (*Emmitt came into the league in 1990, so for him I did 1990 to 1994, to even the comparison) Thurman Thomas 9,595 yards and 55 TDs (4.48 yards/att) Emmitt Smith 8,759 yards and 65 TDs (4.42 yards/att) Barry Sanders 8, 288 yards and 60 TDs (4.76 yards/att) So, for 5 years, you could argue that Thurman outperformed both of the others, or at worst was on par with the other two (5 years is half of Barry's career). Thurman easily would have been the SB MVP of SBXXV if Norwood's kick went through. He has a league MVP in 1991 (Barry and Emmitt also have 1 league MVP each). And Thurman was kind of the progenitor of the Marshall Faulk, Tomlinson-type of backs to come, and he led the NFL in yards from scrimmage for four consecutive years (that's a pretty big feat---and all four of those years, Barry was in the league, and Emmitt was around for 3 of those 4 years---so he did that with those guys being in the league). Obviously Emmitt will be remembered because of the Super Bowls and the career rushing title, and Barry is remembered because he was magical---not knocking either guy, they both deserve their due. But I feel that Thurman should be seen as at least an equal to those guys (not better, but just as lauded for his own skillset and stats)...yet outside of Bills fans, most seem to forget him or not even really know about him (for younger fans). I don't know, what do you think? If you agree, why do you think Thurm gets forgotten? Should Thurman receive more laurels and be seen on par with those other two backs? I know he never won a SB (like Smith), but he at least made 4 Super Bowls, while Barry had a hard time even making the playoffs on Detroit, with only one playoff victory in his career (no fault of Barry's of course, that's on the Lions---but should Thurman be knocked for not winning Super Bowls then---I mean two of Emmitt's rings were against Thurman's team. IF, BIG IF, those games had gone the other way, would we see things differently? Is that all it is that changes how someone's career is viewed---one or two games in a team sport?). And as I said, Emmitt and Barry's peaks were both a bit longer than Thurman's peak, but even with that, Thurman is still #12 overall in NFL history in yards from scrimmage (Barry is #7, Emmitt is #2). Only 11 players in the history of the NFL have more yards than Thomas, yet he is so rarely talked about. [Just an offseason thought/discussion after recently watching a highlight video of Thurman and remembering just how good he actually was. But, I realize this is old news/an old debate.] [(aside) in looking up yards from scrimmage, I saw that Frank Gore retired with 19,985 yards. Couldn't the Jets have found 15 more yards for him his last season so he could hit that 20,000-yard mark? Would have been just the fourth player in history to do so.]
  8. Yeah, not sure why I was assuming the original post was regular season only (which is what my list was). But even adding the playoffs (for just Josh and Aaron), I still get Rodgers just barely ahead in TDs/Touch for some reason (they both have performed well in the playoffs over the years). But as I said before, it doesn't really matter either way, it's so close, and because Josh will be clearly in front at some point this season, if he isn't already. And I'm not trying to take anything away from Josh. Obviously, in just 7 seasons, one of the best ever already. Rodgers 16.7274 Allen 16.8203
  9. I'm not sure how the original Twitter/X poster came up with his stats. I went to check on turnovers (per rajinka's post) and decided to look at TDs as well, but in a slightly different format. I did a TD per how many touches. After doing that (including passing/rushing attempts and receiving targets---all touches), I came out with Aaron Rodgers still being slightly ahead of Josh---if my numbers are correct (no doubt though that Josh will probably take the lead early this upcoming season). Bradshaw and Young also got a slight bump up on my TD list for whatever reason. Doc Brown mentioned Drew Brees, and Figster mentioned Kurt Warner, so I looked up those guys too, as well as Tom Brady. Brees came in at 18.5, Brady at 18.8, and Warner at 20.1 on my TD/Touch list. Just FYI. Anyhow, here is what I came up with for Turnovers and TDs per touch for the 8 players in the original post. Player Turnovers Per Touch Player Touchdowns Per Touch Terry Bradshaw* (TO every) 14.8 (touches) Aaron Rodgers (TD every) 16.71 (touches) Steve Young* 27.8 Josh Allen 16.75 Tony Romo 31.8 Peyton Manning 17.6 Peyton Manning 36.6 Steve Young 17.7 Josh Allen 39.9 Terry Bradshaw 17.8 Lamar Jackson 48.0 Patrick Mahomes 17.8 Patrick Mahomes 53.0 Tony Romo 18.1 Aaron Rodgers 57.3 Lamar Jackson 18.1 It really shows you how good Aaron Rodgers has been to be top of the TD list and bottom of the turnover list (surprising that has equated to only one Super Bowl appearance in 20 seasons). And on that note, it's interesting that 5 of those 8 QBs have a combined 2 SB appearances (as starting QBs), while the other 3 QBs have appeared in 13 combined Super Bowls...kind of shows that it is still a team game and how hard it is to actually reach a Super Bowl. [*For Bradshaw and Young (only), I could not find separate fumbles vs. fumbles lost lists. Not sure when the NFL started differentiating between a fumble and a lost fumble. So, their turnover/touch numbers may be better than they appear above (I assume back in the day a fumble was a fumble no matter who recovered it). However, if I include all of Josh's fumbles and not just lost fumbles (and he had a lot of fumbles that the Bills recovered), his number is still better than both of those older players. So the two players in question probably have slightly better numbers than are shown, but it wouldn't really affect their ranking. For all other QBs, I used fumbles lost stats, not total fumbles...because a recovered fumble is not a turnover.]
  10. Barnwell's article seems like a pointless experiment. It is basically, which teams have the most stud/household name skill players (preferably WRs). It by no means determines how any of these offenses will be in 2025 (with or without their QB). And pretty much any fan could look across the teams and say who has more studs than others with a quick glance. No need to even bring analytics into it, it is a pretty obvious task. But that is fantasy football type of stuff, not team building. And even though he claims to have used metrics/analytics, etc., a lot of his decisions were obviously made on pure opinion (particularly in regards to injuries, rookies and second/third-year players, etc.). And why weight receivers higher? Yes, it is a passing league (and they get paid more, not sure what that has to do with it), but many teams went back to a heavier/more balanced run game over the last couple of years. And if you look at total yards from scrimmage in 2024, in the top 32, there are 21 RBs, 10 WRs, and 1 TE. There are only two WRs in the top 18 (all the rest are RBs). Eight of the non-QB touchdown leaders in 2024 were RBs, with only 2 WRs. Both receivers and RBs are reliant on the QB and offensive line to get their jobs done. Plus, there are many teams with a better player at RB1 and TE1 than WR2 or WR3, etc. Weighting WRs higher automatically shoots teams with say two stud WRs up the rankings. But maybe because they are paying those two WRs a lot, their offensive line isn't as good, or their RBs and TEs are a step down, or they're lacking in depth. Or maybe it's because they aren't paying a franchise QB yet, or their defense suffers for it. Plus, he's comparing three players of one group (WRs) vs. only 1 player in the RB and TE groups. So, he's almost adding a double-weight to the receivers. Why not just make the article, who has the most stud receivers, or the best receiving group, instead of making it seem like he is comparing all skill groups evenly. In 2024, 15 different skill players touched the ball for Buffalo. In 2023, 14 different skill players touched the ball. Our offense spreads the ball around to more than just 5 players. As does every offense to some extent. Most teams run tandems at RB, all teams have two-TE packages, guys get injured, many teams rotate guys based on the game or opponent, etc. By not including depth, he is definitely skewing the picture. Yes, if you were to rank only TE1s, Kincaid (based on current production, not potential*) would probably be in the 12-15 range. But when you add Knox, Davidson, and a true blocking TE in Hawes, I think our TE group will definitely be top 10, maybe top 5ish. Same goes for the running back room when you add Davis and Johnson to Cook. [Plus a top 5 O-line.] [*Barnwell's opinion also shows through on which "potential" guys he thinks will improve and which won't.] So, the article basically comes down to who would have the best offense if you remove the OC, QB, all offensive linemen, all RB depth, all TE depth, and WRs 4-6 and then you add extra weight to the top 3 wide receivers. How at that point are you even comparing offenses or being able to assess how much a GM has helped their QB? For the Bills at least, with how we run our offense, that is like saying how would the Bills offense fare if you removed Brady, Josh, the offensive line, and 66.6% of their skill players. Or if you think, QB, 5 OL, 3 RB, 3 TE, 5 WR as your main guys, Barnwell is removing 70% of the offense and comparing the rest to try and determine who would be best if you removed only the quarterback. Just not understanding the point of the article. [And from a Bills perspective, it just perpetuates the false narrative that Josh is doing it all on his own.] Either rank receiving corps as a whole (where the Bills would currently rank low), or all skill players as a whole, or the total offense without the QB (in both cases, the Bills would rank much higher). Or do a big three skill positions ranking (best WR, RB, TE trio). This in between is just some fantasy land and is misleading (according to his article's title and mission statement). [P.S. I do expect our WR corps this year to be much better than most outsiders are currently projecting. But, I understand the reason for the current projections as well and would not expect us to be more than average at best in most WR only rankings.]
  11. Just noting some positions where the Bills had great players, and who the writer selected over them (Obviously, the Bills didn't draft every player on the list below---Bennett, Poyer, Hyde, etc.---just wanted to see why some very good Bills players didn't make the list). The writer also noted that he didn't want to overweigh QBs just based on the importance of the position. [NOTE: None of the 64/65 AFL Champ team players were eligible for the list. The list begins at the 1967 (common era) draft.] Bills on the list (played more than one season for the Bills---so not counting guys like Gore, Owens, Anderson): #86 Andre Reed, #134 Kyle Williams, #148 Khalil Shakir, #185 Christian Benford, #250 Ryan Fitzpatrick, #253 Roland Hooks. A few great Bills that missed the list and who was selected over them (according to the writer of the article): #1: Peyton Manning (over Bruce Smith and O.J. Simpson) #2: Lawrence Taylor (and many others: Faulk, Peppers, C. Johnson, Von Miller, Barkley, Bosa---all over Cornelius Bennett). #6: Walter Jones (then Tim Brown, then Julio Jones...and then James Lofton) #14: Darrelle Revis over Jim Kelly (reason: Revis had more All-Pros and won one Super Bowl). #24: Ed Reed (+Aaron Rodgers)---at least those two are over Eric Moulds. #26: Ray Lewis over Joe DeLamielleure. #32: Drew Brees (+Lamar Jackson)---at least those two over Fred Smerlas. #39: Ed White (Chargers Guard) over Darryl Talley. (Reason: White had two more Pro Bowls than Talley) #40: Michaels Strahan [over Thurman Thomas]. Picked Strahan because of the single-season sack record and one Super Bowl win. #146: George Kittle over Stefon Diggs #159: Miami Safety Jake Scott (over Micah Hyde) #218: Tom Nalen, Denver center [over Jordan Poyer] #226: Picked KC Guard Trey Smith (drafted 2021) over Steve Tasker [No explanation for guys this low on the list.] Strange that a 4-year lineman was higher than any players picked here who already finished a full career (looks like the writer heavily weighted SB wins and Smith has two already being drafted by K.C). And granted its a low pick, so may not be a lot of choices...but at least Tasker was there as another option.
  12. Playoff Stats: Record Win% Total Points Points/game Point Differential Total TDs TDs/Gm Headto Head Teams lost to Lamar Jackson: 3-5 37.5 149 18.6 Even 13 1.6 0-2 K.C. (1), Buf (2), LAC (1), Tenn (1) Josh Allen: 7-6 53.8 356 27.4 +44 32 2.5 2-0 K.C. (4), Cin (1), Hou (1) Also note: Four of the Bills six playoff losses (66.6%) were either Overtime or 3 point losses; only one of the Ravens losses (12.5%) were by 3 points or less.
  13. Yeah, I think frostbitmic nailed it for me...while also acknowledging that I didn't get to see players such as McGuire, Moody, and Gogalak. Don't think they'd make the BB Mt. Rushmore, because I assume a lot of their ST tackles came with other teams (Jax and Minn, respectively), but there are two Bills on the All-Time Special Teams Tackles list: Paul Posluszney (at 13) and Antoine Winfield (at 17). Again, not Mt. Rushmore worthy, but other guys who came to mind (with a little digging): Siran Neal, Tyler Matakevich, Taiwan Jones, Roscoe Parrish, Jeff Burris, Leodis McKelvin, George Wilson, Mario Hagan, Marcus Easley, John Wendling, Scott Norwood, Chris Mohr, Reid Ferguson, Garrison Sanborn, Adam Linger, Sam Aiken, Lorenzo Alexander. FYI: John Wendling led the league in ST tackles in 2009 (he was second in the league in ST tackles in 2010, but with Detroit at that point). Marcus Easley led the league in ST tackles in 2013.
  14. The question is who is Lucy this time? Kansas City? Baltimore? The NFL/refs? Our coaches/FO? The football gods? I'm not saying that I agree or disagree with this analysis, just condensing some of the info as far as who the OP sees as SB contenders: Based on the OP's optimistic views for teams, he has 13 teams as SB contenders (listed as at least making a conf. title game, optimistically---2024 playoff teams are in bold): LA Rams, KC, Philly, Washington, Pitt, Houston, Detroit, Denver, Atlanta, SF, Tampa, Green Bay, and Buffalo. (the only 2024 playoff teams not in contention are the Chargers and Vikings, replaced by Atlanta and SF). OP's best optimistic views: Buffalo wins the SB Philly wins the SB Ravens SB appearance OP's best realistic results: Buffalo makes a SB appearance Baltimore makes AFC Championship Philly make the NFC Championship Washington makes the NFC Championship So, seems like similar results to last year (as far as the playoff teams go), except (I would surmise) with Buffalo advancing to the SB (over Balt) and probably facing Philly (with either team winning the SB, but Buffalo being a slight favorite in odds).
  15. Not sure what you are debating. The fact that the Diggs trade came after free agency began only enhances how strapped they were for spending dollars. Apologies for lumping things together (as one offseason) rather than laying out the exact timeline of everything in detail. The team was $41 million over at the start of the NFL year (so before the Diggs trade, which only made things worse when it happened). The team released a number of players and restructured a number of others, so they could "work around the cap" as Beane stated. So they would have some money to spend. [Note: Tre wouldn't be released until April 1st, Diggs traded on April 3rd.] In the end, the Bills were 22nd in free agency spending last year (they were worst in the NFL in being over the cap at the start of the new year). So, are you trying to say that they had plenty of money/cap room in 2024 and chose not to use it or used it poorly? Or that the Diggs trade didn't also affect their offseason (he was $3.2 million more against the cap traded than if he stayed---$31 million against the cap total--- and he had to be replaced with another player and their salary and cap hit)? So, not sure what you mean by "misleading" and "revisionist history." I'm not sure what point you are actually questioning or how Samuel being the 4th highest paid FA WR weighs into it?
  16. I was at that game...it was electrifying. That team was GREAT (difference makers all over the field), and that whole season was magical, right up until the last few seconds, of course. But I always laugh watching that clip. It literally looks like Gary Kubiak (the holder for the FG) dies on the field chasing after Bennett (no disrespect to Damar). See :21 to :26 seconds into the video. 😄
  17. Some of you guys act like this is fantasy football. It is much more complicated for real teams and there is always context. Do you not remember that because of the Stefon Diggs trade and because we kicked the can down the road a bit to try and keep the team together over the previous few years (because we were close), the Bills were 41 million over the cap at the start of the 2024 offseason? How many great players did you expect the Bills to bring in under those circumstances? Everyone knew it was going to be a tight year without the ability to add any big names or whatever (while having to release/trade some mainstay players as well). The Bills decided to take the hit of the Diggs trade all last year, which severely strapped them in 2024 (but made things easier in 2025). Yet, they still won 13 games and made it to the AFC Championship in what was supposed to be a down/rebuild year because of lack of funds and aging veterans. So, yes, 2024 does not appear to have been a great offseason, but there is a reason for it. Plus, I would say that Mack Hollins, Keon (before the injury), Curtis Samuel (at the end of the year), Amari Cooper (sporadically), D. Carter (was coming on before his injury), and Ray Davis (631 yards and 6 TDs) were all contributors. And I think you could safely say that at least Hollins and Davis made an impact. They had 11 TDs combined last season (and did much more than just scoring). Many teams can't maintain success through the inevitable reset year(s), but the Bills did. Almost seems like Beane and McD should get praise for that, not derision.
  18. Maybe I buried my lead. Some posters say McDermott's record or success as a HC is only because of Josh, i.e. Josh is carrying the team, and McD would not be a good coach without him. It gets brought up around here a lot. I have heard people knock McDermott as a bad coach and in the same breath praise Sean Payton as a great coach. Yes, Sean Payton won one Super Bowl (his only appearance). He had future-HOFer Drew Brees for 15 years (5 of which were losing seasons). I never hear anyone say Drew Brees carried Sean Payton. And yet, if McD went 15 years with Drew Brees as his QB with only one SB appearance (and five losing seasons), he would be tarred and feathered here for wasting a HOF QB. And Payton has had some doozy playoff losses as well. It just seems like there is a double standard when it comes to McDermott. And no, I wasn't saying McDermott is as good of a coach as Don Shula. Just that Shula had 3 HOF QBs play for him (2 of the greatest QBs of all time), but no one says his success was only due to those QBs. We acknowledge that he was a great coach as well as having great QBs. And I wasn't trying to say that McDermott is an All-Time NFL coach by posting that list, I was just pointing out that all of these guys that we label as excellent coaches (who have won a lot of games and SBs or whatever) almost all had elite QB play. So, again, why do we not knock them for having great QBs, but with McDermott, all of his success is Josh and he would be terrible without Josh. There's no proof of that. He had an excellent run as a DC in Carolina, his one year as HC w/o Josh he took a bad team to the playoffs, besides last year, his defenses have been top 5 in scoring against, turnovers, etc. for like 5-6 years. If he were fired from Buffalo, he would be hired by another team very quickly. Just seems to me that there is more evidence that McDermott is a very good coach who is elevated by Josh, rather than a bad coach who would be nothing without Josh. And no, helping to find and develop Josh does not give McDermott a free pass by any means, but he also wasn't just a lucky bystander in the whole process, as some like to post.
  19. Yes, Fisher has exactly one more win than Parcells. Hard to imagine, right? Also, a couple of updates upon review: John Harbaugh (QBs: Flacco, Jackson) should have been slated in ahead of Sean Payton (Harbaugh has two more wins)...and to note, Pete Carroll, Mike Shanahan, and Tom Coughlin all had the same number of wins as Payton (so, if I included Payton, I should have included them too). But the point still stands.
  20. This first part is in response to some posters here, not the PFF ranking: Coaches with the Most Wins in NFL History (and their main QBs): 1. Don Shula - QBs: Johnny Unitas (HOF), Bob Griese (HOF), Dan Marino (HOF) 2. George Halas - QBs: George Blanda (HOF), Sid Luckman (HOF), Bobby Layne (HOF) 3. Bill Belichick - QB: Tom Brady (f-HOF) 4. Andy Reid - QBs: Patrick Mahomes (f-HOF), Donovan McNabb 5. Tom Landry - QBs: Don Meredith, Roger Staubach (HOF), Danny White 6. Curly Lambeau - QBs: Curly Lambeau (HOF) and Arnie Herber (two guys who pioneered the passing game in the NFL) 7. Paul Brown - QBs: Otto Graham (HOF), Ken Anderson 8. Marty Schottenheimer - QBs: Bernie Kosar, Joe Montana (HOF), Steve DeBerg, Drew Brees (f-HOF), Phillip Rivers 9. Chuck Knol - QB: Terry Bradshaw (HOF) 10. Dan Reeves - QBs: John Elway (HOF), Phil Simms, Chris Chandler, Michael Vick 11. Chuck Knox - QBs: Ron Jaworski, Dave Krieg, Joe Ferguson, James Harris 12. Mike Tomlin - QBs: Ben Rothlisberger (f-HOF) 13. Mike McCarthy - QBs: Aaron Rodgers (f-HOF), Dak Prescott 14. Jeff Fisher - QBs: Chris Chandler, Steve McNair, Nick Foles, Jared Goff, 15. Bill Parcells - QBs: Phil Simms, Drew Bledsoe, Vinny Testeverde, Tony Romo 16. Sean Payton - QBs: Drew Brees (f-HOF) Why is it that most coaches are considered great when they win a lot (despite having elite QB play), but McDermott is only good because of elite QB play? The only other coach you ever really here referenced in such a way is Bill Belichick (questioning how good a coach he is/would be without Brady). But every other coach who wins is just considered great. Don Shula is the winningest coach ever. After that statement is uttered, I never hear, yeah well he had three Hall of Fame Quarterbacks. He probably would have sucked without them. Most "great" coaches had excellent to elite QB play for the majority of their careers (it appears to be a very symbiotic relationship). I'm not saying that every QB on the list above is as good as Josh (and not all of those coaches are considered great), but there are 17 HOFers. I wonder if that helped most of those coaches be great? And even when Sean Payton gets brought up, I never hear people say, yeah, well he only made 1 Super Bowl despite having a HOF QB for 15 years...what a waste. And currently (yes, with fewer seasons/games) Sean McDermott's winning percentage is better than all but four of those sixteen coaches (Shula, Halas, Landry, and Brown---and those 4 coaches had 8 HOF QBs playing for them). This McD is only good because of Josh sentiment, needs to be retired. Would he be AS good without Josh, of course not, but he also wouldn't suck...he's a very good coach. Two other notions that need to go away are McD lucked into Josh and McD had no part in Josh's development: First, they did not luck into Josh. Brandon, Sean, and the entire organization did exhaustive research on all of the QBs that year. They decided that they wanted Josh. They made two separate trades sending picks and players away to move up to #7 to get Josh. They tried to move up to as high as #2 to get him. There were a lot of QB hungry teams that passed on Josh or didn't try to go up and get him. It wasn't just the media and fans that weren't sold on Josh and thought he might be a bust in the waiting, a lot of teams did too. But the Bills identified Josh and did everything in their power to get him. Sure there is some luck involved (other teams ahead of us not picking him), but the Bills busted their butts to get him, he didn't fall into our laps. And secondly, did McD work on Josh's mechanics, footwork, throwing motion, etc. Yeah, probably not. But he and Beane did put a plan of development together for Josh, they gave Josh the tools, they hired the right people to work with him, they empowered him, they tried to design the team around him, etc., etc. And if you don't think that a good culture, a stable organization, and a good relationship between HC and QB doesn't weigh in to a QBs development as well, well, you haven't been watching the NFL very closely over the last 10-50 years. Could Josh have been successful elsewhere? Of course. But are their some organizations where maybe he wouldn't have reached his full potential, yeah, that is probably true also. Ok, one last gripe: Others already dispelled the playoff points in the last five losses, or whatever. that was brought up earlier in the thread as a knock against McD. But, even if that stat had been correct, how many of those other teams had to face Kansas City (or a similar dynasty team) 4 out of 5 years? Kind of makes a difference---rather than say losing to a 10-7/9-8 #4 or #5-seed in the Wild Card round. As to the PFF rankings, if they are discussing where do the current coaches stack up All-Time/career, then sure Super Bowls and longevity should weigh in to the rankings (which pushes McD down a bit---fine). But, if they are talking who are the best coaches right now heading into 2025, then McD should be much higher on the list---definitely Top 10, probably somewhere in the 4-7 range, imo.
  21. Fair enough...and yes, I was thinking mostly offense in comparison. But the 2020 defense was much better than the 2024 defense. Hopefully we will see big improvements on the defense this year. But you are probably correct that with the defense added, the 2020 team was a better/more-talented team overall. Yet the 2024 team did get just as far as the 2020 team did and with almost the same total number of yards and points. Who knows? Hopefully we will be improved this year on defense and at least a bit in the WR department. But, at this point, I guess we'll just have to wait to see how it all plays.
  22. Are you really trying to say that the 2024 and 2025 WRs are as bad as the 2018 WRs were? 2018 WRs (in order of rec yds): Zay Jones, Robert Foster, Kelvin Benjamin, Isaiah McKenzie, Andre Holmes, Deonte Thompson, RayRay McCloud. 2024 WRs (in order of rec yds): Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Mack Hollins, Amari Cooper, Curtis Samuel, Tyrell Shavers, KJ Hamler, MVS. 2025 WRs: Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Josh Palmer, Curtis Samuel, Elijah Moore, Laviska Shenault, Tyrell Shavers, Jalen Virgil, KJ Hamler, Kaden Prather. And maybe I overstated my case regarding spending assets on WRs. I didn't mean we don't need any good receivers (as you made it sound), I meant more that the team now doesn't think that paying a top WR big money is a good use of their assets. That is philosophy in itself, in regards to team building. Do we spend a ton of money on a couple of players, say a stud WR and TE, or two top WRs, or whatever, and let the rest of the weapons suffer a bit because we don't have as much money to go around? Or do we try to have as many solid/very good (not elite) weapons for Josh to distribute the ball too? Two different ways to skin a cat. One team could have 2-3 elite players and then 1 or 2 very good players, but then have say 5 average players at other spots, while another team could have 10 very good players (no elites, but no weak links). And I agree (as I said) that some of last year was about problems in the WR room (injuries, Keon being a rookie, Amari adjusting to a new team mid-season, etc.), as to say the RBs getting so many targets, etc...but, it also actually worked. So, yes, at times last year it was a bit about playing into our strengths, away from our weaknesses. But, as far as the change in philosophy, do you not remember McDermott getting on both Daboll and Dorsey for throwing the ball too much/not being balanced enough? That balance is what McD had been looking for for a long time. That was the type of team that he and Beane wanted to build. Also remember in 2020/2021, defenses started playing teams like Buffalo and KC differently. Mover cover zero, etc. to try and stop these juggernaut offenses. So, both teams had to adapt as well. You can see it in our point totals that I posted. From 2020 to 2023, we went from 31.3 points/game to 28.4, to 28.4, to 26.5. What we had been doing wasn't working as well as it used to. Some of that was obviously moving on from Beasley and Diggs declining, but a lot of it had to do with how the NFL was changing. How many more running focused teams were there in 2024 as opposed to 2020/2021? Also, when we had that smaller, more finesse lineup, they didn't always fare as well in the cold weather or against stronger, tougher teams. The cold weather was no longer an advantage for us. The Bills made a concerted effort to get bigger and stronger, to use the running game and RBs more, and finally to last year with the everyone eats. It was definitely a gradual, purposeful change in philosophy by the team, not just that we didn't have a true #1 WR or out of desperation because our receivers sucked. And it looks like it worked, with 2024 being our best season (offensively and team-wise) since 2020. As to say inserting Stroud into either the 2020 or 2024 rosters, you could just as easily say that Stroud would fare better with the 2024 roster because he wouldn't be asked to do as much. He could lean on the running game. He would have a short passing game and outlets, so he didn't have to hold on to the ball too long. You wouldn't be asking him to go toe-to-toe in passing with a 2020 Mahomes/KC (like Josh had too in 2020). Much easier to ask Stroud to go for 3,731 passing yards and 28 passing TDs than to ask him to match 4,544 yards and 37 passing TDs (Josh's stats in 2020 and 2024 with almost the exact same overall team results). And our receivers might not be as good as in 2020, but I would venture to say that our offensive line, RBs, and TEs are all significantly better than in 2020. It seems you are just too focused on the WR room only, imo. Here are the difference in offensive players other than WRs (and guys still holding their position from 2020, like Dawkins and Knox): 2020: Singletary, Moss, A. Williams, Tyler Kroft, Lee Smith, Ike Boettger, Mitch Morse, Feliciano/Winters, Darryl Williams 2025: Cook, Davis, Johnson, Kincaid, Davidson/Hawes, Torrence, McGovern, Edwards, Spence Brown
  23. It's a fair point about the NFL changing to a 17-game schedule in 2021---and even in 2022 they only played 16 regular season games (because of the Damar Hamlin situation)---but, even factoring that in, the team still did very well last year in comparison (as far as scoring points; see below). Now, in 2020, Stefon Diggs had 1,535 yards and 8 TDs; Beasley had 967 yards and 4 TDs; and Gabe Davis had 599 yards and 7 TDs. A true #1 WR, one of the best slot guys in the game, and a good/above average #2 outside guy. Kind of the traditional set-up in the more modern passing league. That year, the team passed for 4,620 yards, while the team gained 1,723 yards on the ground (6,343 yards total), for a 73/27 pass/run split. In 2024, the Bills passed for 3,875 yards, and ran for 2,230 yards (6,105 yards total), for a 51/49 pass/run split. So, the 2024 team averaged 37 fewer yards per game, but had a much more balanced attack (meaning the WRs weren't as important as they were in 2020). In 2020, the WRs accounted for 84% of the team's passing yards (RBs and TEs accounted for 16% of passing yards). And the WRs overall accounted for 61.4% of our total offensive yards. In 2024, the WRs accounted for 61% of the team's passing yards (RBs and TEs accounted for 39% of passing yards). The WRs overall accounted for 39% of our total offense. I'm sure some of that disparity was talent-level, injuries, rookies, etc. But a big part of it is having the more balanced attack (everyone eats). We are a very different team than we were in 2020. Who knows, it may come back to bite us (not having a true stud WR), but I understand why the Bills may not feel the need to overspend on WRs? They just aren't as valuable at 39% of total offense vs. when they were 61% of the total offense. You may not like the different philosophy, but it makes sense to me that due to it (and Josh Allen), that the Bills think they can be just as good not putting too many assets into the position (at least as much as they used to). As to how all of that has affected scoring points (I've included all years 2020-2024, but highlighted 2020 and 2024 for comparison): Total Reg. Season Points Pts/Game (Reg Season) Pts/Game (Reg season and playoffs) 2020 501 (16 games) 31.3 29.9 (+3 PO games) 2021 483 (17 games) 28.4 29.8 (+2 PO games) 2022 455 (16 games) 28.4 27.7 (+2 PO games) 2023 451 (17 games) 26.5 26.6 (+2 PO games) 2024 525 (17 games) 30.9 30.6 (+3 PO games) So, 2024 was our best year at points per game in the regular season since 2020 (only 0.4 points per game less). And if you include the playoffs, then yes, the 2024 Bills did still outscore the 2020 Bills in points per game (scoring 0.7 points more per game overall). Different philosophy, very similar results. 2020: 15-4 record (13-3 reg. season), 3 playoff games ending in the AFC Championship Game vs K.C. 6,343 total yards, 501 total points, 29.9 points/game. 2024: 15-5 record (13-4 reg. season), 3 playoff games ending in the AFC Championship Game vs K.C. 6,105 total yards, 525 total points, 30.6 points/game. Now, how the Bills stack up talent-wise position-by-position with other contenders is a whole other conversation for which I would probably need to do a lot more research on (for the other teams) to get a better idea than just how many pro-bowlers or all-pros each team has. My gut tells me you may be correct with at least a few to even maybe a handful of the teams (that they would win out in an overall talent comparison), but I doubt the disparity would be as large as you think. Some teams may have more elite players, but the drop-off at other positions may be higher than a team that may not have as many studs, but may have fewer weaknesses or weak links. And just as the homers may over-value our players, the pessimists also seem to under-value our players in comparison to other team's players.
  24. I'll admit that how I feel about our WR group is a bit of a projection. I think Keon is going to be very good this year, but I can understand that some are not sold on him. I don't expect Keon to be a #1 WR or anything, just improvement. He had 556 yards and 4 TDs last year. If you prorate the stats to a 17-game year (because he missed 4.5 games last year), he'd be at 756 yards and 5 TDs. That would be without any improvement, just staying healthy. And I think he can definitely improve on where he was at the end of the season, after the injury...or in the first few games of his career. I don't think it's crazy to project Keon to maybe 800-850 yards and 6 TDs. Khalil easily projects for around 800 yards and 5 TDs. [He had 821 and 4 TDs last year] I have always liked Curtis Samuel as a player, but again, I can understand that others are down on him for last year and wonder if he can stay healthy. And I don't expect Palmer or Moore to become someone they are not or haven't been, but imo, they are still an upgrade from Hollins/Cooper (based on snap counts and production from last year, as well as age and athleticism). But all of those guys have proven that they are capable of at least 600-yard seasons with a few TDs. Our RBs and TEs had 1,526 receiving yards last year. So, if Keon and Khalil come in around 800 yards each, and the other three averaged 500 yards each, that would be 4,626 yards (if the RBs and TEs stayed the same). More than Josh has ever thrown for. I'm not saying these are the best receivers he's had, or that Josh will actually reach that lofty number (hopefully we won't need to pass that much), but with how Brady runs the offense and how Josh distributes the ball, this should be a very good unit of weapons overall imo (meaning all units combined: RBs, TEs, and WRs). But, I guess we'll just have to wait and see how it all plays out. As to the ranking of our receivers vs. other teams, I don't have the energy to do a full comparison of every team myself, so I Googled it. Unfortunately, I couldn't find too many rankings: I know we don't like PFF, but they have our receivers ranked at #19 (13 teams worse: Seattle, Green Bay, Denver, New Orleans, NY Giants, Las Vegas, Carolina, LA Chargers, NY Jets, Pittsburgh, Tennessee, New England, and Cleveland). https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-2025-receiving-corps-rankings-eagles Mike Clay of ESPN gave Unit Ranking Grades. Not sure how he gets the grades, but he has five teams at 9 (his highest ranking), six teams at 8, two teams at 7, ten teams at 6, three teams at 5, four teams at 4, two teams at 3. He has the Bills WR corps at 6. That means he has 13 teams better than the Bills, 10 teams on par with the Bills, and and 9 teams worse. Provided the Bills aren't the worst of the ten #6 teams, that's pretty much right in the middle as well. [The 9 teams definitively below the Bills in his rankings are: New England, Tennessee, Dallas, Arizona, San Fran, NY Jets, Cleveland, Las Vegas, and Denver.] So, both lists have these same six teams definitively below the Bills (New England, Tennessee, Jets, Cleveland, Las Vegas, and Denver). And at least one of the lists had these ten teams below the Bills (Seattle, Green Bay, New Orleans, NY Giants, Carolina, LA Chargers, Pittsburgh, Dallas, Arizona, and San Fran). So, that is a possible 16 teams below the Bills (depending on who is doing the ranking). Again, it isn't anything definitive by any means, but I think it at least shows that we aren't complete bottom of the barrel. Again, I agree that the Bills' WR group is not a great unit by any means (in comparison to other teams), but I am looking at the overall weapons and how the Bills want to run their offense. We were 49/51 run/pass-split last year. And the offense is about scheming guys open and letting Josh make decisions, rather than forcing the ball to a stud WR. I think our unit is better than last year's unit, and despite passing yards being down overall last season, the offense still scored more points than any previous Bills offense (even with Diggs and Beasley at their peak). I don't know, I may be overly optimistic and you may be overly pessimistic---but hopefully reality will be no worse than the median between us.
  25. We'll have to agree to disagree on the WRs and win total without Josh. I think the WR group is decent/average rather than garbage and I think the RBs and TEs with the WRs give Josh plenty of weapons. Just mo. And it is a very fair point that Josh makes both the O-line and receiving targets better. He avoids sacks that many QBs wouldn't be able to. He is accurate, can make all of the throws, and as you said, makes a lot of off-script plays. He definitely makes those groups better, I just don't think that they would be completely terrible without him. I think there is still a lot of talent on the offense, particularly the offensive line and RBs. It's just so hard to quantify how much better Josh makes them, or what they would look like with a different QB.
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