Dr. Who

I think Beane may have a stealth splash move planned. Rework Dawkins and Allen, sign DJ Reader.

I like Jackson Powers. I doubt that happens, but it would be interesting. Doesn't change the fact that draft strategy in the first is typically driven by positional value. I was one of the few who was arguing for Kincaid months before the draft, btw. You can look it up if you're particularly bored. It was a weak WR draft, and he is a playmaker. We still need more of them, especially at WR.

Zebras tried their best. UPL deserved it.

Kincaid is not a conventional TE. Beane called him a flex, but he's really a hybrid big slot. And worth the pick. I don't see anyone at the positions you are recommending who is likely to be of more value than the top WR left on their board. And in general, you spend the high draft picks on the positions that are expensive to fill in free agency. Beane is not going to jump a round to grab the top NT, and I doubt he's got a first round grade on Sweat, for instance.

He should be able to find enough cap space to bring in a DT, maybe resign Epenesa, and pluck one of the veteran safeties available. It doesn't seem an exorbitant ask to me. Beane will find a way to get a third. I can't believe he will be content with one pick on day 2.

Beane does not like to have holes on the roster. He likes depth, and has been good at fielding a roster that can absorb hits. I think we need to risk some depth, and go after more playmakers. That's what wins in the playoffs, and where we have been lacking. I think they will sign a veteran at DT, S, and DE. I would try and get 2 DT in the draft. I would take Sweat in the second if available. There are a number of 3rd and 4th round fellas that would be worth a look. I suspect Beane will find a way to trade up into the third. I've already said numerous times, but I don't like the edge players in this draft. Latu, yes, but he'll be gone before #28. I don't think you're finding the answer in the draft, and I would not expend a high pick on one. The plethora of safety options in free agency ought to tell you that the position is a buyer's market. Mid-round, I really like Tykee Smith, and there are others who should be available. I think Javon Bullard would be great, but you'd have to grab him earlier than I believe we should draft a S. I personally think they need to keep stocking Oline. Folks are kind of forgetting about that. You can get a serviceable day 3 RB. WR early, and another early day 3 is where I think they need to concentrate.

You're a joke. I worship God. Josh Allen is not an idol. He's a flawed human being, though probably not as flawed as you.

Yes, everyone is going to have their own idiosyncratic preferences, and none of us have all the data and inside information on personal character, football intelligence, and injuries the way an NFL team with due diligence will possess. On Legette, I think the consensus is too low on him, and I suspect he is higher on draft boards, but that's just a guess, obviously. When you say "at least for now, they could not even put a full defense on the field and 60 and two very late 4th round picks are not going to fix that" you seem to imply that they are virtually forced to use #28 on D in order to "put a full defense on the field." Of course, yes, there is also free agency, which evidently is going to be used to some extent to plug holes. I simply don't have your level of recurring anxiety about the D. I expect there will be sufficient low to mid-level investment in defensive free agents to modestly provide for current holes, given adequate drafting. What I don't at all agree with is the notion that the exigencies of the roster are such that it is both rational and almost dire necessity to pick a D player in the first. My sense of need, as is evident, is to enhance the WR room. Where your proclivities are drawn towards the D, mine are drawn towards offensive weapons, and also, offensive line needs to be bolstered in this draft. We'll see how it plays out, but I think it would be a massive fail not to err on the side of the ball where Josh Allen resides, if one has to employ an asymmetrical option in this draft.

It's so odd that you have decided to make casting Josh Allen as the villain (albeit, with facile claims that you really aren't) a source of amusement.

You're the fella with the fancy metrics, no? I've no idea about that stuff. I'm not analytical, though that kind of thing has its place. It does look like a modest trade back might end up being the most prudent course, provided you have a trade partner to work with. If I recall correctly, very few WRs seem to merit a high pick by your criteria. Since I don't really know what constitutes your methodology, and it's not my interest or forte, I can't have a strong opinion. I see an exceptional draft at the position. I don't expect Thomas to be available. I think it would be a mistake to pass on Mitchell and Legette. I personally like McConkey, who seems to be a very polarizing player. I think Polk is the player I would want at #60 if he is there.

Well, to each his own. I would hate it. And "shiny new" has a subtly pejorative connotation. I think you build the offense into as powerful a unit as possible when you have a generational franchise QB. The lack of relative investment in weapons for Josh Allen is borderline criminal. And as I said, I don't see a player at #28 on D that is worth that price. If I were going to pay that price, I'd rather overpay and grab Sweat. He can be a 1T next to Ed, which could pay off. I think this is a draft where you just don't bother with edge, or grab a few late flyers.

That might be so, but if they don't go in the first, they are going to go in the top 45 or so. The best ones aren't making it to #60 most likely. And regardless, WR talent is much better than DE. There's pretty good depth at DT, though not so many 1T which is what we really need.

Deep draft at WR means you are getting real value at #28. If you wait till #60, that benefit is significantly diminished. It's a terrible draft at DE. The few that are truly worth a first will be long gone. (I'm not sold on Chop Robinson.) One should not conclude from that that making a rush to grab a mediocre player on DL is justified. What the loss of the third means is that the 2nd rounder is not going to be WR, unless they end up trading back from #28.

I think you forgot the part of the formula where Buffalo automatically gets dropped a round.

I don't think it will happen, but I like him a lot. I wouldn't mind McConkey, and Rice in the fourth. Rice may go earlier. Wilson is a fraud, forget about him. They need a big X. Coleman is a possibility, but I'd rather take him in the second, which only happens in a trade back or a defensive player in the first. My bet is Legette or Mitchell at #28 is the most likely result.

It's not just the top player at a particular position, but the positional value. And if it's a deep draft at WR, the 7th or 8th receiver may be the 3rd or 4th best in an ordinary draft. Regardless, WR, Edge, LT, CB are the expensive positions you spend a first rounder on, and QB, of course, if you lack a franchise QB. Look at all the quality veteran safeties available in free agency. It's not a position it makes sense to spend a first rounder on.

Yes, it was a speculative dream for those of us who wanted 2 early WR picks, but it's effectively gone. I think Legette is the most rational target, at this point. I do think if Thomas falls far enough, Beane would make a move.

I was responding to the fella who said comp picks have slim to none chance of contributing. Naturally, a 4th round comp can make a difference, but what folks are unhappy about is losing the 3rd round comp, and in those terms, the individual that was dismissive of them was essentially saying it's no big deal, because comp picks in general don't matter. Anyway, if you find that humorous, have at it. Seems to me the loss of a day 2 pick, even at the end of the third round, makes it harder for Beane to maneuver. The real blow is that folks were led to believe the formula was sufficiently understood, and that the 3rd was a safe assumption.

A 3rd round comp pick is not negligible. Sure as hell isn't slim to none.

It's the home game in London experiment part 2.

34. T'Vondre SweatDT Texas 60. Xavier LegetteWR South Carolina 94. Cole BishopS Utah 104. Maason SmithDT LSU 125. Tanor BortoliniOC Wisconsin 129. Brenden RiceWR USC 132. Dadrion Taylor-DemersonS Texas Tech 159. Garret GreenfieldOT South Dakota State 162. Cedric JohnsonEDGE Ole Miss 198. Isaac GuerendoRB Louisville 202. Dylan McMahonOG NC State 206. Jha'Quan JacksonWR Tulane

I think Legette and McConkey may both go in the first, unfortunately. I expect the Bills to favor the big X, which is why I posed the scenario in the way that I did. I know Worthy is fast as the wind, but I still think he's just too light. I dropped Franklin after his disastrous Combine, and it turning out he's smaller than advertised. I like Pearsall, but as BillsFanForever19 pointed out, he's a slot. I would go for Coleman if he dropped to the second. And Walker, too, really. Rice, a bit later, for me. Anyway, I love McConkey, but I'm skeptical that is the way Beane is prioritizing the position, though I'm only guessing, of course.

Personally, I'd rather take Legette at 28, and trade up from 60 to grab McConkey, but I think Ladd may go in the first.

Troll bots are the worst.

I sort of figured it was a bot with terrible grammar.