gonzo1105

When we have been really good we have been really good even though that has been few and far between but even when we have been bad we usually were anywhere from 6-10 to 8-8 most seasons and we're hardly ever 2-14 etc etc.

Nolan's tape at Texas A&M is not good all the time. That could be the concern as well that evaluators are seeing and he turned it on at Missisissippi but he still does have issues. I just think the upside is too much for him to fall to the 2nd round. As for Pearce man I hope thats not us saying that but it sure does sound like us. The things that makes me hold out hope is that usually the Bills don't let things leak very often but it would kill me to see Pearce drop to us, exactly what we need on the defensive line for him to end up in KC or Philadelphia and kill it.

Honestly don't believe that either will be available to the Bills imo

I 100% agree with @GunnerBill on this one. You’re taking Williams as a size guy who has no pass rush repertoire at all. I have a slightly higher grade but I had him at 27 in my first mock and the team taking him is taking him with the hopes they can coach him into a pass rusher. As for Jalon Walker I wouldn’t take him either. He’s a better pass rusher but he is such a tweener to take in the first 15 picks and he just isn’t a good fit for a 4-3 in general imo.

I don’t think l would pass on James Pearce who he has falling out of the first due to character concerns. The Bills need high level defensive lineman though and can’t afford to let him get by them with two teams notoriously known for taking high level players with character concerns. I actually think that McMillian going between 10-20 makes sense as he was vastly overrated early in the process. Had him at 12 in my first mock but could see him going later

There are some rumors out there that James Pearce is free falling due to major character concerns. If he gets to 30 or close to it and we pass and he ends up in KC or Philly(two teams who don’t care) I’ll be so damn pissed. He’s exactly what this team needs as a pass rusher

I don’t take offense to your comments. If you read above, I tend not to care about consensus. Consensus gets you in trouble. Consensus a month ago had Mike Green as the 40th pick and now consensus has him in the top 20 with some projecting him in the top 10. As for a Nose at 30, I totally understand and get the pick and why people want it. As for a 1T the Bills have not invested in that position not only highly but at all via the draft. The only 1T they have taken in Beane/McDermotts tenure was Harrison Phillips. That can change but I’ll believe it when I see it. As for Williams I don’t value him at 30. He’s a good run stuffer but provides very little in the way of pass rush. I don’t see investment in a 2 down run stuffer at that pick. A lot of people were quacking for T’Vondre Sweat last year in round 1 and he was taken at 38 but he provided the Titans with no pass rush. I disagree that Tre Harris and Keon Coleman are the same besides their size. Harris is more of a move Z and he does need development which I stated in the post and followed up that if the Bills went Royals or another WR I would understand . I believe ultimately, as things stand now that the Bills will take a CB at 30 if I could do it over as I see them shifting to a man philosophy moving forward

I agree that the Browns should go Quarterback and if Ward is there I think they will go that route. I think there is a bigger gap between Ward and Sanders than Sanders and Dart in my opinion so if Ward is on the board, which is a possibility than I think the Browns will go that route. If Ward goes to the Titans, I think the Browns could go Sanders but wouldn't surprise me in the least that they take Hunter/Carter. With that said, I think the Titans are posturing right now. By saying hey hey we might not take a QB, they are baiting teams right now to try to trade up with them because there isn't a single elite graded prospect in this draft in my opinion. Wouldn't surprise me one bit to see all this posturing then see Ward go off the board first.

Too early to tell and the Bills do have a history of “redshirting guys” for a year before you see the returns on them. I see a draft filled with guys who will have lengthy but maybe not big difference makers type draft. With that said, that has been the problem with the Bills. Guys who contribute but aren’t impactful when it matters most. I want to see Bishop after a full offseason under his belt. I think Carter was coming on a bit before his injury. Grable and Davis were solid. Solomon showed flashes and Coleman still is young but Worthy and McConkey doing what they did certainly didn’t help put ease into Bills fans.

I watch a ton of college ball to start . My wife hates me during football season. I’ll DVR and watch others I don’t watch live. When I have access to All-22 on the internet I’ll utilize it. I do watch highlight films for the sole purpose of traits. I used to scout in the college game and traits to me are highly important in comparison to College production. I do not and I know a lot of people do this but I do not seek the opinion of others during the process. I rely on me and me alone. You won’t see me on draft websites to verify or differentiate from what I see. Makes it confusing to me. I will do it to see where they are projected to see if I agree or disagree For example I have Dillion Gabriel at 11 in Quarterbacks. I’m probably the only person who wouldn’t have him in the top 10 but he’s restricted to one system because he has a noodle arm( I don’t believe the 74 MPH gun radar throw) . He will struggle imo unless he has elite weapons around him. Opposite that, I have Tyler Shough at # 4. Im probably one of a few to have that. I see a lesser armed Matthew Stafford in his game. His play style really mimics Stafford. He didn’t have any weapons around him but has above average traits to be a starter in the NFL imo if he finds himself in the right system. Yes I look for different things at different positions. For example at Defensive End I look for pass rush moves being developed. I long talked about Mike Green when he was being talked about as a 2nd rounder and stated he was a top 20 pick because he has advanced pass rush moves. I think the same way about Ezeiruaku out of BC but he’s not as high because he doesn’t have the elite athleticism that Green has. I do look at player comps if that’s what you’re asking. Some comparisons on the QBs are Shough- Stafford, Milroe- Travaris Jackson, Ewers- Colt McCoy. I assign a grade for every player based on a 7.5 grade scale. 7.5 and up is an elite player, 7.0 to 7.5 is a first round pick, 6.5 to 7.0 2nd Round, 6.0-6.5 3rd etc etc . Hope that helps. Any questions please feel free to ask

Top 10 Running Backs: 1. Ashton Jeanty Boise State 2. Omarion Hampton North Carolina 3. Treveyon Henderson Ohio State 4. Kaleb Johnson Iowa 5. Lequint Allen Syracuse 6. Dylan Sampson Tennessee 7. Brashard Smith SMU 8. Cam Skattebo Arizona State 9. Quinshon Judkins Ohio State 10. Devin Neal Kansas

Going to start my top 10 positional rankings and figured I would tuck it away in here. Will change some positioning after the combine and will produce at top 100 at some point as well. Figured I'd really put myself out there in a very unpredictable year. I also will include my ranking of players and where I have them graded. Starting with the Quarterbacks, I do not feel this is a very good year at all but hey who knows with Quarterbacks. Quarterbacks: 1. Cam Ward QB Miami- 2. Shedeur Sanders QB Colorado 3. Jaxson Dart QB Ole Miss 4. Tyler Shough QB Louisville 5. Kyle McCord QB Syracuse 6. Jalen Milroe QB Alabama 7. Kurtis Rourke QB Indiana 8. Quinn Ewers QB Indiana 9. Will Howard QB Ohio State 10. Seth Henigan QB Memphis

Way too early without the combine byt I don’t think Kenneth Grant is realistic. Guys that big who can move like he does don’t last until 30 unless he has injury or character concerns. I think realistically I’d prefer Shavon Revel or AZ Thomas as CBs and maybe Derrick Harmon or Alfred Collins as DTs Defensive Ends: Donovan Ezeiruaku. Hard for the DEs because they’re kind of all over the place. I think CB your going to get better value at 30 if Harmon is gone

I like Dolac. Think he could go late in the draft still but sometimes having great college production doesn’t translate to NFL success. Id draft him in the 7th depending on how he runs but combine or no combine he will get his shot to prove himself regardless

My 2024 was: 1st Round: Ladd McConkey 2nd Round: Cole Bishop 2023: 1st Round: Dalton Kincaid 2nd Round: Trenton Simpson I used to do a 7 rounder in another site with other live GM with trades didn’t do it this year or last. 2023: 2nd Round: Dawand Jones OT 2nd Round: Tucker Kraft TE 3rd Round: Tyler Scott WR 3rd Round: Jartavius Martin S 4th Round: Chase Brown RB 5th Round: Nick Saldiveri OT 5th Round: KJ Henry DE 6th Round: Brodric Martin DT 7th Round: Kaevon Merriweather S Analysis: Jones was pretty solid as a rookie making all rookie team but it’s still tbd with him. Kraft is a pro bowl TE ill. Scott is a bust. Martin is turning into a sold safety for the Commanders after a slow year 1. Brown is a stud. Saldiveri is a backup in NO. Henry has bounced around the league. Martin has been bad. Merriweather has started some games for TB and been a solid depth player Overall looking like 4 starters in Jones, Kraft, Martin and Brown. Saldiveri might get a shot next year to start and Merriweather was good value late in round 7. Brodric Martin, , Scott, and Henry look like guys who might not make it. 2022: I was the Colts GM as there is another Bills fan I fight with for them on the site. As Colts GM they also had no first rounder that year: 2nd Round: Alec Pierce WR 3rd Round: Nicholas Petite Frere OT 3rd Round: Martin Emerson CB 3rd Round: Jeremy Ruckert TE 5th Round: Danny Gray WR 6th Round: Malcolm Rodriguez LB 6th Round: Esezi Otomewo DE 7th Round: Dellsrisn Turner Yell S 7th Round: James Mitchell TE 7th Round : Ja’Tyre Carter OG Analysis: Pierce is steadily improving as a big play WR but still not worthy of 2nd Round. Frere starts but sucks. Emerson was really solid until he fell off a cliff this year. Ruckert at this stage is a bust. Gray is a bust . Rodriguez was a good pick in round 6. Otomewo is barely hanging on in the league. Yell is a good value in 7. Mitchell and Carter are barely hanging on as well. This draft sucked outside of Emerson and Pierce. I have more years if anyone is curious to see as it’s all archived.

Paulson Adebo is my # 1 guy in FA for the Bills. Can we afford him I’m not sure but he’s the guy I want # 1 Nick Westbrook Ikhine might be a nice field stretching WR with us who shouldn’t break the bank. Malcolm Koonce is a good wild card Defensive End to take a chance on. Upside is definitely there to be a good player. Jason Pinnock is a solid safety much in the same realm of Hyde when we signed him.

He is right when it comes to the early vs late picks. Usually the GM and Coach and top front office guys are seeing the early prospect while the scouts take over on Day 3. Maybe Beane and McDermott should defer to the scouts in the early rounds

Too many QB needy teams and he is the clear # 3 guy. Teams like the Steelers, Raiders, Browns, Rams, Jets, Seattle are all gonna need QBs now or in the near future

Do not be surprised when Jaxson Dart goes somewhere in round 1

When I think of bust there has to be expectation for the player. Peterman should have never played but the Bills drafted him in round 5. Mike Williams and Aaron Maybin are probably my top 2 with Elam, McCargo, Terell Troup, Erik Flowers, Lonnie Johnson, Tony Hunter in the next tier.

I’ve been saying their taking 3 DL this draft

I think smart business would be to keep him on the 5 million, franchise tag him next year and see what his market is on the tag, if you reach a deal that’s great. If not get some value for him. If no one has trade interest at that salary, play him on the tag , let him go and take the comp pick. Use a draft pick on a RB this year and re-sign Johnson and keep 4 on the roster this year. Cook re-signs the Rookir replaces Ty Johnson, if he doesn’t you have your replacement for Cook. I think Lequint Allen from Syracuse would be a great mid round pick

2026 is the next year for the purging of contracts. It looked like Beane set it up for 2024 and 2026 as the years to get out of some contracts that maybe aren't living up to what they hoped.

Yea I went on OTC and clicked the trade option and I thought it was a mistake tbh. I couldn’t believe it. The Jags went all in on Lawrence

I understand what your saying but if they trade him they are taking on a 100 million dollar dead cap this year, 80+ million next year and 60 + mill the year after that.