We have to get to 10 & 6 to have any sort of chance. And 10 & 6 could very well not make it this year due to stiff WC competition, and in particular Bills lose head to head against Chargers and Chiefs, and gave away head to head last night against Dolphins.
But here's the biggest problem (other than our pathetic offense). Getting 10 wins means winning 5 of our last 6. 3 of those games are to powerhouse teams with elite QBs (packers, broncos, pats), and 2 of them (broncos, pats) are on the road. So we need to win the so-called "winnable" games against jets, raiders and Cleveland (although they must look at us as their "winnable" game now), and somehow go 2 and 1 against packers, broncos and pats.
Folks, it's over.