Dr. Who

Franklin could be there at #28. I think there's an outside chance Polk is there at #60, and the cost to make a modest jump in the second shouldn't be prohibitive.

Ultimately, that is probably often the case.

They'd have to devote the first two picks to WR for that to happen. I think Beane should. The folks who focus on D want to spend the early picks on DT, Edge, and S. They think the focus on WR weapons is indulgent and foolish. There's one fella who believes all the offense needs is a serviceable WR2, and everything else should be poured into the other side of the ball. He's fully absorbed McD's proclivities. I don't see an Edge player worth #28. The few that will go before then, frankly, are not more important than getting Josh Allen superior weapons. And I personally think you can find a few DTs in the middle rounds. You won't find a true IT, and if Sweat is there in the second, maybe you have to consider that, but I think this is the year to go heavy at WR. Those who say you can wait because it is a deep draft at the position are getting it wrong. It's the perfect year to double dip early, and maybe take another swing late, because you multiply your chances in a year with greater potential hits to improve at one of the premium, impact positions, and to do so on rookie deals. And to those who rhetorically ask "What are you going to do to fix the D?" my answer is, "well, so far, pouring a lot of prime draft resources into the D has produced abysmal playoff failure." This doesn't mean neglect the defense, but this is a year for an asymetrical approach. Bolster the Oline and the WR weapons early. Get younger on D with the mid-round picks, rather than the usual strategy of using those picks to supplement the receiving corps. All that said, I expect WR in round one likely, followed by round 2 and 3 devoted to DL and S.

The feng shui of the universe is difficult to calculate, but you might be the Lucky Charm.

Greenway and Joki in OT. UPL playing well, they finally show some heart.

I don't even want to contemplate those devil Chiefs jumping us to grab Thomas. If Beane has to overpay to stop that, I'm okay with it.

I think if they lose out on Thomas, Franklin and Coleman are likely their preference at #28. I expect if either is available, they will be the pick. If they are all gone, Ligette is ahead of Worthy, imo. I'd love Worthy as a second receiver, but they absolutely need a much bigger receiver at the X. I'm starting to see Rice showing up as a possible second rounder, which seems a little high to me, but I like him. Polk was an underrated one-term president, and I'd be pleased to add him to the WR room.

I think Alec Anderson ought to be a real consideration at C.

You're forgetting Cole Bishop. If they go WR and DT in the first two rounds, they could all be gone by #99.

I agree on Douglas, he fits McD's D well. The global point, however, is spot on.

I don't see any chance Odunze drops within trade range. Thomas might, Worthy will probably be there. He's really a twig, though a fast one.

Spends a lot of time talking about the enigma of Coleman, and then an intriguing bit about McConkey at the end.

For sure, it would have to be a situation where we traded back from #28.

Yes, that is my sense of it, but most of the folks whose opinion I trust appear to disagree with me.

Are you ruling Mitchell out of consideration at #28 because of lack of speed? I still think he is going to be good. And personally, I would take McConkey in the second, and it wouldn't shock me if someone takes him late first. (I am biased, because I am an UGA fan, but I think McConkey plays beyond his measurables. I also think he is more capable of playing on the outside than many are crediting.)

I do think there are a few elite WRs it would be worth moving up for, but the cost would be prohibitive. If Nabers slipped to 20, which won't happen, I would try to get him. It would be foolish for a GM to look at a prior situation that did not work out and turn it into an iron law against ever moving up for WR, for instance. However, I didn't say move up for WR. I said in effect, don't use a deep draft at WR as a reason to wait until the 3rd round to take one. Again, you are cherry-picking. The best chance of drafting an elite WR is to take one early, and then take a shot in the mid-rounds. You don't say, oh, here are examples of later round gems, we can wait. By that logic, teams should wait till the sixth round to take a QB, because Tom Brady was available. Further, there are not many exceptional Edge players that are likely to be there at #28. I doubt there will be a DT that merits the selection. It's great that Shakir was coming on. Cook and Kincaid are weapons. We have no exceptional boundary receivers. We don't have an X with reliable hands that can stretch the field. We lack explosive speed. Diggs is aging and was ineffective the second half of last year. Maybe, give Josh Allen, your once-in-a-lifetime generational talent at QB, some elite, young WR talent to work with, instead of always asking him to elevate middle round picks and mediocre free agents.

If you find that universe, go out and buy a lottery ticket.

I'd like to see Brady find creative ways to get them both on the field, if that were to play out. I'd be shocked if it did. I'm an UGA fan. Also like both Polk and Rice. So, I mostly just said, I like those fellas, I'm taking them. No consequences when it's make-believe.

I don't hate Knox, but he's overpriced for what he brings. This would be better. Won't happen, of course.

A significant portion of the fan base thinks jumping through tables and being splattered with condiments is a joyous rite of passage.

Decided to concentrate on WR, DT, S, but they just handed me a fella at 28, so I took him. 28. Brock Bowers TE Georgia 60. Ja'Lynn Polk WR Washington 124. Jordan Jefferson DT LSU 128. Tykee Smith S Georgia 131. Javon Solomon EDGE Troy 158. Brenden Rice WR USC 161. Malik Mustapha S Wake Forest 180. Fabien Lovett DT Florida State 197. Marshawn Kneeland EDGE Western Michigan 201. Anim Dankwah OT Howard 205. Kendall Milton RB Georgia

That show me stuff, what does it really mean? Of course, anyone can say after the fact, I'll believe it, because, frankly, there's nothing to believe, just acknowledge. I'm right there with you. We need to add smartly, and then there is the caprice of the gods, but it's not ridiculous optimism to be bullish on the Bills.

Because it's a deep draft at WR, you conclude we should take DTs in the first two rounds? That is complete crazy talk. First, you should prioritize the premium positions at the top of the draft. QB, WR, LT, CB. DT is not one of those. You can find big, serviceable DTs in the middle of the draft. You can find quick slot receivers there, too. A boundary receiver with size and speed is much harder to find. The best receivers are going in the top 40, and that's allowing for tier 1, tier 2, and probably a few of tier 3. Sure, I take Sweat in the 2nd if he is there. I might even trade up a bit to grab him if I've already secured WR in the first. And if you are taking D that early, safety is very important in McD's system, though I think free agency and an early day 3 pick can address the need. The best thing to help Josh Allen is giving him quality WRs. A truly potent offense that scares the other team is what we should be, not a solid offense with Josh Allen elevating day 2 and 3 Wrs. That will also help our D by putting the other team more often in catch-up mode, which simplifies the options.

I agree with a fair amount of this, and I certainly can empathize with the feeling. I still think @GunnerBill and @BADOLBILZ are correct that the relative lack of elite playmakers vs. a team like the Chiefs is the more abiding deficiency. If you add an exceptional WR and someone on D that can do what we hoped Von Miller would contribute, the margin for error gets much bigger.

I don't think it is easy. Nothing meaningful in life is easy. They could miss, sure, but this is a deep draft for WR. If they take at least two, one early, there's a reasonable chance they upgrade the WR room in a way that moves the needle. They are replacing a bunch of aging DL that for the most part is mediocre at best. Getting younger is easy; draft some. The hard part is getting good players that fit your system, but I think it's not a very high bar to match what they are replacing. Safety is a harder nut to crack, because Poyer and Hyde are exceptional, though grizzled vets. There's a surplus of good FA safeties this year, and it's a position that often cannot command high numbers. I think we will sign someone there, might keep Poyer one more year, and draft a rookie with promise. I have confidence in the coaches when it comes to safety. In short, the case for probable is not outlandish, and it does not require replacing Beane or McD.