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Low Positive

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Everything posted by Low Positive

  1. Old QB stats are interesting. You don't even have to go back to the 60's. Roger Staubach only had an over 60% completion percentage one time in 10 years. That year, he only had 286 attempts for 2,428 yards. Terry Bradshaw never cleared 60% completions. These guys were the two best QBs of the 70's. Dan Fouts is the only guy from the 70's whose numbers look remotely modern, but Derek Carr has better numbers than he did. Joe Montana was the first guy to have modern QB stats and he never threw for more than 4,000 yards. Mahomes has never had fewer than 4,000 in a season that he started and has thrown for more than 5,000 twice in his career. Different game, indeed.
  2. After 13 seconds, I had hope that we were a SB quality team that just messed up in the clutch. This time, I have lost hope that this collection of guys has what it takes. Everyone is blaming coaching, but I'm afraid that the players themselves are not up to it. The Bills went all in this year, and have little cap space to make the necessary changes and this years draft doesn't look like a good one. So, this loss was way worse to me. Not to mention, I live in Cincinnati so it's extra painful.
  3. I would think that coaching contracts go until the end of the league year.
  4. Everyone talks about Brady, but Travis Kelce was a third round pick. He was the fifth TE picked. Gavin Escobar and Vance McDonald were picked before him. KC fell a** backward into the greatest TE of all time. It's all a crapshoot.
  5. This just makes it more likely that Irsay hires Saturday, just to stick it to everyone.
  6. Agreed. We often fall into a trap of comparing the players in a given draft to each other and saying things like "we got the third best OT in this draft in the third round. That's a steal." But that doesn't matter, because as soon as he's drafted the only comparison that matters is how he stacks up against the other 62 starting OTs in the NFL.
  7. I would argue that out of that list, the only evaluation miss is Teller. Hodgins and Moss just went to teams that gave them touches. Moss' yards per carry still wasn't good, but his carries went through the roof once they shut down Taylor for the season. Hodgins was the #1 WR in NY and got a lot of targets.
  8. And he didn't call the plays there either.
  9. I guess we'll see that if they go somewhere else and thrive. We already know that Ford was a miss by the entire draft industry.
  10. He's like Rich Bisaccia last year. Comes in and cleans up a mess. Gets the players to buy in after a difficult situation. Then, the owner goes out and hires a name HC.
  11. Me too, but he was going to get either this job or the HC job in Arizona.
  12. They drafted Matt Corral in the third last year who promptly got hurt in preseason. There may be something there.
  13. No. He'll get an OC job somewhere once all the HC jobs are filled.
  14. Kyle Shanahan never replaced Mike McDaniel in SF. There is no one with that job title. McDermott could do the same.
  15. I'm going to preemptively agree that mock drafts are not worth the server space they occupy if you are using them to predict what player goes to what team. They do have a use, in my opinion. That use is to go back to see what the consensus was around a player if that player doesn't end up working out. Since there is a general consensus around there that Brandon Beane is a "poor drafter," I went back to try to see if any of his "bad" picks could be classified as reaches. Cody Ford (38th): This is perhaps his biggest failure in the NFL draft, not only because the player didn't work out but also due to the opportunity costs. I mean, just imagine AJ Brown opposite Diggs. But was it a reach? No. Ford was a consensus first rounder that the Bills got in the second. The entire NFL draft industry missed on this one. Bleacher Report: 14th pick in the FIRST ROUND: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2827208-2019-nfl-mock-draft-matt-millers-latest-3-round-picks-with-one-month-to-go Chad Reuter: 28th in the FIRST ROUND: https://www.nfl.com/news/chad-reuter-2019-seven-round-nfl-mock-draft-round-1-0ap3000001027100 Daniel Jeremiah: 14 in the FIRST ROUND: https://www.nfl.com/news/daniel-jeremiah-2019-nfl-mock-draft-4-0-redskins-land-haskins-0ap3000001027778 SB Nation: 28th in the FIRST ROUND: https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2019/4/24/18515245/2019-nfl-mock-draft-kyler-murray-dwayne-haskins-ed-oliver-quinnen-williams-nick-bosa Ed Oliver: (9th): Ed was a consensus top-10 pick (Same draft so no links). Jeremiah: 4th Reuter: 7th BR: 12th SB Nation: 3rd Carlos Boogie Basham (61st): At this point, Boogie doesn't look like an NFL player. At the time, I hated the pick because I had no idea who he was. But what was the thinking before the 2021 NFL draft? Chad Reuter: 35th: https://www.nfl.com/news/seven-round-2021-nfl-mock-draft-round-2-elijah-moore-among-5-wrs-selected Ryan Wilson @ CBS: 22nd in the FIRST ROUND: https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/2021-nfl-mock-draft-all-7-rounds-four-qbs-go-in-top-7-joined-by-kyle-pitts-jamarr-chase-and-jaylen-waddle/ Walter Football : 53rd: https://walterfootball.com/draft2021_2.php A.J. Epenesa: (54th): Again, he looks like a fringe NFL player at this point. I also hated this pick, but because I'm not looking at Iowa defensive ends not because I knew anything. Bucky Brooks: 20th in the FIRST ROUND: https://www.nfl.com/news/bucky-brooks-2020-nfl-mock-draft-4-0-tua-tagovailoa-falls-to-9-0ap3000001109299 Walter Football: 40th: https://walterfootball.com/draft2020_2.php Dan Schneier @ CBS: 35th. This mock also has Justin Jefferson to the Pats. Thank god that didn't happen. Reuter: 46th I could go on, but the only absolute reach that I can find in Beane's drafting record is Terrel Bernard in the 2022 draft. The Bills drafted him at 89, and the highest mock that I can find is Walter Football, who had him at 119. You could call Groot a reach, but if he doesn't go late in the first all the mocks had him within the first few picks of the second round. This is in contrast to Buddy Nix, where every pick felt like a reach. So where does this leave us? Beane is drafting guys about where the so-called experts expect them to go or is getting a bit of a steal in terms of expectations. So the problem is either scouting, Beane's inability to see beyond the consensus and trust his own scouts, or player development. I have no idea, but I do know that the Bills had better get this draft right.
  16. When you have an offense that can score a lot of points, forcing the other team to chew up clock by preventing the big plays is counter productive. We should be playing attacking defense in an attempt to get the ball back to Josh and the offense. In the Bills case, a 7-minute TD scoring drive is really the worst possible outcome.
  17. If the Bills were not in the division, I would so want Rodgers to go to NY just to see the back page headlines on the post.
  18. That's what people thought in Denver too. And last year, Rodgers was an actual FA so moving on from him would have cost GB nothing. Now they take a huge dead cap hit.
  19. That's good because the FA WRs are pure dog poop and the ones in this draft aren't much better.
  20. Yes they did. Nate Hackett's primary job is not coaching, it's Aaron Rodgers bait.
  21. That's of course depending on Wilks not getting the Carolina job. He and Reich both got second interviews there. https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2023/01/25/steve-wilks-frank-reich-move-on-to-second-interviews-with-panthers/
  22. The FA WR group this year is not good. A middling guy like DJ Chark is going to get massively overpaid. https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/free-agents/all/wide-receiver/all/
  23. Hard to run the ball when we were down 14-0 after only 3 Bills offensive plays.
  24. He shouldn’t need 4 seconds. This offense needs to speed up.
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