It's bad...(per the Census Bureau)
________Est. Erie County____Est.City of Buffalo___Rest of County
2009________909,247_________270,240___________639,007
2008________909,858_________271,220
2007________911,784_________272,492
2006________916,292_________274,740
2005________923,820_________277,998
2004________932,002_________281,757
2003________936,931_________284,612
2002________940,645_________287,139
2001________945,165_________289,657
2000________950,265_________292,648___________657,617
2000-09 ___-41,018________-22,408_________-18,610
______________-4.3%___________-7.7%____________-2.8%
The one thing we can hold out hope for is the 2010 census may show the 2003-09 loss estimates were too high. This happened with the 1990 and 2000 census results, which are more accurate than the intercensal estimates.