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Everything posted by DC Tom
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The Situation With Iran Goes Hot - Shots Fired
DC Tom replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Those missiles are not that accurate. Most have a CEP on the order of a thousand meters or so. If they Iranians "chose" to aim at dirt, they would have missed and hit something of value. -
The Deep State War Heats Up :ph34r:
DC Tom replied to Deranged Rhino's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Yes, it's the same foreign policy principle Clinton pursued with North Korea: "Just don't do anything during our administration, and we'll reward you." -
The Deep State War Heats Up :ph34r:
DC Tom replied to Deranged Rhino's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
There's not a single clip of me saying "Trump" anywhere either. So why the ***** hasn't my life insurance paid out yet? -
The Impeachment Trial of President Donald J. Trump
DC Tom replied to Nanker's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Good Lord...look at all the replies saying the House has the right to determine Senate procedure. People really are stupid. -
The Situation With Iran Goes Hot - Shots Fired
DC Tom replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
That's about the failure rate I would have expected - little better, actually. Like I said last night, Iran has a significant aerospace capability, but little opportunity to test. And Western failure rates are better...but not by much. 10% or so. depending on the platform and weapon. As I recall, the Minuteman III's reliability rate was only around 70%. -
The Situation With Iran Goes Hot - Shots Fired
DC Tom replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
And Boeing. It's like we hit the 2019 trifecta. -
Not since we assassinated him, at least.
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The Situation With Iran Goes Hot - Shots Fired
DC Tom replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Erbil's an important archaeological site and important to Kurdish and Assyrian culture, btw. "But...Trump!" Idiots. -
Personally, I think the embassy attack, the tanker attacks, and the constant low-level conflict he was fostering in Sunni Iraq justified his assassination.
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The Situation With Iran Goes Hot - Shots Fired
DC Tom replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
He's not on TV, so he's not addressing the troops? Shut the ***** up, idiot. You don't know what he's doing right now. -
Yep, those are technically ballistic projectiles. So's a rock thrown from a trebuchet. That's why I made the distinction between "technically" and "practically." The bases were hit with either cruise missiles (powered flight), or ballistic missiles (free ballistic trajectory).
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Probably. I mean...in the Iran-Iraq war, in the "War of the Cities" phase, Iranian ballistic missiles were roughly equivalent to the German V-2 - they could reliably hit the ground, but that's about it. I assume they're equipment has gotten better in the past 30 years, since Iran's aerospace industry is surprisingly decent, and they've had 30 years to develop things. But they've also been under sanctions, isolated, and doing it largely on their own with little opportunity for testing. So their reliability is probably not very high.
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That has interesting command and control implications. Fortunately, Iranian ballistic missiles are roughly as accurate as Tibs' posts, so I'm not too worried.
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Third wave? What's the second? I assume the current missiling of Iraqi bases is the first.
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A "simple rocket" is the definition of "ballistic." A ballistic missile is a rocket that follows a ballistic path determined by its initial impulse. Technically, that's anything from an Estes rocket to a Saturn V...but realistically, that's any substantial rocket with minimal guidance, from a FROG-3 with a six mile range to an LGM-118 Minuteman.
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Iran cooperated closely with US intelligence after 9/11, in no small part because Iran was already at war with Afghanistan, as the Taliban had a nasty habit of killing Iranian diplomats, which kind-of torqued them off. Maybe they allowed transit before 9/11 - doubtful - but if they did, they've assuaged their guilt.
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Yes, I know. Redundancy can be pretty redundant sometimes.
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That's crazy. You...don't actually know what "ballistic" means, do you?
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The Post and NYT wrote up the Fat Leonard scandal, too, so I wouldn't be that quick to accuse DR of tossing around baseless conspiracies in that case.
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It's entirely possible for several thousand immigrants to have the same address, and it not be fraud. Y'know...aside from them being here illegally to begin with. But even then, there's about 50 programs by which illegal immigrants can get residency, under which they would frequently use a third-party's address as their legal address (say, a non-profit's which specialized in immigrant legal representation.)
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Ricky Gervais nailed it!! Golden Globe opening
DC Tom replied to BringBackFergy's topic in Off the Wall Archives
Hey, spoiler alert! Don't give away the plot of the next Kingsman movie! -
She's kinda cute for 40. Too bad she's 19.
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But did they use the same SSN?
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Probably did. DIA or NSA. It certainly didn't come from CIA.