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Everything posted by DrDawkinstein
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Even as someone who wants McD gone, I'm clicking this link with a grain of salt. Dunne is a decent writer, but trying to do his own thing independently makes him a little more desparate for clicks than even the normal sports media. Plus, his main source into the NFL is Doug Whaley. So whatever damning piece he write about this regime needs to be tempered a bit. That said, fire McD. Firing Dorsey was the right move tho. Maybe an incomplete move as ownership probably should have fired the HC too. But Dorsey needed to go, regardless of the politics behind it or how we feel about McD. The Offense was sputtering. The Offense was going the first 3 quarters of games without scoring while the D held on for dear life allowing only 10 points. The Offense was the main problem. Now that has been addressed, Josh is "back", and we've scored over 30 points each game since Dorsey was let go. Time to address the Defense. Hand the whole thing over to Brady at this point.
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I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
Bro, it's not even worth this effort. I've been making these same arguments since page 2. And they havent even been arguments, just analyzing the real data and seeing what the actual truth is. It doest matter what you can actually prove. Folks here FEEL like we've been lopsided to Defensive spending and anything you show them to prove otherwise will only result in moving the goal posts. We havent been lopsided in drafting, nor free agency spending, nor cap % spending. -
Greenberg - A Jets Fan - Pushing Back Against The Allen Hate
DrDawkinstein replied to H2o's topic in The Stadium Wall
Never said he shouldnt be praised. Mahomes is absolutely deserving of every worshipping comment. The point is that both QBs are worthy of praise and both are worthy of criticism. But what we get is 90% criticism of Allen, and 99% praise of Mahomes. If winning a Super Bowl makes it so no one ever criticizes your play again, and other QBs will be only criticized until they win a Super Bowl, then the commentary and analysis isnt worth jack squat (not that it means much in the grand scheme of the world anyways). -
I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
The list at face value doesnt show that. If you want to compile that data to prove the point you have been trying to make, go ahead. -
I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
That was a totally different type of restructure than the usual "convert salary to bonus" lever that gets pulled and we are referring to. They addressed 4 years at once. AND the Chiefs are still in the top 5 for Offensive spending. Not sure who they are paying on that squad outside of Pat and Kelce. Bills restructured about $30M in salaries this season which put them in a -$11M spend Offense:Defense. Otherwise we'd be spending a lot more on Offense. You say other teams did that too. Who? Look, I dont want to keep this back and forth going all night. I dont even disagree that much with things you are saying. But you're saying a whole lot seemingly based on feels, and when pressed for data and/or analysis, change the argument. I don't see any clear cut evidence so far that shows the Bills spend a disproportionate amount on Defense over Offense. Not draft picks, not FA signings, not Cap space. "More" on Defense than Offense? Sure. A bit. But nothing crazy. Anyone who wants to make that argument needs to do some work and provide the real numbers. -
I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
Who did? -
I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
Like we did this year that pushed our Offensive spending so slightly under our Defensive spending? -
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Greenberg - A Jets Fan - Pushing Back Against The Allen Hate
DrDawkinstein replied to H2o's topic in The Stadium Wall
I dont think the point of that graphic is to say they are the best two QBS, as much as it shows Josh's numbers align very closely to (if not better than) Mahomes, yet Josh is constantly criticized and Mahomes is constantly worshipped.- 181 replies
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I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
Right. And this was the first year Josh's new contract was supposed to kick in (but the restructure kicked that can a bit). So with an $18M cap hit, we are in that same situation as everyone but the Vikings. Now, that is all set to change next year (unless we restructure Josh again). Where in 2024 the Bills will are spending $155M on Offense and $120M on Defense, flipping our differential to a +$35M number. -
Greenberg - A Jets Fan - Pushing Back Against The Allen Hate
DrDawkinstein replied to H2o's topic in The Stadium Wall
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I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
Hey some real info! Ok, lets take a look... 1. Bills spend a ton more on Defense than Offense We spent $111M on Defense and $91M on Offense. $10M difference doesnt seem that imbalanced given it that is 1 decent contract. Or splitting it to even both sides out would just mean 1 more $5M/yr player on Offense. Meh. 2. Bills spend a ton more on Defense than league average. Bills spent $111M. League average is $84M. So we're on to something there. This year. 3. Bills Offense:Defense Spending Differential is out of line with the rest of the league, and/or hindering our team Here are the teams with the lowest Offense:Defense spend (meaning the spend favors the Defense) 1. Panthers -$31M 2. Steelers -$25M 3. Bills -$11.5M 4. Packers -$11M 5. 49ers -$11M 6. Seahawks -$8.5M 7. Patriots -$6M 8. Dolphins -$6M 9. Chargers -$6M 10. Vikings -$4.4M Here are the teams with the highest Offense:Defense spend (meaning the spend favors the Offense) 1. Lions +$50M 2. Raiders +$46M 3. Ravens +$42M 4. Browns +$41.5M 5. Rams +$34M 6. Chiefs +$31M 7. Broncos +$30M 8. Texans +$27M 9. Cardinals +$26M 10. Giants +$24M My biggest takeaway: Lots of playoff teams in both groups and lots of stinkers in both groups. The other thing I noticed is if you click around on the different years at the top of that overthecap page, teams jump around drastically year to year. So there really isn't a way to say "X team always spends too much on this side of the ball". Really seems like it comes down to specific contracts in each individual year. If there's something else you want these numbers to say then my ears are open. -
I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
Because the point you are trying to prove is how much the Bills spend on Offense vs how much the Bills spend on Defense. Telling us where we rank against the rest of the league in Defensive spending doesnt tell us anything towards the main argument. A team could be FIRST in defensive spending and still spend more on offense. You have yet to prove any of this. Not saying it isnt that way, but you havent shown it. That's right, my bad. Looks like I had spotrac set to 2024. They're at about 15% of our cap. Throw in the next biggest contract (Morse, offense) now you are at 20%. Throw in the next biggest contract after that (Dawkins, offense), now you are at about 25%. Then we finally start getting some Defensive contracts. -
I get the utility of him. I just meant it more as way to avoid all these embarrassing moments with a coaching staff who doesnt believe in him but cant say it, but then someone leaks it anyways, and then the HC has to back track. Cut him and remove all doubt and wonder. Plow ahead with whatever backup loser they have in waiting. Gonna be the same result anyways.
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The Jets should just cut him already. I believe they could absorb the cap hit right now, escalate the dead money hit to this year, and move on. He isnt the future. He isnt even the right now. Just causing more issues than solving.
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I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
Meaningless stat factoid without providing any other context (or real numbers/stats). It's a relative statement. "2nd most". So what? That does not intrinsically state we are lopsided towards that side of the ball. Just that other teams havent spent as much. Provide the context to other teams, or at least the context to our own Offense, and some detail. Otherwise, there is no point being made here. -
Week 14, Bills v. Chefs - Predict the Score
DrDawkinstein replied to Freddie's Dead's topic in The Stadium Wall
Never underestimate how good McD is at getting his team to play down to the level of their opponent. -
I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
This seems to be the theme in here. Do your own work! -
Week 14, Bills v. Chefs - Predict the Score
DrDawkinstein replied to Freddie's Dead's topic in The Stadium Wall
Pats a cake walk? -
I hope that Beane stops listening to McDermott when drafting
DrDawkinstein replied to margolbe's topic in The Stadium Wall
Whichever stat you want to dig out to fit your narrative! I replied earlier showing that the drafting has not been out of balance. @TheyCallMeAndy just provided a link showing that Free Agency has been balanced. So let's move those goal posts to cap %! Something will prove this right eventually! (spoiler alert: with Josh and Stef alone accounting for 30% of the cap, not sure that's going to work out either) -
Bills Cap Breakdown by Greg Tompsett
DrDawkinstein replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Restructuring IS Pegula dumping a bunch of money into the bank account. When you restructure and convert base salary to guaranteed money, the owner has to cut a check for that guaranteed amount at that time. It doesnt come out of the normal cap bucket paid for by revenue. Every restructure we pull IS Pegula dumping cash into the team so Beane can go sign other players. -
Bills Cap Breakdown by Greg Tompsett
DrDawkinstein replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
I dont disagree with that. That is why it's crucial to draft our next WR1 in this draft. Then we have a 1WR on a cheap rookie deal throughout the 4 years left on Diggs' contract. Then you are paying a total of about $30M for TWO 1WRs. Bonus if we snag a WR in the 1st and have that 5th year option as a cheap year the year Diggs is gone. -
Bills Cap Breakdown by Greg Tompsett
DrDawkinstein replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yes, he deserves to retire as a Bill, and there's nothing bitter about it. -
Bills Cap Breakdown by Greg Tompsett
DrDawkinstein replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Bag of empty cans from the parking lot.