The draft is pretty much a crap shoot. Let's look at another team's pick. I think that most would agree that Baltimore is a good drafting team. Well in 2018, they took Hayden Hurst at pick #25. He was the first TE off the board that year. Well, two years later the Ravens liked Hurst so much that they traded him to the Falcons for a second-rounder. The Falcons declined his fifth-year option and he hit FA after his fourth season. He signed with the Bengals, which was lauded as a slam-dunk signing. Well, the Bengals liked Hurst so much that they didn't even offer him a contract after this season. He's now on the Panthers. That's four teams in six seasons for a guy that was considered to be a sure thing.